ZQ 30-Day Fed Funds futures Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views
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Price change since each call, adjusted for long/short direction. Results calculated:
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Time
Author
Thesis
Company / ticker
Signal
Since call
Position
Source
15:01
Oct 19
Oct 19
Bloomberg Markets
October Fed hike risk underpriced
The market is too confident the Fed will hold in October. Bhave and his team see an October hike as on the table: CPI was bad, and if Kevin Warsh is serious about breaking with coordinated forward guidance, a hike would deliver a strong statement that he runs the show. He acknowledges a hawkish surprise would be difficult before the midterms and that the long end is giving the Fed a pass, but warns that not hiking risks undermining the Fed's credibility on forward guidance and inflation. The key test is whether Warsh leads the committee or cedes the bully pulpit to other officials.
About ZQ Investor Commentary
Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks ZQ (30-Day Fed Funds futures) across 1 sources: 0 bullish vs 0 bearish calls from 1 authors. Historical directional balance: 0% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 1 total trade idea tracked. Past 7 days, before deduplication: 1 other directions. Latest voices: Aditya Bhave.