August 31st AM Broadcast Full View: New York Stock Market Closes Down on Hawkish Warsh Remarks...What's the Impact of Rate Hike Concerns?

[August 31st AM Broadcast Full View] New York Stock Market Closes Down on 'Hawkish Walsh' Remarks...Interest Rate Hike Concerns, What's the Impact?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 31, 2026 at 03:20  |  6:03:56  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Kwon Soon-woo — Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV
Park Byeong-chang — Director, MP Partners
Ha Bo-no — Guest
Lee Yeok-jin — Deputy
Park Sang-hyuk — Editor
Kim Jun-woo — CEO, Xangle

Summary

The broadcast covers the August 31 morning market after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech. Panelists discuss rising September rate-hike odds, the reaction in equities, bonds, oil and crypto, and how the hawkish stance pressures Korean markets. Several speakers argue Korean semiconductor fundamentals remain strong despite the macro-driven selloff, while others highlight sectors such as MLCC, AI substrates, construction, power generation, ESS, beauty and apparel as opportunities or setups.

  • Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks were interpreted hawkish, pushing September rate-hike probability toward roughly 57%.
  • Short-term Treasury yields rose sharply while long-term yields rose less, indicating a policy-driven repricing.
  • Korean semiconductor names fell on macro and rate worries despite improving memory fundamentals.
  • Panelists debated whether the September KOSPI adjustment is a buying opportunity or a reason to stay defensive.
  • MLCC pricing power at Samsung Electro-Mechanics and booming AI substrate/CCL exports were discussed as positive Korean supply-chain signals.
  • Sector themes for the next cycle included construction, power generation, ESS/batteries, beauty, apparel and memory.
  • In crypto, Bitcoin fell below $80,000 after Warsh's speech, while Uniswap outperformed on fee-burn dynamics.
  • The crypto segment also examined why major financial leaders publicly criticize crypto while positioning in stablecoins and real-world asset tokenization.
Ideas
Small caps most vulnerable to rates.
After Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech, the Russell 2000 fell the most because small caps are most sensitive to rising rates. This rate-driven damage argues for staying cautious on small and mid-cap equities.
Bitcoin holding $78k; watch direction.
Bitcoin declined as the debasement trade reversed, but it has been holding around $78,000. The speaker says Bitcoin's direction from this support area is now an important market signal to watch.
Venezuela supply could pressure oil lower.
A historic US-Venezuela oil agreement gives the US effective control over large crude volumes, with Chevron and Halliburton expected to invest. The speaker sees a possible supply increase that could ease oil prices.
Software with data moats leads AI.
Salesforce's post-earnings surge and Workday's strength show software companies with large existing customer data have a moat in the AI era because that data becomes the input for AI analysis. Microsoft is near record highs and Palantir is near new highs, supporting continued software momentum.
Amazon AI agent boosts retail.
Evercore ISI found Amazon's AI agent effect is showing up in retail: Alexa led 57% of users to buy previously unknown products, and checkout/fast delivery adoption is rising. Amazon rose more than 3% on this fundamental driver even on a weak tape.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 81:09
Watch NVDA $180, GOOGL $300.
Nvidia around $180 and Alphabet around $300 are the two barometers for AI fundamentals. If Nvidia threatens $180 or Alphabet breaks down below $300, it would signal a real AI capex/fundamental problem; current levels are far from that trigger, so rate-driven AI semiconductor fears are overdone.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 104:11
Japan macro risk worse than Korea.
Japan is the economy to worry about more than Korea: it has weak economic conditions, rising prices, and a weak yen, making it harder to raise rates. The speaker expects potential macro stress to emerge from Japan rather than from Korea's strong export-led economy.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 105:27
MLCC pricing power boosts Samsung Electro-Mechanics.
TrendForce expects Samsung Electro-Mechanics to raise MLCC prices to ODM/OEM customers in Q4: general-purpose parts by 25-30% and AI-server high-spec parts by 10-20%. This shows rising bargaining power with large customers and a product mix shift toward high-margin AI MLCCs.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 109:15
AI substrates and CCL exports booming.
Korean AI substrate and CCL exports are booming, with exports up 41% YTD and 53.7% in July, and Doosan sales up about 47%. The Korean AI substrate trio of Isu Petasys, Doosan, and Lotte Energy Materials, plus LG Chem in CCL resin, are riding this AI hardware supply chain expansion.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 138:00
