#219 Альфа-оценка 82.9

Ted Oakley

Основатель и управляющий партнер, Oxbow Advisors
@Oxbow_Advisors · отслеживается с фев 2026
219
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 82.9
Сигналы
45
Винрейт
64.4%
доходность
+4.7%
Сигналы 45 7 Постов отслежено · 0.0/день
Сигналы
0
30д 13
90д 22
Лучшие сигналы
NESR Лонг +47.9%
AEM Лонг +40.2%
NOG Лонг +27.6%
Худшие сигналы
GIL Лонг -30.6%
RIG Лонг -17.7%
CPB Лонг -14.5%
Самые упоминаемые
GOLD ×5
GDX ×4
SLB ×4
Последние сигналы
DBA Лонг 1 неделю назад
ADM Лонг 1 неделю назад
SCCO Лонг 1 неделю назад
Винрейт 64% Лонг 45 Шорт 0
Винрейт
56%
30д 38%
90д 41%
Средняя доходность +4.7% Доходность лонгов +4.7% Доходность шортов -
Средняя доходность
-0.5%
30д -2.6%
90д -2.9%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
15 апр
$441.12
-10.0%
Gold is good buy on dips to $4,000.
Gold is a good investment, and if it dips back to $4,000, it would be a good buy, as he sold some at highs but remains bullish due to currency debasement and inflation.
Сырьё
Лонг
15 апр
$98.35
-3.3%
Gold miners are cheap with huge margins.
Gold miners are cheap compared to cash flow, have huge margins due to high gold prices, and are not heavily owned, making them attractive long-term investments.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
15 апр
$52.53
+9.3%
Schlumberger benefits from conflict-driven repairs.
Bought more Schlumberger (referred to as SL Slumber) yesterday because its business of fixing things will be good with everything blown up in conflicts, leading to increased demand.
Нефть и газ
Лонг
16 июл
$50.53
+14.6%
Silver set to move up next year.
Silver, along with gold and miners, will benefit from the washing out of momentum players and is set for a nice move upward into next year.
Сырьё
Лонг
16 июн
$27.92
+14.5%
Товарный суперцикл на начальной стадии.
Следующие 10 лет станут суперциклом, основанным на сырьевых товарах. Страны по всему миру накапливают сырье (нефть, удобрения, критически важные минералы) вместо того, чтобы свободно торговать им. Этот структурный сдвиг приведет к долгосрочному росту цен на сырьевые товары.
Сырьё
Лонг
21 мая
$192.50
+9.6%
Energy underowned, expect massive rally.
Energy is massively underowned at only 3% of the S&P 500, up 35% year-to-date, and will likely rip like gold and silver did last year as investors scramble to catch up. He owns a full spectrum from producers (Chevron, Exxon, Matador) to midstream/pipelines (Enterprise Products, Energy Transfer) to rigs (Transocean, Noble Drilling) and services (Schlumberger, National Energy Services Reunited). The thesis is supported by strong cash flows, dividends, and years of required maintenance work.
Нефть и газ
Лонг
21 мая
$57.05
+3.8%
Energy underowned, expect massive rally.
Energy is massively underowned at only 3% of the S&P 500, up 35% year-to-date, and will likely rip like gold and silver did last year as investors scramble to catch up. He owns a full spectrum from producers (Chevron, Exxon, Matador) to midstream/pipelines (Enterprise Products, Energy Transfer) to rigs (Transocean, Noble Drilling) and services (Schlumberger, National Energy Services Reunited). The thesis is supported by strong cash flows, dividends, and years of required maintenance work.
Нефть и газ
Лонг
21 мая
$7.22
-17.7%
Energy underowned, expect massive rally.
Energy is massively underowned at only 3% of the S&P 500, up 35% year-to-date, and will likely rip like gold and silver did last year as investors scramble to catch up. He owns a full spectrum from producers (Chevron, Exxon, Matador) to midstream/pipelines (Enterprise Products, Energy Transfer) to rigs (Transocean, Noble Drilling) and services (Schlumberger, National Energy Services Reunited). The thesis is supported by strong cash flows, dividends, and years of required maintenance work.
Нефть и газ
Лонг
15 апр
$23.47
+47.9%
National Energy Services benefits from Middle East work.
National Energy Services Reunited does all its work in the Middle East, and with the region messed up due to conflict, there will be a lot of work for such companies, driving business.
Нефть и газ
Лонг
15 апр
$122.62
+15.1%
Oil higher for longer, buy on dips.
Oil will be higher for longer than people expect due to geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz and supply disruptions, and it's a good investment especially when prices are down, as seen in recent declines.
Сырьё
Лонг
17 фев
$83.03
-1.7%
Oakley states his firm keeps about 50% of assets in short-term Treasuries and recently moved duration out to three years to "lock" rates. He anticipates a mid-year market decline typical of the second year of a presidential term. Moving to 3-year duration secures yield before potential rate cuts while avoiding the inflation risk inherent in 10-30 year bonds. LONG short-to-intermediate duration Treasuries as a cash proxy and volatility buffer. Inflation spikes significantly above the locked yield; missed upside if equities rally continuously.
Oakley states his firm keeps about 50% of assets in short-term Treasuries and recently moved duration out to three years to "lock" rates. He anticipates a mid-year market decline typical of the second year of a presidential term. Moving to 3-year duration secures yield before potential rate cuts while avoiding the inflation risk inherent in 10-30 year bonds. LONG short-to-intermediate duration Treasuries as a cash proxy and volatility buffer. Inflation spikes significantly above the locked yield; missed upside if equities rally continuously.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
17 фев
$53.75
+20.6%
He states they own oil and oil service stocks because they are "underowned" (2.3% of S&P vs historical 30%) and pay high dividends. He believes global oil supply is lower than the IEA estimates and that prices will be much higher in 2-3 years. The sector provides a hedge against the structural inflation he predicts. LONG Energy producers and services. Global recession crushing energy demand; geopolitical resolution increasing supply.
He states they own oil and oil service stocks because they are "underowned" (2.3% of S&P vs historical 30%) and pay high dividends. He believes global oil supply is lower than the IEA estimates and that prices will be much higher in 2-3 years. The sector provides a hedge against the structural inflation he predicts. LONG Energy producers and services. Global recession crushing energy demand; geopolitical resolution increasing supply.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
11 авг
$17.78
+7.5%
Precious metals and miners are cheap again.
Gold and silver miners corrected 35–40% earlier this year and have been replenished at much cheaper prices over the last six weeks. Gold around $4,000–4,300 is poised to do well in the second half of 2026. Silver, gold miners, and royalty companies offer attractive value after the correction.
Металлы/добыча
Лонг
16 июл
$138.50
+40.2%
AEM corrected 35% high free cash flow.
Agnico Eagle Mines is the number one gold mining holding, having corrected 35-40% from its highs. Its free cash flow yield is very high, and the wide spread between the gold price and extraction costs means the company will make a lot of money over the next two to three years.
Металлы/добыча
Лонг
16 июл
$33.74
+18.6%
Antero cheap natural gas producer buy.
Antero Resources is a top natural gas producer trading at only about 8 times next year's earnings, making it cheap on a valuation basis. The stock offers value in the gas side of energy production.
Нефть и газ
Показано 15 из 45 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У Ted Oakley на Buzzberg отслеживается 45 торговых идей по 45 тикерам с февраля 2026. винрейт 64% по 45 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +4.7%. #219 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: GOLD, GDX, SLB.