China tech is the key market driver and moves with the global AI semiconductor narrative; if the global AI story recovers, China tech can rally, and earnings for China tech are still rising while monetary easing benefits liquidity-sensitive TMT.
China equities have likely bottomed; strong earnings revisions, the end of margin-financing deleveraging, and record ETF inflows support a range-bound-to-optimistic market for the rest of the year, with global AI and policy easing as catalysts.
Carbon neutrality and AI development are key five-year-plan priorities requiring more investment; fiscal expansion should support new infrastructure including data centers and energy storage.