January 16 Pre-Market: TSMC Earnings Lift New York Stocks and Semiconductor Shares; Trump's Semiconductor Tariff Announcement and Measures for Samsung Electronics and SK hynix?

[1월16일 #장시작전] TSMC호실적, 뉴욕증시 상승 '반도체주 급등' / 트럼프, 반도체관세 발표, 삼성전자, SK하이닉스 대책은?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 16, 2026 at 00:24  |  2:45:46  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

The video is a January 16 pre-market Korean investment broadcast centered on TSMC's strong earnings, semiconductor supply-chain implications, and whether Samsung Electronics and SK hynix can extend the KOSPI rally toward 5,000. Multiple market experts discuss U.S. small-cap leadership, Korean group-holding-company rotation, robotics, defense, power equipment, biotech, content, token securities, and battery competition. The tone is generally constructive on semiconductors and selected Korean large caps, while flagging valuation, event, and competition risks.

  • TSMC's earnings and capex guidance lift global semiconductor sentiment and support Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, and equipment/materials names.
  • KOSPI strength is concentrated in large-cap semiconductor and group-rotation trades, while KOSDAQ and small caps lag.
  • U.S. small caps, financials, Boeing, and NAND-memory names show strong momentum.
  • Korean robotics, power equipment, defense/aerospace, and critical-metals themes retain momentum.
  • Korean biotech and content face mixed setups, with biotech oversold and producers structurally pressured.
  • Token-securities legislation is seen as a new long-term positive for securities firms, though theme stocks remain speculative.
  • Battery makers face Chinese price competition, and AI semiconductor capex carries longer-term overinvestment risk.
Ideas
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 6:26
TSMC confirms tight AI semiconductor demand
TSMC's Q4 beat, strong first-quarter guidance, 62% gross margin, and higher capex show AI demand is still tight; capacity is sold out and customers are lining up, making it a core AI semiconductor long.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 6:26
TSMC spillover supports Korean memory
TSMC's blowout results and full capacity are pushing money into Samsung Electronics and SK hynix; TSMC spillover can support Samsung foundry and Korean semiconductor sentiment.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 7:00
KOSPI 5000 needs large-cap leaders
For KOSPI to reach 5,000, large caps must lead; Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, and Hyundai Motor are the key index drivers to watch.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 9:43
Korean robotics leadership has further room
Robotics has led for six to seven months; historical leadership lasts one to one-and-a-half years and January leaders often run into summer, with Rainbow Robotics at all-time highs and Robotis rebounding.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 12:01
POSCO DX benefits smart factory theme
POSCO DX hit limit-up on robot and smart-factory demand; POSCO Group has a strong need for smart factories in steel and battery operations, making it a focused group-rotation play.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 13:21
LG Group is laggard catch-up trade
LG is the most laggard major Korean group; LG Corp holding company, LG Innotek, and LG Electronics are attractive catch-up candidates as group rotation continues.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 16:00
Doosan Group can be next re-rating
Doosan is the next group holding-company candidate after Hanwha; affiliates Doosan Robotics, Enerbility, Tesna, and Fuel Cell have strong trends, and good Q4 results could re-rate the holding company.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 24:19
Korean batteries lose momentum
Korean batteries may lose momentum because expectations are weak and there is not yet a strong catalyst.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 24:30
KOSDAQ index unattractive; pick stocks
KOSDAQ is heavily weighted to bio, semiconductors, and batteries; battery weakness and bio stock-picking make the index unattractive versus individual stock selection.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 33:19
Russell 2000 leads US small caps
Russell 2000 is up about 7% year-to-date versus about 1% for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, showing U.S. risk appetite favors small caps over large caps.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 34:20
Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia lead M7
Within the M7, Alphabet has the best trend, followed by Amazon and Nvidia, while Apple and Microsoft remain downtrends and Meta and Tesla are weak.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 35:51
Micron relatively cheap versus Korean memory
After Samsung and SK hynix doubled, Micron trades around 10-11x versus 11-12x for Korean memory, leaving Micron relatively cheaper.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 36:30
NAND shortage supports SanDisk, WDC
DRAM and NAND prices keep rising and SSD shortages persist; SanDisk and Western Digital remain in strong uptrends.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 42:55
Goldman, Morgan Stanley trends stay strong
