Dollar, Treasuries Slide as China Flags US Debt Risks; Yen Gains | Bloomberg Brief 2/9/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 09, 2026 at 12:40  |  43:26  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Ven Ram — Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg
Paul Jackson — Head of Crypto, Blockworks
Jane Foley — Rabobank Head of FX Strategy
Rosa Prince — Editor, CoinDesk
Sam — Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Robert Friedland — Chairman, Sunrise Energy Metals and Ivanhoe Electric
Lizzy Burden — Crypto Reporter, Bloomberg News

Summary

The video covers a risk-off start to the week, with the dollar and Treasuries under pressure after China urged banks to curb US Treasury exposure, while the yen strengthened after Japan's ruling LDP won a snap election. Guests discuss FX strategy, UK political risk, critical minerals and copper, and Novo Nordisk's reprieve from a copycat Wegovy pill. The main market implications are higher Treasury yields, yen volatility, a positive view on German bonds, and bullish commodity and mining calls.

  • China reportedly urged banks to trim US Treasury exposure, lifting long-end yields.
  • Yen strengthened after Japan's LDP election landslide; analysts debated whether the move lasts.
  • Jane Foley and Rosa Prince discussed UK political risk and sterling/gilt implications.
  • Robert Friedland was bullish on critical minerals, copper, precious metals, and Ivanhoe Mines.
  • Novo Nordisk rose after Hims & Hers dropped its copycat Wegovy pill; FDA enforcement was seen as a reprieve.
  • US equity futures were lower, oil fell on easing Middle East tensions, and investors awaited US jobs and CPI data.
Ideas
Ven Ram Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg 3:39
China diversification pressures Treasuries long term
China has urged its banks to curb exposure to US government bonds as part of a broader, gradual diversification away from Treasuries. Although bank holdings are less consequential and the initial reaction was muted, the bigger story is China circling away from Treasuries, which should pressure Treasury prices and keep yield risks tilted higher over the longer term, especially at the long end.
Ven Ram Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg 5:42
German bonds benefit from China diversification
If China diversifies away from US Treasuries, it may look to German bonds because yields there should be stable with the ECB not moving rates in the short term, making Germany a natural home for China's holdings. That demand should benefit German bonds.
Paul Jackson Head of Crypto, Blockworks 8:43
Japan election stability supports Japanese equities
The LDP's historic election landslide gives Japan a stable government over the coming years, and the market reacted positively in Japanese stocks. Despite lingering questions about how fiscal plans will be funded, political stability is a positive for Japanese equities.
Paul Jackson Head of Crypto, Blockworks 9:38
Yen may weaken toward 160
The yen's post-election strength may be a honeymoon and could be followed by renewed weakness. Many factors suggest USD/JPY could move back toward the 160s, at which point Japanese authorities would likely have to intervene.
Rosa Prince Editor, CoinDesk 13:31
Gilts depend on Starmer successor
Starmer's political crisis may not be resolved by his chief of staff's resignation. If he falls, a left-wing Labour successor could unsettle the gilt market, while a more centrist successor could calm things, making the succession choice the key thing to watch for gilts.
Jane Foley Rabobank Head of FX Strategy 24:44
Yen strength may give way to weakness
The yen's rally after the election may not last because there are nuances around Takaichi's fiscal stance and BOJ policy. If the market's dovish fiscal assumptions are overdone, yen weakness could reemerge, though faster BOJ rate hikes if growth accelerates could complicate the move.
Jane Foley Rabobank Head of FX Strategy 26:25
JGB shock risk looks lower
Takaichi has offered fiscal reassurances, the cabinet budget should not lead to heavy JGB issuance, and fiscal hawks will keep her conscious of the bond market. That reduces the chance of JGB market shocks, though faster BOJ tightening if growth accelerates could complicate the picture.
Jane Foley Rabobank Head of FX Strategy 29:15
Sterling hinges on next UK leader
Sterling's reaction to a Starmer resignation depends on who replaces him. A left-wing Labour leader would be poorly received by markets, while a centrist successor could bring relief, making UK political succession a key sterling risk to monitor.
Robert Friedland Chairman, Sunrise Energy Metals and Ivanhoe Electric 33:17
US critical minerals stockpile boosts mining
The Trump administration's proposed $12 billion stockpile for critical minerals is very good news for the mining industry because it creates a scalable, market-driven vault for critical raw materials needed for data centers, electrification, and industrialization. Major companies will need these materials.
Robert Friedland Chairman, Sunrise Energy Metals and Ivanhoe Electric 33:57
Ivanhoe benefits from critical minerals and copper
Ivanhoe is in talks to supply critical minerals to the US stockpile and should benefit from the critical-minerals push. Its DRC copper operations are among the world's biggest, with hydroelectric power, integrated copper, continued expansion, and exploration upside, while capital is available from partners such as Qatar and there is interest from Saudi Arabia.
Robert Friedland Chairman, Sunrise Energy Metals and Ivanhoe Electric 36:53
Copper has bright supply-demand future
Copper has a very bright future due to green sustainable power, national security, electrification demand, and the fact that old mines are declining and easy mines have already been found. Exploration potential in Africa is significant.
Robert Friedland Chairman, Sunrise Energy Metals and Ivanhoe Electric 38:21
Precious metals outperform weakening dollar
Precious metals are doing well against the US dollar, and the dollar has been weakening against hard assets. That process could continue, especially if the Fed cuts rates, so precious metals such as gold and silver could outperform.
Robert Friedland Chairman, Sunrise Energy Metals and Ivanhoe Electric 38:21
Precious metals outperform weakening dollar
Precious metals are doing well against the US dollar, and the dollar has been weakening against hard assets. That process could continue, especially if the Fed cuts rates, so precious metals such as gold and silver could outperform.
Sam Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 39:59
Novo gets reprieve from copycat crackdown
Hims & Hers scrapping its copycat Wegovy pill and the FDA crackdown are a big reprieve for Novo Nordisk, which has been on the back foot. While headwinds remain, including the launch of an oral product in the same quarter, patent protection and regulatory enforcement improve Novo's competitive position.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 09, 2026, features Ven Ram, Paul Jackson, Rosa Prince, Jane Foley, Robert Friedland, Sam discussing TLT, German bonds, EWJ, USD/JPY, UKGILT, YEN, Japanese government bonds, STRL, REMX, XME, IVN.TO, COPPER, GLTR, GLD, SILVER, USD, NVO. 14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ven Ram, Paul Jackson, Rosa Prince, Jane Foley, Robert Friedland, Sam  · Tickers: TLT, German bonds, EWJ, USD/JPY, UKGILT, YEN, Japanese government bonds, STRL, REMX, XME, IVN.TO, COPPER, GLTR, GLD, SILVER, USD, NVO