September KOSPI likely rangebound lower.
September is loaded with uncertainty: futures/options expiry, the FOMC, and the Chuseok holiday. With Warsh sounding hawkish and rate-hike concerns rising, KOSPI is more likely to trade below 7,000 than above it near term, so investors should hold extra cash and avoid aggressive positioning.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 154:22
Memory boom supports Samsung, SK hynix.
The semiconductor decline is being driven by macro and systemic risk, not by an industry problem. Fundamentals actually improved over the past three weeks, and the long-term AI memory cycle extends toward 2028, so investors should hold or accumulate rather than panic, using small position adjustments only if needed.
Watch 128-130 breakout in Hanwha.
Hanwha AeroSpace needs to break through the 128,000-130,000 won area to open upside toward 140,000 won and beyond. Until that breakout, after a large rally from the lows it is less attractive for new buyers.
Watch APR breakout for cosmetics momentum.
APR has repeatedly tested a key resistance area. If it breaks through, the cosmetics leader opens further upside and the momentum can continue, making the breakout the main confirmation for new longs.
Buy yen; USD/JPY has downside.
JP Morgan and other institutions see the yen strengthening next year. The speaker favors accumulating yen on significant dips, and says USD/JPY may still have about 2% downside from current levels.
Buy yen; USD/JPY has downside.
JP Morgan and other institutions see the yen strengthening next year. The speaker favors accumulating yen on significant dips, and says USD/JPY may still have about 2% downside from current levels.
Watch Samsung SDI 58 support.
Samsung SDI is bouncing within a secondary-battery recovery, but after a large rally the upside is limited to about 10% toward the mid-600,000 won area. The level to watch is 58,000 won support; holding it keeps the upper band in play, while a break invalidates the setup.
Wait for HPSP breakout or pullback.
HPSP has good semiconductor equipment fundamentals, but the current spot is messy. The speaker would wait for a confirmed breakout through the 57,000-58,000 won band or a pullback to the 43,000 won zone before entering.
Global beauty diffusion supports Korean cosmetics.
The beauty rally has become a global diffusion cycle, with legacy players like Shiseido and global beauty names moving up alongside Korean ODM/OEM leaders. This is not a short-term Korean-only trade and the cosmetics cycle should be ridden.
Construction benefits from data center buildout.
The construction sector is entering a volume cycle. Non-residential orders are surging on data center and semiconductor plant builds, Seoul pre-sale prices are up 30-40%, and the sector trades at PBR 0.5-0.7 versus past cycle peaks near 1.0, leaving room for AI-driven re-rating.
Power generation buildout favors solar/gas/nuclear.
Power generation is now more important than power equipment. Data-center-heavy US states need to roughly double generation capacity, so the buildout will favor short-term solar, medium-term natural gas, and long-term nuclear/SMR.
ESS battery demand is strong.
Electric vehicle demand is weak but ESS demand is strong, especially from data center energy needs. Battery cell companies with ESS-focused order books or LFP/ESS product shifts should outperform within the battery complex.
Apparel trend turn supports Korean materials.
Apparel trends have shifted toward comfort and customization, and global leaders like Nike, Crocs, Lululemon, and Uniqlo are signaling the cycle. When Lululemon and Nike rebound, Korean apparel materials/ODM names should follow; spandex prices have already risen and Chinese Huafon spandex shares are up.
Uniswap token benefits from fee burn.
Uniswap gained about 21% in seven days because Robinhood chain memecoin trading is boosting transaction fee revenue, and Uniswap has been using a large portion of protocol revenue to buy back and burn its token. Annualized revenue was recently near $98 million.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 31, 2026, features Park Myung-seok, Kim Jang-yeol, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Ha Bo-no, Lee Yeok-jin, Park Sang-hyuk discussing IWM, BTC, WTI, WDAY, PLTR, CRM, MSFT, AMZN, NVDA, GOOGL, EWJ, 009150.KS, 000150.KS, 051910.KS, Isu Petasys, 020150.KS, EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 012450.KS, 278470.KS, USD/JPY, JPY, 006400.KS, 403870.KQ, Cosmax, APR, Korean construction sector, SOLAR, URA, UNG, Korean ESS/battery cells, Korean apparel/spandex, UNI. 23 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-seok, Kim Jang-yeol, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Ha Bo-no, Lee Yeok-jin, Park Sang-hyuk  · Tickers: IWM, BTC, WTI, WDAY, PLTR, CRM, MSFT, AMZN, NVDA, GOOGL, EWJ, 009150.KS, 000150.KS, 051910.KS, Isu Petasys, 020150.KS, EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 012450.KS, 278470.KS, USD/JPY, JPY, 006400.KS, 403870.KQ, Cosmax, APR, Korean construction sector, SOLAR, URA, UNG, Korean ESS/battery cells, Korean apparel/spandex, UNI