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley reported strong trading fees and M&A, with GS at all-time highs and MS making new highs; financial earnings kicked off positively.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 45:08
Boeing is strong momentum stock
Boeing has been strong since December and keeps making new highs; U.S. momentum stocks that start moving can keep running.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 47:05
Eli Lilly remains obesity-drug leader
Eli Lilly's drop on GLP-1 compounding and antitrust issues is short-term; it remains the obesity-drug leader with a strong pipeline and held its 50-day moving average.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 49:58
AI semis face later overinvestment risk
TSMC's aggressive capex and multi-year investment plans may signal overinvestment risk; from late 2026 and 2027 the market must verify whether AI spending earns returns, so AI semis should be monitored for overheating.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 59:29
Samsung foundry may turn profitable
TSMC is so full that customers are trying Samsung foundry; as overall capacity expands, Samsung can win more projects, shrink losses, and possibly turn profitable this year.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:44
Defense aerospace momentum continues
Even with reduced Iran risk, defense stocks stayed strong, drone and aerospace names such as Unusual Machines made new highs, and global security and rearmament momentum should continue.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 76:13
Korean biotech rebound may come March
FDA delays and antitrust news hurt pharma and biotech, but after earnings season around March, Korean biotech may rebound from oversold levels.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 77:22
K-content support lifts entertainment names
Government support for culture and arts plus K-content and major artist comebacks support entertainment; Studio Dragon is a representative content turnaround candidate.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 78:59
Tokenization benefits Korean securities firms
The token securities law passed, enabling fractional real-estate and art investment through securities firms, creating a new business line for Kiwoom and Mirae Asset Securities.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 81:11
Samsung breakout leads Korean semis
TSMC's capex and new highs support Korean semis; Samsung Electronics broke a cup-and-handle neckline and re-ignited from the 5/10-day moving-average golden cross, while SK hynix remains strong.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 87:16
Earnings-visible biotech attracts buying
In biotech, earnings season favors names with visible results; Samsung Biologics is the safest large-cap and Celltrion is also attracting buying.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 88:30
CMTX is direct TSMC vendor
CMTX is a direct first-tier vendor to TSMC; TSMC's strong results and capex increase should generate order momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 89:50
Autonomous auto parts charts look strong
Autonomous-driving names have attractive charts; Mando is set up to enter a new-high area above 65,000 won, and Hyundai AutoEver is moving with the theme.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 91:57
Korean robotics momentum continues rotating
Robot stocks keep rotating higher; if biotech loses supply, KOSDAQ money can move to robots and small and mid-cap semiconductor equipment.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 92:41
Korean semiconductor materials catch up
Korean semiconductor materials and equipment names are catching up with TSMC's capex, with Hana Materials and Hanmi Semiconductor showing attractive setups.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 97:05
POSCO DX breaks long resistance
POSCO DX broke above 30,000 won after over a year of resistance, triggering a sharp breakout; group rotation and lithium and steel themes add support.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 98:03
Korea Zinc benefits critical metals
Korea Zinc is the representative Korean critical and rare metals play, supported by U.S. MP Materials strength and chairman comments on supply chains at Davos.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:01
Power equipment leaders stay strong
AI and power demand keep electrical equipment strong; LS Electric's breakout is holding and Hyosung Heavy is moving sharply.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:38
DB HiTek approaches new high
DB HiTek is very strong with positive broker calls and is near a new high.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 103:05
Hanwha Engine can break higher
A broker raised Hanwha Engine's target by 63%; with Hanwha Group momentum and the stock near prior highs, it can break higher if volume is digested.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 104:05
Kia rides robotics re-rating
Kia is being re-rated on robotics and Boston Dynamics momentum after its rebranding, and the stock jumped on the robot theme.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 104:50
Hyundai Steel bets on group changes
Hyundai Steel rose about 10% from a low-burden base as the market bets on Hyundai Group governance and change.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 105:15
Hyundai Electric nears prior high
