September 16 Pre-Market: NY stocks fall on surging rates and oil prices, but semiconductors rise; FOMC rate hike caution, Clarity Act rejected

[Sept 16 #BeforeMarketOpen] NY stocks fall on surging rates and oil prices… but semiconductors rose / FOMC rate hike caution, Clarity Act rejected
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 16, 2026 at 00:49  |  3:01:01  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist
Noh Geun-chang — Center Head, Hyundai Motor Securities Research Center
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Tae-seong — Division Head, Xangle
Oh Hyun-jin — Team Lead

Summary

The pre-market show reviewed a weak US session driven by surging oil and long-term rates, with semiconductors holding up relatively well. The Clarity Act rejection hit crypto and stablecoin-related assets, while FOMC rate-hike expectations kept the Korean market cautious. Guests highlighted HBM4 and memory semis, energy and commodities, cybersecurity, nuclear, telecom equipment, power cables, steel, defense, retail, and other sector-specific opportunities.

  • US markets fell as oil and 10-year Treasury yields rose, but the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index edged higher.
  • The Clarity Act failed in the Senate, pressuring Bitcoin, crypto-related equities and stablecoin-linked Korean stocks.
  • FOMC was expected to hike 25bp, with debate over whether a hike would clear uncertainty or deepen volatility.
  • Noh Geun-chang was bullish on memory/HBM4, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix on mix improvement and foundry logic-die demand.
  • Lee Ju-yeon favored energy, commodities, cybersecurity and Broadcom, while warning on crypto after the Clarity Act failure.
  • Kim Tae-seong focused on technical triggers for Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Samsung SDI and on telecom parts, cables and energy/financials after hikes.
  • Lee Kwon-hee highlighted Korea overweight signals, USD/KRW upside, LG Energy Solution, telecom equipment, LS Eco Energy, Hanmi Pharmaceutical and Hyundai Steel.
  • Oh Hyun-jin covered Samsung Electronics, power cables, SFC, optical communication, steel, retail, defense, convenience stores, cosmetics, entertainment and Korean Air.
Ideas
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 4:30
Samsung buyback and cancellation likely
Samsung Electronics preferred-share cancellation news and the likelihood that much of the remaining shareholder-return pool goes to common-share buybacks and cancellation should support both common and preferred shares, even if timing is uncertain.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 6:17
Hanmi Semiconductor Terra orders likely
The Terra package-equipment supply contract opens a new customer beyond SK Hynix and makes additional orders likely; he has bought the stock, though valuation is not cheap.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 7:36
AI security drives Korean cyber stocks
AI security is becoming a next growth area as Jensen Huang and big-tech CEOs highlight risk; Korean cybersecurity stocks are strong but mostly small-cap and earnings-light, so they remain individual-stock plays.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 8:14
Robot rotation from Robotis to laggards
Robots rose despite rate sensitivity and Goldman Sachs raised its humanoid forecast; with Robotis taking a breather, funds can rotate to laggards like SPG and Higen RNM.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 9:05
Korean battery stocks may inflect
Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution and SK Innovation may form an inflection point before the US-China summit; if owned, hold and wait rather than sell.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 9:05
Korean battery stocks may inflect
LG Energy Solution's 3Q operating profit is expected to surprise with a 256% increase on North American orders and 4680 battery supplies to Tesla; target price is 510,000 won.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 9:27
Doosan Fuel Cell leads SFC
Doosan Fuel Cell's large supply deal confirms its leadership in SFC, and supply should spread to lagging energy-related names; buy unmoved energy stocks rather than chase.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 10:02
Steel demand improves beyond autos
Hyundai Steel's US plant can sell to Hyundai Motor Group and other Korean manufacturers, and US steel demand is high while capacity is low; defense, nuclear and data centers add demand.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 11:57
AI data centers lift marine engines
AI data center emergency power demand is boosting marine-engine orders; Hanwha Engine, HD Hyundai Marine Engine and STX Engine are pursuing this new growth.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 12:47
LG Actuator and X4 external sales
LG Electronics is expected to recognize external sales from its Actuator and X4 AI software, following the Robotis actuator-sales precedent; LG group news remains positive.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 13:57
Quantum law creates adoption catalyst
The quantum cryptography law takes effect on November 20 and will force public institutions to adopt quantum-encryption systems, creating a near-term catalyst for related stocks.
