Search: MANUFACTURING

Date	Ticker	Price	Dir	Speaker	Thesis	Source
Feb 18	MANUFACTURING	—	LONG	Alicia Levine Head of Investment Strategy at BNY Mellon	Lazar forecasts a 12% jump in CapEx for 2026, driven by a "manufacturing renaissance" and heavy truck orders. Levine notes a rotation into "dirty businesses" (making things) as capital flows to the physical world. The AI trade is broadening from digital to physical. You cannot build data centers, factories, or energy infrastructure without materials and industrial machinery. This sector benefits from the "goods producing" jobs multiplier. LONG. Cyclicals are the beneficiaries of the "No Landing" / 4% GDP growth scenario. If the Fed keeps rates higher for longer due to strong growth, financing costs for heavy industry could bite.	Bloomberg Markets Bloomberg Surveillance 2/18/2026
Feb 18	TSM	$362.26 $362.26 +0.0%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM $100 Invested In Taiwan Semiconductor 5 Years...
Feb 17	TSM	$364.20 $362.26 -0.5%	LONG	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez US Representative	AOC states the US goal is to "avoid any such confrontation" and ensure the question of committing troops "never arises." The primary valuation drag on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is the "geopolitical risk premium"—the fear that the US and China are on an inevitable collision course. If US leadership prioritizes de-escalation and stability over drawing red lines, the immediate probability of kinetic war decreases. A lower probability of war allows TSM to trade on its fundamental AI dominance rather than geopolitical fear. LONG. Stability is the most bullish factor for Taiwan assets. China interprets US reluctance as weakness and accelerates aggressive timelines; economic deterrence fails.	Bloomberg Markets AOC Says US Must Avoid 'Any Such Confrontatio...
Feb 17	TSM	$364.20 $362.26 -0.5%	WATCH	Mark Cranfield Cross Asset Strategist, Bloomberg	These three companies are the dominant AI hardware players in Asia, trading at "multi-year highs" with "very stretched valuations," having absorbed tremendous capital flows. Asian markets are currently closed for Lunar New Year. Liquidity mismatch risk. If US tech/AI equities slip while Asian markets are closed, investors cannot adjust positions. When Asian markets reopen, there is a high risk of a "rush for the exit" to unwind these crowded, high-valuation trades, especially since they lack the defensive bid of US hardware players during the holiday. WATCH for a pullback upon market reopen; potential SHORT if US tech weakness persists this week. US Tech rebounds strongly before Asian markets reopen, validating the high valuations.	Bloomberg Markets US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva; Trump Will B...
Feb 17	TSM	$364.20 $362.26 -0.5%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
Feb 17	TSM	$364.20 $362.26 -0.5%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
Feb 17	TSM	$364.20 $362.26 -0.5%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
Feb 16	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
Feb 16	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
Feb 15	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	Paul Krugman Nobel Prize-winning Economist, Distinguished Professor, Publisher of the Paul Krugman Substack	Regarding the AI boom, Krugman notes, "There's an awful lot of chips produced in Taiwan... so it may not be as much of a stimulus to the US economy." While the US companies (spenders) are risking capital, the manufacturers of the hardware are the immediate beneficiaries of the cash flow. The "leakage" of US stimulus goes directly to Taiwanese manufacturers. LONG the hardware manufacturers receiving the Capex spend. Geopolitical conflict in Taiwan or a sudden halt in US Hyperscaler Capex.	Monetary Matters “A Huge Problem for Everybody” \| Paul Krugman...
Feb 14	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	Steve Rattner Economic Analyst / CEO of Willett Advisors	"I think the chips act was generally considered to be a success... we got a bunch of chips factories here and they're building more and more in Arizona." Unlike the auto industry, the semiconductor sector is effectively utilizing government subsidies ($50B Chips Act) to expand physical capacity. This validates the "onshoring" thesis specifically for silicon, but not for other goods. LONG. Government policy is effectively de-risking the capex for these specific companies. Execution delays in Arizona plants or labor shortages.	Bloomberg Markets Is Trump’s Manufacturing Comeback Real?