Hyundai Electric is in comfortable growth with power-equipment strength and is approaching its prior high after a double bottom.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 105:42
Samsung Heavy recovers after pullback
Samsung Heavy received positive analyst attention and, after a two-month pullback, is recovering as quality names re-rate.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 108:52
Korean content producers structurally challenged
CJ ENM and Studio Dragon face structural margin pressure because Netflix controls IP and commission structure, making it hard for producers to earn money even if the stock bounces.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 110:20
Korean Air earnings recovery supports stock
Korean Air's Q4 cargo, passenger, and aerospace results were strong and the stock is recovering; U.S. airline strength on fuel-cost optimism adds support.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 114:04
KoMiCo turns up in equipment
KoMiCo is a semiconductor equipment parts name with an improving chart and increasing supply-chain interest.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 115:47
SPG benefits robot reducer demand
SPG is a robot reducer supplier with positive analyst comments, and the robot theme supports further momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 116:00
Organoid theme worth watching
Organoid stocks have theme momentum and are near box-bottom support; a rebound is worth watching after sharp pullbacks.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 116:53
Doosan Enerbility nuclear cycle builds
Doosan Enerbility is consolidating before a possible breakout; nuclear power is a distinct theme from nuclear weapons, supported by a U.S. big cycle and Q4 guidance.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 124:13
KOSDAQ small caps await catalyst
KOSPI is strong but KOSDAQ and retail accounts lag; policy support and election-year attention could eventually create a trigger for small caps.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 126:12
Korean semi equipment may rotate
U.S. mid and small semiconductor equipment and materials outperformed large semis after TSMC's results; Korean equipment and materials could see a similar rotation.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 134:16
Korean batteries face China competition
Ford discussing BYD batteries shows Chinese battery price competitiveness; Korean battery makers remain under competitive margin pressure.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 139:45
Starlink lifts telecom equipment demand
Starlink launched in Korea and B2B contracts for ships and airlines are emerging, driving inflows into Korean telecom equipment names.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 144:28
Hyundai Mobis is robot producer
In the robot value chain, Hyundai Mobis is the actuator producer; Boston Dynamics IPO proceeds may be used to buy Hyundai Mobis, making it a stable long-term robot play.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 146:53
Korean Air is defense-space play
Korean Air's unmanned wingman and CCA role with KF-21 via Kratos could earn a defense and space re-rating; airline earnings matter less.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:08
Hyundai E&C breaks on nuclear
Hyundai E&C broke 100,000 won and is a top construction pick with nuclear-power and construction strength.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 159:20
LG Electronics bottoming, needs catalyst
LG Electronics is up four sessions, has bottomed below 90,000 won, and has undemanding valuation; a catalyst could spark a rally.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 16, 2026, features Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi discussing TSM, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 005380.KS, Korean robotics sector, 277810.KQ, 108490.KQ, 022100.KS, 003550.KS, 066570.KS, 011070.KS, 000150.KS, 454910.KS, 034020.KS, 131970.KQ, 336260.KS, KARS, KRX:KOSDAQ, IWM, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, MU, SNDK, WDC, GS, MS, BA, LLY, SMH, ITA, UMAC, Korean Biotech/Pharma Sector, Korean Entertainment Sector, 253450.KQ, 039490.KS, 006800.KS, 207940.KS, 068270.KS, CMTX, 204320.KS, 307950.KS, 166090.KQ, 042700.KS, 010130.KS, 010120.KS, 298040.KS, 000990.KS, 082740.KS, 000270.KS, 004020.KS, 267260.KS, 010140.KS, 035760.KQ, 003490.KS, 183300.KQ, 058610.KQ, Korean organoid sector, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector, Korean telecom equipment sector, 012330.KS, 000720.KS. 51 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: TSM, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 005380.KS, Korean robotics sector, 277810.KQ, 108490.KQ, 022100.KS, 003550.KS, 066570.KS, 011070.KS, 000150.KS, 454910.KS, 034020.KS, 131970.KQ, 336260.KS, KARS, KRX:KOSDAQ, IWM, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, MU, SNDK, WDC, GS, MS, BA, LLY, SMH, ITA, UMAC, Korean Biotech/Pharma Sector, Korean Entertainment Sector, 253450.KQ, 039490.KS, 006800.KS, 207940.KS, 068270.KS, CMTX, 204320.KS, 307950.KS, 166090.KQ, 042700.KS, 010130.KS, 010120.KS, 298040.KS, 000990.KS, 082740.KS, 000270.KS, 004020.KS, 267260.KS, 010140.KS, 035760.KQ, 003490.KS, 183300.KQ, 058610.KQ, Korean organoid sector, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector, Korean telecom equipment sector, 012330.KS, 000720.KS