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· Midday Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
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Market Radar →Chamath: chip companies will move up the stack as app companies move down
Reacting to Microsoft's Maia announcement, Chamath says everyone in AI will soon offer their own silicon, cloud and applications, and asks whether distribution, data or power will be the lasting constraint.
You should expect the silicon chip companies to move up the stack as the application companies move down the stack.
Microsoft says Maia 300 delivers 40% more tokens per watt than leading GPU-based systems.
Watch Maia multi-gigawatt deployments from next calendar year.
Source →Barclays sees Micron DRAM supply constrained through CY28
Barclays says Micron's DRAM supply stays constrained through CY28 as DDR5 spot pricing rose 8% m/m, and models FQ1 DRAM ASP up 7% q/q versus 8% consensus.
Barclays: Micron's DRAM supply is set to remain constrained through CY28 as DDR5 spot pricing jumped 8% MoM.
New customer supply agreements now track market pricing rather than floor and ceiling structures.
Watch Micron FQ1 DRAM ASP versus consensus.
Source →Sikand calls the AST SpaceMobile selloff irrational
Michael Sikand argues that if SpaceX plans to compete directly in the mobile network market, AST SpaceMobile becomes an operational necessity for every global carrier.
It's that simple. https://t.co/LOGrUpc6a6 > Michael Sikand (@michaelsikand) > $ASTS: sell off is irrational.
It is the bull counter to the selloff in ASTS.
Source →Microsoft's Maia push read as bullish for AVGO and MRVL
@jpinsights says Microsoft's plan to scale Maia to multi-gigawatt deployments is bullish for AVGO and MRVL, though it does not confirm a win for either.
I think this is bullish for companies like $AVGO and $MRVL.
It shows hyperscalers' financial incentive to keep investing in custom silicon and networking.
Source →Nanya's 3Q26 revenue rose 60% q/q to $4.18B on price alone
Nanya's 3Q26 revenue rose 60% q/q and 566% y/y to $4.18B at 85.7% gross margin; ASP rose more than 60% q/q while bit shipments fell. LTAs cover 50-70% of output.
Nanya 3Q26 - Legacy DRAM tightness proxy at 85.7% GM - Revenue up 60% q/q and 566% y/y to $4.18B
Nanya is a proxy for legacy DRAM tightness.
Source →