Noh Geun-chang Center Head, Hyundai Motor Securities Research Center 33:28
HBM4 mix lifts memory ASP
HBM4 is a major mix shift that raises blended ASP because HBM4 is 30%+ more expensive than HBM3; memory is not oversupplied and current share-price weakness is noise, with 2026-27 growth still strong.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 62:37
High oil supports energy stocks
High oil prices and inflation-hedge demand support energy equities; XLE is at new highs with momentum, and refiners should stay strong while oil remains elevated.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 63:55
Hard assets hedge inflation and debt
Inflation and distrust of government debt are driving demand for hard assets; gold, crude oil and copper are the key inflation hedges.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 64:39
AI growth supports cybersecurity ETF
As AI becomes stronger, cybersecurity demand must rise; CIBR jumped over 5% and is near a breakout, with long-term direction supported.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:19
Korean refiners and traders benefit
High oil and commodity inflation are drawing Korean refining, general trading and copper-related stocks higher; these sectors remain worth watching.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 67:01
Clarity Act failure pressures crypto
The Clarity Act failed badly, leaving a regulatory gap filled only by fragile SEC/CFTC guidance; midterm elections could kill it further, pressuring crypto and stablecoin-related assets.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 76:38
Nuclear deals boost Korean nuclear stocks
Korea's Westinghouse stake talks and US nuclear investment agreement, plus used-fuel projects, are positive catalysts for Korean nuclear-related stocks, though volatility may be high.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 80:58
Broadcom expands custom AI silicon role
Meta's MTIA AI chip is designed by Broadcom and produced by TSMC; Broadcom's HBM demand is forecast to triple by 2028, expanding its role in custom AI silicon.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 82:48
Samsung Hynix levels guide semis
If Samsung Electronics breaks 250,000 won and SK Hynix breaks 1,725,000 won, semiconductor equipment stocks strengthen; if SK Hynix breaks below 1,670,000 won, caution is needed.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 85:11
Samsung SDI level triggers batteries
If Samsung SDI breaks 550,000 won, Korean secondary-battery stocks such as EcoPro units and Daejoo Electronic Materials can gain momentum.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 86:06
US waiver helps Korean telecom parts
US restrictions hit Chinese optical transceivers but 5G/6G components received a waiver, benefiting Korean telecom-parts names like KMW, RFHIC and Daehan Optical Telecom.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 90:30
Energy and financials beat after hikes
Historical post-first-rate-hike performance shows energy and financials as the strongest sectors while the S&P 500 still gains and IT falls only modestly; investors can rebalance toward energy.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 94:20
Rare-earth theme lifts LS Eco
US-China summit noise is reviving rare-earth interest, and LS Eco Energy is moving from a base with volume; it could attract concentrated flows if large-cap semis stay flat.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 95:54
Underground cable policy boosts wires
Government policy is shifting from transmission towers to underground cables for efficiency and aesthetics, benefiting Gaon Cable, Daehan Electric Wire and LS Marine Solution.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 100:13
PS Electronics and GS Construction favored
Institutional and foreign supply is concentrating in PS Electronics on power-equipment and electronic-component demand, and in GS Construction on energy-infrastructure orders and low PBR.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 101:29
Hanla Cast gains from die-casting
Hanla Cast benefits as integrated aluminum die-casting for autos cuts costs, and foreign buying has increased.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 101:37
SPG gets foreign robot buying
Foreign buying was strong in SPG, a robot reducer maker, supporting the robot theme and giving it a favorable supply position.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 113:47
BlackRock turns overweight Korea
BlackRock turned overweight Korea and Taiwan after three months; this is a positive signal for the Korean market.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 114:32
USD/KRW may rise to 1,400
The US-Korea investment signing may accelerate capital outflows and push USD/KRW toward 1,400, so the won may weaken further.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 118:30
Clarity failure hurts Korean crypto stocks
The Clarity Act failure will hurt Korean crypto and stablecoin-related stocks such as Kakao Pay and Galaxy Money Tree.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 124:20
Telecom equipment earnings surprises
A telecom-equipment report sees RFHIC capacity shortage and earnings surprises, with US and Korean frequency auctions supporting HFR and KMW as well.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 125:38
LIG Acuver turnaround and contract
LIG Acuver has a new report with an 80,000 won target, LG U+ base revenue, small-cell exports to Japan and the US, and a 29.1 billion won supply contract, suggesting a turnaround.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 131:53
LS Eco wins US cable contract
LS Eco Energy won a US solar-farm cable supply contract and has low-cost Vietnam plants; it was formerly LS Cable Asia and has rare-earth appeal, with volume breaking out.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 134:13
Hanmi Pharm pipeline supports stock
Hanmi Pharmaceutical has multiple pipelines, including a muscle-preserving obesity treatment sold to Roche, and positive reports are supporting the stock.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 137:12
Power equipment rotation is due
Rotation into electric power equipment is due, favoring LS Electric and HD Hyundai Electric.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 143:04
Samsung attractive below 250,000 won
