|
Feb 18
|
|
$362.26
$362.26
+0.0%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
$100 Invested In Taiwan Semiconductor 5 Years...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$364.20
$362.26
-0.5%
|
LONG
|
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
US Representative
|
AOC states the US goal is to "avoid any such confrontation" and ensure the question of committing troops "never arises." The primary valuation drag on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is the "geopolitical risk premium"—the fear that the US and China are on an inevitable collision course. If US leadership prioritizes de-escalation and stability over drawing red lines, the immediate probability of kinetic war decreases. A lower probability of war allows TSM to trade on its fundamental AI dominance rather than geopolitical fear. LONG. Stability is the most bullish factor for Taiwan assets. China interprets US reluctance as weakness and accelerates aggressive timelines; economic deterrence fails. |
Bloomberg Markets
AOC Says US Must Avoid 'Any Such Confrontatio...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$364.20
$362.26
-0.5%
|
WATCH
|
Mark Cranfield
Cross Asset Strategist, Bloomberg
|
These three companies are the dominant AI hardware players in Asia, trading at "multi-year highs" with "very stretched valuations," having absorbed tremendous capital flows. Asian markets are currently closed for Lunar New Year. Liquidity mismatch risk. If US tech/AI equities slip while Asian markets are closed, investors cannot adjust positions. When Asian markets reopen, there is a high risk of a "rush for the exit" to unwind these crowded, high-valuation trades, especially since they lack the defensive bid of US hardware players during the holiday. WATCH for a pullback upon market reopen; potential SHORT if US tech weakness persists this week. US Tech rebounds strongly before Asian markets reopen, validating the high valuations. |
Bloomberg Markets
US-Iran Nuclear Talks in Geneva; Trump Will B...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$364.20
$362.26
-0.5%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$364.20
$362.26
-0.5%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$364.20
$362.26
-0.5%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 15
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
Paul Krugman
Nobel Prize-winning Economist, Distinguished Professor, Publisher of the Paul Krugman Substack
|
Regarding the AI boom, Krugman notes, "There's an awful lot of chips produced in Taiwan... so it may not be as much of a stimulus to the US economy." While the US companies (spenders) are risking capital, the manufacturers of the hardware are the immediate beneficiaries of the cash flow. The "leakage" of US stimulus goes directly to Taiwanese manufacturers. LONG the hardware manufacturers receiving the Capex spend. Geopolitical conflict in Taiwan or a sudden halt in US Hyperscaler Capex. |
Monetary Matters
“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
Steve Rattner
Economic Analyst / CEO of Willett Advisors
|
"I think the chips act was generally considered to be a success... we got a bunch of chips factories here and they're building more and more in Arizona." Unlike the auto industry, the semiconductor sector is effectively utilizing government subsidies ($50B Chips Act) to expand physical capacity. This validates the "onshoring" thesis specifically for silicon, but not for other goods. LONG. Government policy is effectively de-risking the capex for these specific companies. Execution delays in Arizona plants or labor shortages. |
Bloomberg Markets
Is Trump’s Manufacturing Comeback Real?
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
NEUTRAL
|
@FirstSquawk
|
TSMC’S US INVESTMENT PLANS AT HEART OF $250BN PUZZLE FOR CHIP SECTOR. |
@FirstSquawk
TSMC’S US INVESTMENT PLANS AT HEART OF $250BN...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent
|
Thread Guy notes the "Bits to Atoms" narrative is the dominant theme, with TSM's chart described as "hyperbullish up only." The Giver agrees, citing Trump's focus on US self-sufficiency and reducing reliance on Chinese supply chains. The "Trump Trade" in 2026 isn't just about lower taxes; it's about physical sovereignty. This requires massive capex in domestic and friendly-nation manufacturing (semiconductors) and critical inputs. TSM is the "Atom" enabling the "Bit" (AI). Long the physical infrastructure of the digital economy. Geopolitical conflict involving Taiwan; tariffs disrupting global trade flows. |
Thread Guy
We Predicted Crypto's FUTURE in 2026 (The Giv...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
WATCH
|
Laura Davison
Washington Bureau Chief
|
The finalized document "doesn't detail" the previously announced $500 billion investment ($250B private / $250B gov guarantees) into the US chip sector. Additionally, while general tariffs dropped to 15%, there are "exceptions for tech." The absence of the investment language creates significant uncertainty regarding the financing and speed of TSMC's US expansion. If the loan guarantees are not locked in, capital expenditure plans may be delayed. Furthermore, if "tech" is an exception to the tariff cut, TSM may not benefit from the 15% rate, leaving it exposed to Trump's volatile trade policy. WATCH. The macro setup is fragile; the deal is signed, but the most critical component for the semiconductor sector (the investment capital) is missing. Trump imposes new tariffs (like he threatened South Korea) or the US chip expansion stalls due to lack of funding guarantees. |
Bloomberg Markets
Taiwan, US Sign Trade Pact
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage of Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
Finnhub News
|
DA Davidson has initiated coverage on Taiwan Semiconductor with a "Buy" rating and set a price target of $450. |
Finnhub - TSM
DA Davidson Initiates Coverage On Taiwan Semi...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
—
|
