BRL Brazilian Real Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views
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15:45
Oct 16
Oct 16
Meb Faber Show
Brazil: market-friendly regime, rate cuts, cheap.
Brazil is one of Dirk's favorite markets because it is idiosyncratic. The new government is market-friendly and may restore fiscal order; high real rates can fall aggressively; the market is a commodity play that benefits from lower rates and a business-friendly government; valuations are cheaper than the 15-year average. Sentiment is grim after 18 years of no returns, which creates potential for local money repatriation and real appreciation as an extra kicker to equities.
11:05
Oct 06
Oct 06
Bloomberg Markets
BRL can strengthen on fiscal adjustment.
Lord sees USD/BRL initially at 4.9 and ultimately 4.5 if Brazil delivers a credible fiscal adjustment after the new government; lower risk premia and volatility could preserve the real's carry appeal even as rates fall.
06:47
Oct 05
Oct 05
Bloomberg Markets
Bolsonaro surprise boosts Brazilian assets
Bolsonaro unexpectedly led the first round, boosting expectations for a market-friendly presidency. She expects a strong rally in Brazilian assets, with JPMorgan estimates of up to 6% gains in the currency and stocks in the near term, and the Brazilian ETF in Japan already jumped 7.6%.
About BRL Investor Commentary
Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks BRL (Brazilian Real) across 11 sources: 33 bullish vs 2 bearish calls from 40 authors. Historical directional balance: 56% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 55 total trade ideas tracked. Past 7 days, before deduplication: 1 bullish. Latest voices: Dirk Willer, James Lord, Adriana Dupita.