Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Reddit split between Nvidia dip-buyers and sellers, while r/stocks commenters warned about Nvidia's circular financing of CoreWeave.
Themes on this desk
Nvidia dip-buying versus exits
Some authors disclosed buying Nvidia after the selloff, including a filled $159.50 limit order and 20 shares, while a r/wallstreetbets author urged getting out and a r/NVDA_Stock commenter said the stock will never regain its all-time high.
Circular financing fears
Commenters argued Nvidia effectively bankrolls CoreWeave and warned that an unwind of circular financing, with Huang gone, would have a devastating ripple effect.
Highest engagement
by score · day changeNvidia's prepaid supply could speed AMD share gains, a r/AMD_Stock author argues
The author argues Nvidia's prepaid supply commitments could free wafer and memory capacity and accelerate AMD's share gains as Helios ramps.
Prepaid supply chain doom loop for Nvidia = more rapid share gains for AMD?
Freed wafer and memory capacity would accelerate AMD's share gains, per the author.
Watch AMD's Helios ramp.
Source →Samsung's new Asan memory line is dedicated to HBM rather than ordinary DRAM
The author reads Samsung's dedicated HBM Asan line as a shift toward rationing scarce AI memory rather than flooding DRAM.
Samsung's new memory line only makes one chip.
The author flags the shift toward rationing as a pattern worth watching.
Watch Samsung's HBM versus DRAM capacity allocation.
Source →Hua Hong Grace beat the top of its August guidance on Q3 revenue and gross margin, excluding the merged foundry
The analysis flags a like-for-like revenue and gross-margin beat plus Q4 growth guidance, while questioning whether pricing can hold as utilization falls.
Excluding the newly merged foundry, Hua Hong Grace beat the top of its August guidance range on both third quarter
Pricing durability is the open question as utilization falls, per the post.
Watch Hua Hong pricing and utilization in Q4.
Source →A roughly 57% drop in lithium carbonate futures since May tests sodium-ion's cost case
The author examines whether the drop weakens sodium-ion's cost advantage and leaves CATL's 2027 system cost-parity target more exposed.
Does the cost case for sodium-ion batteries weaken after the roughly 57% drop in lithium carbonate futures since May?
Cheaper lithium could leave CATL's 2027 sodium-ion cost-parity target more exposed, per the author.
Watch CATL's 2027 sodium-ion system cost-parity target.
Source →Utility CEOs say electricity demand growth from data centers is not slowing
The post relays utility CEOs' view that electricity demand growth, including data centers, is not slowing, with projects potentially relocating to states like Louisiana or Oklahoma.
Is the data center boom really slowing down?
The view counters the idea that the data-center boom is slowing.
Watch Data-center projects relocating to Louisiana or Oklahoma.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoteOverdraft fee revenue hit a four-year high, with JPMorgan and Wells Fargo collecting $590 million combined
The post highlights overdraft fee revenue at a four-year high, with JPMorgan and Wells Fargo collecting $590 million combined, and frames it as an economic warning sign.
Here's an economic warning sign nobody should ignore Here's an economic warning sign nobody should ignore:
The post treats rising overdraft revenue as an economic warning sign rather than a trade.
Watch Bank overdraft fee revenue in coming quarters.
Source →A r/stocks author warns rising 10-year yields could trigger another AI stock selloff over the next month
The author warns rising 10-year Treasury yields could trigger another AI stock selloff and favors Alphabet's mandatory convertible preferred (GOOGM) as a high-yield pick.
I would be wary of another big sell off in AI stocks over the next month and here’s why It’s
Rising 10-year yields are the author's stated trigger for another AI stock selloff.
Watch 10-year Treasury yields over the next month.
Source →