Samsung Electronics is attractive below 250,000 won because buyback support is strong and semiconductor noise does not undermine the fundamental story.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 144:49
Power cable stocks high beta
Power-cable stocks have high beta and react quickly to news; they remain a trading watch.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 145:05
SK Eternix SFC exposure could attract
Doosan Fuel Cell, Beomhan Fuel Cell and Hanseon Engineering are strong; SK Eternix has Bloom Energy SFC exposure and could get supply if the sector revives, though valuation is not cheap.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 146:07
Buy optical communication on dips
Optical communication stocks rebounded, and RFHIC is a favored name; buy on dips rather than chasing strength.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 146:48
KMW orders and auction support
KMW received a positive report with expectations of explosive order growth from US replacement demand and a Korean frequency auction; OE Solutions also benefits.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 147:34
Xgate leads quantum encryption watch
Quantum-encryption stocks are attracting attention, with Xgate as leader, but investing is difficult and should be traded with tight stop-losses.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 149:35
Camera modules gain robot momentum
Camera-module stocks such as Namuga, MC Nex and Partron could gain robot momentum as camera modules become tied to robotics.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 150:21
Clarity failure pressures Korean fintech
The Clarity Act failure is pressuring Korean electronic-payment, STO, fintech and stablecoin-related sectors, with further volatility likely.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 151:32
Steel long-term cycle improves
Chinese steel oversupply is easing and new demand from data centers, semiconductor clusters and robots supports a long-term improvement in steel; POSCO Holdings and Hyundai Steel are mid-term ideas.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 153:11
Retail leaders may extend gains
Lotte Shopping is leading retail higher and Hyundai Department Store and Shinsegae may follow; E-Mart is in a low-burden zone and can be held.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 154:49
LG Innotek supply can arrive suddenly
LG Innotek is a good stock whose supply comes suddenly, so investors should endure the current slow period.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 164:54
Construction cheap but needs rate ease
Construction stocks have low valuations and nuclear/data-center momentum, with DL E&C and Samsung E&A relatively less burdened, but rate uncertainty must ease first.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 168:32
Korean defense budget supports long-term
Korea's 2027 defense budget tops 70 trillion won with 8.2% growth, KF-21 deliveries and a 120 trillion won order backlog support a long-term defense thesis despite short-term dullness.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 170:59
Convenience store sales per store rise
Convenience-store same-store sales are rising as foreigners increase usage, so the sector may keep improving even if department stores pull back.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 173:41
Cosmetics OEM preferred on valuation
If buying cosmetics, OEM and distribution names such as Cosmax and Kolmar Korea are more attractively priced than brands.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 177:28
SM leads entertainment rebound
Entertainment stocks may revive with SM leading, while HYBE and YG Entertainment follow; JYP may lag.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 178:19
Alteogen wait for post-FOMC bottom
Biotech is weak, but after the FOMC decision a rebound may come; wait for a bottom before adding to Alteogen.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 179:32
Korean Air needs technical support
Korean Air is liked but faces technical resistance; if the 20-day moving average holds and oil and FX stabilize, it can rise again.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published September 16, 2026, features Lee Kwon-hee, Noh Geun-chang, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Tae-seong, Oh Hyun-jin discussing 005930.KS, 005935.KS, 042700.KS, Korean cybersecurity stocks, 160190.KQ, 058610.KQ, 108490.KQ, 006400.KS, 096770.KS, 373220.KS, 336260.KS, 004020.KS, 082740.KS, 077970.KS, 071970.KS, 066570.KS, Korean quantum cryptography stocks, 000660.KS, XLE, WTI, COPPER, GLD, CIBR, Korean refiners/trading/copper-related stocks, BTC, COIN, CRCL, MSTR, Taewoong, 034020.KS, 000720.KS, AVGO, 032500.KQ, 218410.KQ, 010170.KQ, XLF, 229640.KS, 000500.KS, 001440.KS, 060370.KQ, PS Electronics, 006360.KS, 125490.KQ, EWY, USD/KRW, 377300.KS, 094480.KQ, 230240.KQ, LIG Acuver, 128940.KS, 010120.KS, 267260.KS, Korean power cable stocks, 475150.KS, 138080.KQ, XGate, Korean camera module stocks, Korean crypto/stablecoin-related sectors, 005490.KS, 023530.KS, 069960.KS, 004170.KS, 139480.KS, 011070.KS, 375500.KS, 028260.KS, 047810.KS, 282330.KS, 007070.KS, 192820.KS, 161890.KS, 041510.KQ, 352820.KS, 122870.KQ, 196170.KQ, 003490.KS. 54 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Kwon-hee, Noh Geun-chang, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Tae-seong, Oh Hyun-jin  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 005935.KS, 042700.KS, Korean cybersecurity stocks, 160190.KQ, 058610.KQ, 108490.KQ, 006400.KS, 096770.KS, 373220.KS, 336260.KS, 004020.KS, 082740.KS, 077970.KS, 071970.KS, 066570.KS, Korean quantum cryptography stocks, 000660.KS, XLE, WTI, COPPER, GLD, CIBR, Korean refiners/trading/copper-related stocks, BTC, COIN, CRCL, MSTR, Taewoong, 034020.KS, 000720.KS, AVGO, 032500.KQ, 218410.KQ, 010170.KQ, XLF, 229640.KS, 000500.KS, 001440.KS, 060370.KQ, PS Electronics, 006360.KS, 125490.KQ, EWY, USD/KRW, 377300.KS, 094480.KQ, 230240.KQ, LIG Acuver, 128940.KS, 010120.KS, 267260.KS, Korean power cable stocks, 475150.KS, 138080.KQ, XGate, Korean camera module stocks, Korean crypto/stablecoin-related sectors, 005490.KS, 023530.KS, 069960.KS, 004170.KS, 139480.KS, 011070.KS, 375500.KS, 028260.KS, 047810.KS, 282330.KS, 007070.KS, 192820.KS, 161890.KS, 041510.KQ, 352820.KS, 122870.KQ, 196170.KQ, 003490.KS