CMBS iShares CMBS ETF Loading... : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

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21:21
Jun 18
Carolyn Campbell Asia Pac Securities Strategist Morgan Stanley
Value in data center securitized credit
Securitized products backed by data centers are post-construction, cash-flowing, and multi-tenant, avoiding construction risk. Fundamentals remain strong with no expected near-term deterioration. Heavy supply has pushed spreads wider, creating value across the securitized credit stack for the rest of the year, supported by cross-asset relative value comparisons.
CMBS 1ST
MED
16:31
Jun 04
Andrew Sheets Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley
CMBS are undervalued with improving fundamentals.
CMBS (commercial mortgage-backed securities) offer significantly higher spreads than the long-run average, while commercial real estate fundamentals are improving: transaction volumes up 27% in Q1, prices up 5%, debt origination up 40% year-over-year, and distress declining for the first time since early 2023. Reduced new construction due to past rate hikes will support existing property values, making CMBS an attractive risk-reward versus other fixed income where spreads are near historic lows.
CMBS 1ST
HIGH
19:47
Apr 01
Andrew Szczurowski Strategic Income Portfolio Manager, Morgan Stanley Investme… Bloomberg Markets
The speaker states, "going out the risk spectrum a little to agency mortgage and commercial mortgage backs is a is a great place to kind of hide out" and calls commercial mortgage backs "our kind of favorite credit space." Agency mortgages offer mid-5% yields with no credit risk, and commercial mortgage-backed securities offer high single-digit yields. The recent backup in spreads and Treasury yields has made these sectors attractive. These fixed-income sectors provide an attractive combination of yield and relative safety (agency) or compelling yield for credit risk (CMBS) in an uncertain macro environment where the Fed is on hold. A severe economic downturn leads to worse-than-expected defaults in commercial real estate, impacting CMBS. A sharp, unanticipated rise in Treasury yields could pressure prices.

About CMBS Analyst Coverage

Buzzberg tracks CMBS (iShares CMBS ETF) across 2 sources. 3 bullish vs 0 bearish calls from 3 analysts. Sentiment: predominantly bullish (100%). 3 total trade ideas tracked. Latest voices: Carolyn Campbell, Andrew Sheets, Andrew Szczurowski.