Feb 14	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	NEUTRAL	@FirstSquawk	TSMC’S US INVESTMENT PLANS AT HEART OF $250BN PUZZLE FOR CHIP SECTOR.	@FirstSquawk TSMC’S US INVESTMENT PLANS AT HEART OF $250BN...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	Thread Guy Crypto influencer, independent	Thread Guy notes the "Bits to Atoms" narrative is the dominant theme, with TSM's chart described as "hyperbullish up only." The Giver agrees, citing Trump's focus on US self-sufficiency and reducing reliance on Chinese supply chains. The "Trump Trade" in 2026 isn't just about lower taxes; it's about physical sovereignty. This requires massive capex in domestic and friendly-nation manufacturing (semiconductors) and critical inputs. TSM is the "Atom" enabling the "Bit" (AI). Long the physical infrastructure of the digital economy. Geopolitical conflict involving Taiwan; tariffs disrupting global trade flows.	Thread Guy We Predicted Crypto's FUTURE in 2026 (The Giv...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	WATCH	Laura Davison Washington Bureau Chief	The finalized document "doesn't detail" the previously announced $500 billion investment ($250B private / $250B gov guarantees) into the US chip sector. Additionally, while general tariffs dropped to 15%, there are "exceptions for tech." The absence of the investment language creates significant uncertainty regarding the financing and speed of TSMC's US expansion. If the loan guarantees are not locked in, capital expenditure plans may be delayed. Furthermore, if "tech" is an exception to the tariff cut, TSM may not benefit from the 15% rate, leaving it exposed to Trump's volatile trade policy. WATCH. The macro setup is fragile; the deal is signed, but the most critical component for the semiconductor sector (the investment capital) is missing. Trump imposes new tariffs (like he threatened South Korea) or the US chip expansion stalls due to lack of funding guarantees.	Bloomberg Markets Taiwan, US Sign Trade Pact
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	Finnhub News	DA Davidson has initiated coverage on Taiwan Semiconductor with a "Buy" rating and set a price target of $450.	Finnhub - TSM DA Davidson Initiates Coverage On Taiwan Semi...
Feb 13	SPACE MANUFACTURING	—	LONG	Eirik Lie CEO of Kongsberg Defense (Incoming CEO of Kongsberg Group)	"You'll see also the space segment... taking a leading position for this new space segment there also for military purposes." Space is no longer just for communications; it is now a contested military domain ("underwater domain" and "space segment" linked). This validates the valuation premiums for companies involved in satellite launch, manufacturing, and data downlink (like Kongsberg's KSAT or SpaceX). LONG. Continued militarization of space drives recurring revenue for launch and satellite infrastructure providers. High capital intensity and technical failure risks in launch operations.	Bloomberg Markets Kongsberg Says Demand for Air Defense Systems...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	—	The US market has underperformed and turned negative for the year, whereas Asian markets are up over 10%. The speaker notes Asia is "at the top of the supply chain" for infrastructure, equipment, and chips (specifically TSMC, Korean memory makers, and Japanese firms). Capital is rotating from US software/tech into Asian hardware/semiconductors because these regions control the physical constraints of the AI boom (chips/memory) and are offering better relative performance than the S&P 500. LONG Asian hardware and indices as the "rest of the world" trade outperforms the US. A global recession dampening demand for semiconductors or geopolitical tensions in the Taiwan Strait.	Bloomberg Markets S&P 500 Erases Year’s Gains, Asia Prospers: 3...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	Sharon Ping Greater China Economist, BofA Global Research	BofA raised Taiwan's 2026 GDP growth forecast from 4.5% to 8%. Taiwan is riding a "once in a generation" CapEx supercycle. TSMC's monthly sales track closely with this CapEx boom. The US-Taiwan trade deal removes policy overhang for the tech sector. LONG. The economy is "supercharged" by external demand for AI and hardware. A "K-shaped" economy where non-tech sectors falter could force the central bank into a difficult policy dilemma; currency swings.	Bloomberg Markets Chinese Stocks Can't Wait for Holiday Break, ...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	LONG	Grace Tam Chief Investment Adviser, BNP Paribas Wealth Management	Tam states they favor "AI enablers" specifically "semiconductors, arms, the infrastructure, and especially some of the power related themes." She highlights severe shortages in memory chips and logic wafers in Taiwan and South Korea. While the market sells off "AI losers" (software), the capital expenditure on data centers is not slowing down. This creates high earnings visibility for the hardware manufacturers supplying the shortage. LONG the upstream hardware providers. A sudden halt in global AI CapEx spending.	Bloomberg Markets How AI Is Proving to Be a Double-Edged Sword ...
Feb 13	TSM	$366.36 $362.26 -1.1%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM US, Taiwan Seal Trade Pact With $84 Billion P...
Feb 12	TSM	$368.10 $362.26 -1.6%	LONG	Finnhub News	TSMC is adapting its business focus from smartphone components to the high-growth artificial intelligence sector.	Finnhub - TSM Taiwan Semiconductor: Transition From An iPho...
Feb 12	TSM	$368.10 $362.26 -1.6%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM Market Whales and Their Recent Bets on TSM Op...
