DeepSeek's New Model Rattles Chipmakers and AI Rivals

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 11, 2026 at 05:58  |  1:33:48  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Michael Chang — Macro and Rates Strategist, Commonwealth Bank
Yuki — Asia Stocks Reporter, Bloomberg
Lei Meng — China Equity Strategist, UBS Securities
Shirley Jarrett — Consumer and Gaming Reporter, Bloomberg
Gareth Nicholson — CIO, FAB Asset Management
Sunny Banyoles — Equity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence
Mark — Oil Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Linda Liu — China Automotive Reporter, Bloomberg
Samy Chaar — Lombard Odier, Chief Economist & Switzerland CIO
Ashwini Kumar Tewari — Managing Director, State Bank of India
Jensen Huang — CEO, NVIDIA
Yvonne Man — Head of APAC, CoinDesk
Robert Lee — Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Swati Pandya — South Asia Economy and Government Coverage Lead, Bloomberg
David Ingles — Anchor, Bloomberg
Avril Hong — Reporter, Bloomberg Markets

Summary

The show opened with a global bond selloff, oil above $100, and risk-off sentiment hitting Asian equities. DeepSeek's new low-cost, memory-efficient model pressured Korean memory chipmakers and Chinese AI names, while analysts debated whether it meant less HBM demand or more AI adoption. Guests discussed China equity strategy, resilient multi-asset portfolios, oil upside, LVMH's China backlash, China's EV/autonomous-vehicle plan, and India credit/IPO themes.

