Ideas
European semis earnings kicker just starting
European semiconductor earnings trends are just starting to take off strongly, providing a big earnings kicker compared to the US. Lower leveraged ETF exposure in Europe reduces volatility, making it an attractive AI capex play.
Europe equities strong on earnings, inflation benefits
European equities are constructive with 17% earnings growth, margins at all-time highs, and 60% of earnings benefiting from inflation. Oil at $70-$80 is a sweet spot. The AI capex cycle is not over, and a healthy pause provides opportunities. Broadening earnings strength supports the market.
Overweight European banks on inflation boost
European banks are overweight, the number one diversification recommendation. They benefit from inflation, and margins have broken out to all-time highs. Inflation is great for European banks.
Yen weakness persists despite interventions
Japan's growth equation is lackluster compared to the US, and fundamentals do not support sustained yen appreciation. Interventions are expected but will not be very effective given growth dynamics, so yen weakness is likely to persist.
Korean won weakness near-term despite interventions
Korean won dynamics have shifted to portfolio flows, causing weakness on equity rebalancing outflows and risk-off. Despite SK Hynix listing short-term support and expected interventions and rate hikes, near-term more weakness is likely.
Long BRL vs CLP on carry, terms
Latin American FX is the favorite trade. Brazil versus Chile is a buy-the-winners theme driven by terms of trade and a substantial carry story, with BCB relatively hawkish and market pricing more hikes, supporting long BRL positions against CLP.
LatAm FX to rise vs dollar on carry
Latin American currencies (MXN, BRL, COP) are likely to appreciate against the dollar, benefiting from terms of trade, carry, and hawkish central banks. The dollar may slightly appreciate overall but more against DM currencies than against LatAm FX.
Asian currencies ex-China to weaken vs USD
Some Asian currencies outside of China are likely to depreciate against the dollar, with the bloc outside China facing weakening pressures.
Long HUF on stronger narrative
In Central and Eastern Europe, currencies are broadly stable, but there are opportunities to get back into stronger narratives like Hungary, which stands out for appreciation potential.
This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 10, 2026,
features Marina Zavolock, Phoenix Kalen
discussing SMH, VGK, EUFN, JPY, KRW, BRL/CLP, MXN, BRL, Colombian Peso, Asian currencies ex-China, HUF.
9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Marina Zavolock,
Phoenix Kalen
· Tickers:
SMH,
VGK,
EUFN,
JPY,
KRW,
BRL/CLP,
MXN,
BRL,
Colombian Peso,
Asian currencies ex-China,
HUF