Calls
3
Beata Manthey
Head of European Equity Strategy, Citi
Win Rate
66.7%
return
+2.1%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 04
$47.24
-0.4%
The UK market has a heavy weighting in "Defensives" (50%), Oil, and Defense/Aerospace (10%). In a stagflationary or conflict-driven environment, the UK acts as a "Triple Whammy" hedge. It benefits from higher oil prices (Shell/BP), higher defense spending (BAE), and defensive sector rotation, unlike the tech-heavy US or manufacturing-heavy Germany. Long UK (EWU). Sterling volatility or broader global recession dragging down all equities.
The UK market has a heavy weighting in "Defensives" (50%), Oil, and Defense/Aerospace (10%). In a stagflationary or conflict-driven environment, the UK acts as a "Triple Whammy" hedge. It benefits from higher oil prices (Shell/BP), higher defense spending (BAE), and defensive sector rotation, unlike the tech-heavy US or manufacturing-heavy Germany. Long UK (EWU). Sterling volatility or broader global recession dragging down all equities.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 17
$89.50
+5.6%
Japan has more cyclical drivers than the UK in a broadening environment, and they have swapped UK for Japan in their global portfolio. The UK’s heavy defensive weighting will cause it to underperform more cyclical regions, even though absolute UK performance may still be positive.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 21
$87.88
+1.0%
European equity index can still move 5% higher because EPS growth is rising (driven by energy and narrow sectors) and earnings season was strong, offsetting cyclical drags.
Equity Indexes
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Beata Manthey has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: EWU, VGK, FEUP.