  • US Treasury yields approached 5%, pressuring risk assets and raising Fed hike expectations.
  • Oil held above $100 on Hormuz closure concerns and Chinese buying, with analysts seeing upside to $120.
  • DeepSeek's new model sparked a selloff in Korean memory makers and Chinese AI pure plays.
  • Analysts described the Korean memory selloff as sentiment/profit-taking rather than a fundamental HBM reset.
  • UBS's Lei Meng favored China equities, tech, consumption, and new infrastructure, with property still a watch.
  • Gareth Nicholson recommended resilience via gold, private credit, duration, ABS/CMBS/CLO, and non-US equities.
  • China's five-year plan targeted mass autonomous-vehicle adoption and 70% EV share by 2030.
  • India themes included SBI credit growth, NSE IPO valuation cuts, and Shanghai Enflame's Tencent-backed debut.
Ideas
Michael Chang Macro and Rates Strategist, Commonwealth Bank 6:36
Wait for clear top in Treasuries
Near 5%, US Treasuries look historically reasonable, but market momentum and forced selling mean investors should wait for a clear yield top before buying; 5.1%-5.5% is possible if sentiment remains uncomfortable.
Michael Chang Macro and Rates Strategist, Commonwealth Bank 9:02
Curve flattener if Fed hikes
If the Fed hikes to restore credibility and the Bank of Japan also acts, front-end yields should reprice higher and there is a reasonably good chance for curve flattening.
Yuki Asia Stocks Reporter, Bloomberg 16:53
Korean memory cheap despite DeepSeek
DeepSeek's memory efficiency is a sentiment overhang, not a fundamental HBM demand reset unless GPU orders or AI capex fall; fund managers see Korean memory chipmakers as cheap with strong earnings and expect the dislocation between fundamentals and share prices to narrow.
Lei Meng China Equity Strategist, UBS Securities 29:51
China equities have bottomed
China equities have likely bottomed; strong earnings revisions, the end of margin-financing deleveraging, and record ETF inflows support a range-bound-to-optimistic market for the rest of the year, with global AI and policy easing as catalysts.
Lei Meng China Equity Strategist, UBS Securities 30:29
China tech rallies with AI
China tech is the key market driver and moves with the global AI semiconductor narrative; if the global AI story recovers, China tech can rally, and earnings for China tech are still rising while monetary easing benefits liquidity-sensitive TMT.
Lei Meng China Equity Strategist, UBS Securities 33:04
China new infrastructure needs more investment
Carbon neutrality and AI development are key five-year-plan priorities requiring more investment; fiscal expansion should support new infrastructure including data centers and energy storage.
Lei Meng China Equity Strategist, UBS Securities 33:26
Watch China property stabilization
China property demand has stabilized in top cities but lower-tier cities remain a concern; recent policy is mostly supply-side, so investors should watch whether lower-tier stabilization broadens in coming months.
Shirley Jarrett Consumer and Gaming Reporter, Bloomberg 38:15
LVMH China sales slump after backlash
Louis Vuitton's China sales fell sharply after a social-media backlash over its trademark lawsuit against Molly Tea; July sales were estimated down about 30%, August down 20-25%, and September maybe down 15%, making LVMH the worst-hit luxury brand in a broader China slowdown.
Jensen Huang CEO, NVIDIA 42:19
Cybersecurity is next AI market
AI-driven automation of programming is accelerating code exploitation and the need for fixes, making cybersecurity the next big market for AI; creating the problem creates demand.
Mark Oil Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 52:30
Oil stays above 100
Persistent Hormuz closure is locking in oil, tightening the physical market, and China's return to crude buying is raising the risk premium; oil is likely to spend longer above $100 and could return to March highs around $120, with WTI potentially reaching $124.
Gareth Nicholson CIO, FAB Asset Management 55:13
Equity momentum continues but build resilience
Equity momentum can continue even with yields rising, but at high yield and commodity levels volatility increases, so investors should be tactical and build resilience to avoid large drawdowns.
Gareth Nicholson CIO, FAB Asset Management 61:20
Gold and real assets build resilience
For a resilient portfolio delivering around 7-8%, he likes a core of real assets and income: gold, private credit, private infrastructure, and inflation protection to cushion volatility.
Gareth Nicholson CIO, FAB Asset Management 62:16
ABS, CMBS, CLO offer rate cushion
Credit spreads are very tight, leaving little cushion if there is a scare, so he is looking at higher-rated ABS, CMBS, and CLOs where the rate cushion still offers interesting opportunities.
Gareth Nicholson CIO, FAB Asset Management 62:39
Prefer non-US equities and growth
He wants a higher proportion of equity exposure outside the US and likes emerging markets, the Middle East, and Asia.
Gareth Nicholson CIO, FAB Asset Management 62:42
AI demand remains intact
Within growth areas, he still likes AI and sees continued demand for AI, though investors need to choose the right part of the AI ecosystem.
Gareth Nicholson CIO, FAB Asset Management 62:47
Energy infrastructure remains growth area
He still likes energy infrastructure as a growth area within the portfolio.
Sunny Banyoles Equity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 65:16
Cheaper AI boosts semiconductor demand
DeepSeek's efficient model does not kill semiconductor demand; lower AI prices can increase usage, and China's push to diffuse AI across the wider economy should lead to more semiconductor growth, so the Korean memory selloff looks more like profit-taking than a fundamental reset.
Linda Liu China Automotive Reporter, Bloomberg 74:29
China targets EV and autonomous growth
China's 15th Five-Year plan calls for mass adoption of autonomous vehicles and EVs to be 70% of new passenger vehicle sales by 2030, a positive signal after safety incidents; robotaxi rollouts are expanding, and overseas expansion can offset a tough domestic market.
Samy Chaar Lombard Odier, Chief Economist & Switzerland CIO 77:54
Tencent-backed Enflame has concentration risk
Shanghai Enflame, a Tencent-backed AI chip firm and the last of China's Four Little Dragons, surged in its Shanghai debut; its appeal is Tencent as largest customer and 20% shareholder, but that also creates customer/shareholder concentration risk.
Samy Chaar Lombard Odier, Chief Economist & Switzerland CIO 79:31
NSE IPO loses growth premium
The National Stock Exchange of India cut its IPO size and valuation because domestic funds refused to pay a premium; its growth story is less attractive as 60% of operating revenue comes from options trading, an area facing regulatory crackdown.
Ashwini Kumar Tewari Managing Director, State Bank of India 81:49
India credit growth offers opportunities
India's 7.8% GDP growth and 15%+ credit growth create broad banking opportunities; liquidity has improved, all segments are doing well, and SBI sees early traction in new specialty groups for hotels/hospitals and M&A, with investment interest in data centers and power.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published September 11, 2026, features Michael Chang, Yuki, Lei Meng, Shirley Jarrett, Jensen Huang, Mark, Gareth Nicholson, Sunny Banyoles, Linda Liu, Samy Chaar, Ashwini Kumar Tewari discussing TLT, US 2s10s Yield Curve Flattener, EWY, FXI, KWEB, LIT, China data centers, CHIR, LVMH, CIBR, BNO, WTI, VT, GLD, BIZD, Private infrastructure, Inflation protection, CLO, ???, CMBS, AAXJ, EEM, Middle East equities, AI equities, PAVE, SMH, KARS, China autonomous vehicles, Shanghai Enflame, National Stock Exchange of India IPO, India power, INDA, SBK.NS, India data centers. 21 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Michael Chang, Yuki, Lei Meng, Shirley Jarrett, Jensen Huang, Mark, Gareth Nicholson, Sunny Banyoles, Linda Liu, Samy Chaar, Ashwini Kumar Tewari  · Tickers: TLT, US 2s10s Yield Curve Flattener, EWY, FXI, KWEB, LIT, China data centers, CHIR, LVMH, CIBR, BNO, WTI, VT, GLD, BIZD, Private infrastructure, Inflation protection, CLO, ???, CMBS, AAXJ, EEM, Middle East equities, AI equities, PAVE, SMH, KARS, China autonomous vehicles, Shanghai Enflame, National Stock Exchange of India IPO, India power, INDA, SBK.NS, India data centers