Feb 12	TSM	$368.10 $362.26 -1.6%	LONG	Elfreda Jonker Investment Specialist, Alphinity Investment Management	Jonker identifies TSMC as a core holding despite broader tech volatility. Regardless of which hyperscaler or software company wins, they all require advanced manufacturing. "All AI roads lead to them." They are the ultimate enabler. Long the "picks and shovels" of the AI hardware cycle. Geopolitical tension in Taiwan or supply chain disruptions.	Bloomberg Markets US House Defies Trump on Canada Tariffs \| The...
Feb 11	TSM	$374.09 $362.26 -3.2%	LONG	Giver Macro Analyst / Guest	The Trump administration is focused on "making America independent" regarding supply chains. Thread Guy explicitly mentions buying TSM. The "Bits to Atoms" trade is the macro expression of AI requiring physical infrastructure. The bottleneck for AI supremacy is not just code, but energy, chips, and the raw materials (minerals) to build them. Trump's policies favor domestic resilience and friendly manufacturing partners. Long the physical layer of the AI stack. Geopolitical escalation (China/Taiwan) disrupts the supply of "atoms" before domestic capacity is ready.	Thread Guy The Financial Market Is About To Change FOREV...
Feb 11	TSM	$374.09 $362.26 -3.2%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM Bloomberg's 2026 Watch List Flags 5 Ideal 'Sa...
Feb 11	TSM	$374.09 $362.26 -3.2%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Hits 52-Week High:...
Feb 11	TSM	$374.09 $362.26 -3.2%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM The 'Nvidia Moment' For Semiconductor Supply ...
Feb 11	TSM	$374.09 $362.26 -3.2%	N/A	Finnhub News	—	Finnhub - TSM AI Anxiety Rattles Wall Street's Old Guard
Feb 10	TSM	$361.91 $362.26 +0.1%	LONG	Becky Quick Co-Anchor, Squawk Box	"The Commerce Department is planning to waive some of the taxes for the so-called hyperscalers on chips that they buy from Taiwan Semiconductor." The threat of tariffs was a major overhang for TSM. If the US government admits that onshoring 40% of supply is "impossible" (as stated by Taiwan's negotiator) and grants waivers, TSM retains its pricing power and volume without the friction of trade war taxes. Bullish for TSM as it removes a geopolitical regulatory cap on their sales to US Tech Giants. The waivers are voluntary or conditional on US investment, which could drag on margins.	CNBC Squawk Pod: Kalshi CEO on Super Bowl wins & N...
Feb 09	TSM	$355.41 $362.26 +1.9%	LONG	Steve Weiss Chief Investment Officer, Short Hills Capital Partners	The speaker owns Taiwan Semi and believes he can "justify" the valuation. Despite trading at multiples far above its historical average, TSM is the critical supplier for the AI boom. Unlike other industrials where the price feels disconnected from reality, TSM's earnings power supports the higher price tag. N/A Geopolitical risks and semiconductor cycle downturns.	CNBC Halftime Investment Committee debates how far...
Feb 04	US SOLAR MANUFACTURING	—	LONG	Chamath Palihapitiya Host, All-In Podcast / CEO, Social Capital	China controls 80-95% of global solar manufacturing, leading to Western supply chain dependency with no fast rebuild path. Chamath explicitly asks, "Where does the opportunity for U.S. energy dominance exist while China controls 80% of global hardware manufacturing?" This strategic vulnerability and the desire for "U.S. energy dominance" will likely drive significant policy support (e.g., tax credits, subsidies, tariffs, domestic content requirements) to incentivize domestic solar manufacturing and supply chain development in the US and other Western nations. Long opportunities in US-based solar manufacturing companies (polysilicon, wafers, cells, modules) or those focused on rebuilding Western supply chains, anticipating strong government backing and strategic investment. Continued overwhelming cost advantage of Chinese manufacturers, insufficient or inconsistent policy support, slow ramp-up of Western capacity, geopolitical tensions escalating beyond economic incentives.	Chamath Palihapitiya Why Is Solar Attracting $500B Every Year
Jan 30	SPACE MANUFACTURING	—	WATCH	Anthony Pompliano Chairman & CEO, Pro Cap Financial	Pomp lists his favorite investments as "problem solvers," specifically naming Varda (space manufacturing for pharmaceuticals) and Rainmaker (weather modification drones). Smart capital is moving into "Hard Tech" and "Deep Tech" that solves physical problems (health, weather) rather than just software/SaaS. While these specific companies are private, this signals a sector rotation toward industrial innovation. Watch for public proxies in Space Economy and Climate Tech. High capital intensity and long time horizons for commercial viability.	The Block Pompliano: Forget inflation, bitcoin's price ...

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