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Premarket Alpha Midday Alpha Post-Market Alpha

Daily Alpha · Reddit

311threads

Themes on this desk

Alphabet dip-buying

Retail disclosures cluster around buying Alphabet at $279-289 and calls targeting $310-320, while a bearish post argues AI is already eating search and earnings confirm the trend.

Memory/SanDisk battleground

SanDisk draws both conviction and shorts: some cite ~5x forward earnings and quadruple down on calls, while others short it or add major DRAM names.

Highest engagement

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4score
r/wallstreetbets

A full-portfolio Tesla bet uses December $240 puts

A WallStreetBets user discloses a full-portfolio bearish bet on Tesla via December $240-strike puts.

Full port TSLA PUTS, $240 strike price, expiring December

Retail options positioning can amplify moves around midterms and delivery updates; the strike defines the bet.

Watch TSLA price relative to $240 into December, midterm outcome, and delivery data.

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3score
r/wallstreetbets

What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, November 2, 2026

Author predicts silver will crash to $20/oz and stagnate for ~15 years, citing the post-2010 top as precedent.

Silver will crash to 20 oz and stay there for another 15 years like it did after the 2010 top Source →
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2score
r/wallstreetbets

What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, November 2, 2026

Author reports buying SPY long-dated calls at Friday's low.

Bought SPY leaps at the bottom on Friday 🙏 Source →
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1score
r/SecurityAnalysis

Palantir's 148x earnings leaves no room for guided deceleration into Q3

The post argues Palantir's 148x earnings multiple is priced for growth that its own guidance shows decelerating, with consensus above the company's Q3 guide ahead of Monday's report.

PLTR: 148x Earnings. What Could Go Wrong? Palantir reports Q3 Monday after the close. Give the bulls their due first:

A high-multiple AI name reporting into a valuation-sensitive tape is a binary test for the broader software and AI trade.

Watch Q3 revenue and guidance versus consensus; any sign that growth is decelerating faster than the guide.

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1score
r/ValueInvesting

NIO's first delivery decline in 31 months makes the 40% growth target unreachable

The bearish analysis says October's first year-over-year delivery decline in 31 months makes the 40% growth target arithmetically unreachable and supports a $2.95 fair value below the roughly $3.20 price.

The streak is dead: NIO's first decline in 31 months — and the 40% growth target died with it NIO

The analysis puts the 40% growth target out of reach and values the stock below its recent price, so the growth case now needs delivery evidence.

Watch November deliveries and any revision to the 40% growth target; the $2.95 fair-value estimate versus the share price.

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Most argued

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1score
r/IndianStockMarket

India's 294 IPOs show a 12.83% average listing gain but only a 2.91% median

An analysis of 294 January-October 2026 IPOs finds a 12.83% average listing gain versus a 2.91% median, arguing averages overstate typical IPO performance.

294 IPOs. Average listing gain: 12.83%. Median: just 2.91%. Is India's IPO performance being overstated by averages?

A wide gap between average and median signals a few large winners masking weak breadth, a caution for retail IPO demand.

Watch Median listing gains and the share of IPOs below issue price in the next batch.

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1 comment
1score
r/wallstreetbets

A retail account calls XLE a full-port hedge while conflict persists

A WallStreetBets commenter calls XLE a boring but effective hedge and advocates a full-port allocation for as long as the ongoing conflict lasts.

The most boring yet genius hedge has been XLE just full port until the never ending conflict never ends

The post is a positioning signal: one retail account is treating XLE as a hedge for an ongoing conflict.

Watch Whether the conflict persists and XLE's relative performance.

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