The US market has underperformed and turned negative for the year, whereas Asian markets are up over 10%. The speaker notes Asia is "at the top of the supply chain" for infrastructure, equipment, and chips (specifically TSMC, Korean memory makers, and Japanese firms). Capital is rotating from US software/tech into Asian hardware/semiconductors because these regions control the physical constraints of the AI boom (chips/memory) and are offering better relative performance than the S&P 500. LONG Asian hardware and indices as the "rest of the world" trade outperforms the US. A global recession dampening demand for semiconductors or geopolitical tensions in the Taiwan Strait. |
Bloomberg Markets
S&P 500 Erases Year’s Gains, Asia Prospers: 3...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
Sharon Ping
Greater China Economist, BofA Global Research
|
BofA raised Taiwan's 2026 GDP growth forecast from 4.5% to 8%. Taiwan is riding a "once in a generation" CapEx supercycle. TSMC's monthly sales track closely with this CapEx boom. The US-Taiwan trade deal removes policy overhang for the tech sector. LONG. The economy is "supercharged" by external demand for AI and hardware. A "K-shaped" economy where non-tech sectors falter could force the central bank into a difficult policy dilemma; currency swings. |
Bloomberg Markets
Chinese Stocks Can't Wait for Holiday Break, ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
LONG
|
Grace Tam
Chief Investment Adviser, BNP Paribas Wealth Management
|
Tam states they favor "AI enablers" specifically "semiconductors, arms, the infrastructure, and especially some of the power related themes." She highlights severe shortages in memory chips and logic wafers in Taiwan and South Korea. While the market sells off "AI losers" (software), the capital expenditure on data centers is not slowing down. This creates high earnings visibility for the hardware manufacturers supplying the shortage. LONG the upstream hardware providers. A sudden halt in global AI CapEx spending. |
Bloomberg Markets
How AI Is Proving to Be a Double-Edged Sword ...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$366.36
$362.26
-1.1%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
US, Taiwan Seal Trade Pact With $84 Billion P...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$368.10
$362.26
-1.6%
|
LONG
|
Finnhub News
|
TSMC is adapting its business focus from smartphone components to the high-growth artificial intelligence sector. |
Finnhub - TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor: Transition From An iPho...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$368.10
$362.26
-1.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
Market Whales and Their Recent Bets on TSM Op...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$368.10
$362.26
-1.6%
|
LONG
|
Elfreda Jonker
Investment Specialist, Alphinity Investment Management
|
Jonker identifies TSMC as a core holding despite broader tech volatility. Regardless of which hyperscaler or software company wins, they all require advanced manufacturing. "All AI roads lead to them." They are the ultimate enabler. Long the "picks and shovels" of the AI hardware cycle. Geopolitical tension in Taiwan or supply chain disruptions. |
Bloomberg Markets
US House Defies Trump on Canada Tariffs | The...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$374.09
$362.26
-3.2%
|
LONG
|
Giver
Macro Analyst / Guest
|
The Trump administration is focused on "making America independent" regarding supply chains. Thread Guy explicitly mentions buying TSM. The "Bits to Atoms" trade is the macro expression of AI requiring physical infrastructure. The bottleneck for AI supremacy is not just code, but energy, chips, and the raw materials (minerals) to build them. Trump's policies favor domestic resilience and friendly manufacturing partners. Long the physical layer of the AI stack. Geopolitical escalation (China/Taiwan) disrupts the supply of "atoms" before domestic capacity is ready. |
Thread Guy
The Financial Market Is About To Change FOREV...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$374.09
$362.26
-3.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
Bloomberg's 2026 Watch List Flags 5 Ideal 'Sa...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$374.09
$362.26
-3.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Hits 52-Week High:...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$374.09
$362.26
-3.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
The 'Nvidia Moment' For Semiconductor Supply ...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$374.09
$362.26
-3.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - TSM
AI Anxiety Rattles Wall Street's Old Guard
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
$361.91
$362.26
+0.1%
|
LONG
|
Becky Quick
Co-Anchor, Squawk Box
|
"The Commerce Department is planning to waive some of the taxes for the so-called hyperscalers on chips that they buy from Taiwan Semiconductor." The threat of tariffs was a major overhang for TSM. If the US government admits that onshoring 40% of supply is "impossible" (as stated by Taiwan's negotiator) and grants waivers, TSM retains its pricing power and volume without the friction of trade war taxes. Bullish for TSM as it removes a geopolitical regulatory cap on their sales to US Tech Giants. The waivers are voluntary or conditional on US investment, which could drag on margins. |
CNBC
Squawk Pod: Kalshi CEO on Super Bowl wins & N...
|
|
Feb 09
|
|
$355.41
$362.26
+1.9%
|
LONG
|
Steve Weiss
Chief Investment Officer, Short Hills Capital Partners
|
The speaker owns Taiwan Semi and believes he can "justify" the valuation. Despite trading at multiples far above its historical average, TSM is the critical supplier for the AI boom. Unlike other industrials where the price feels disconnected from reality, TSM's earnings power supports the higher price tag. N/A Geopolitical risks and semiconductor cycle downturns. |
CNBC
Halftime Investment Committee debates how far...
|