Bill Gates foresees massive AI job loss: these VCs disagree | E2330

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 26, 2026 at 23:49  |  1:30:44  |  This Week in Startups
Speakers
Jason Calacanis — Angel Investor / Founder, LAUNCH
Hussein Kanji — Partner, Hoxton Ventures
Dave McClure — Venture Capitalist
Sheel Mohnot — Partner, Better Tomorrow Ventures

Summary

The VC roundtable debates Bill Gates' AI job-loss essay, with guests pushing back on token taxes and emphasizing AI acceleration, cheap solar, robotics, and private market liquidity. They discuss Meta's $17.1B child safety settlement, Stripe's purchase of OpenRouter, and the fast-moving AI agent wars. The panel closes by sharing portfolio winners across AI accounting, materials science, drug discovery, sovereign AI, Latin American fintech/lending, and AI training.

  • Bill Gates warns AI will displace jobs and calls for new institutions, AI taxes, and human-only jobs; VCs debate coordination and policy.
  • Panel sees AI driving productivity and a sole-proprietorship boom but disagrees on the timing of blue-collar job displacement.
  • Jason argues solar is now cheaper than coal and Texas is leading US solar buildout.
  • Meta settles child safety lawsuits for $17.1B; Hussein notes the fine is small relative to Meta's cash flow and stock reaction.
  • Stripe's OpenRouter acquisition is framed as strategically coupling payments and AI inference routing.
  • Dave presents data showing private tender offers have boomed to $30-40B annually and are becoming the new employee liquidity market.
  • Portfolio winners discussed include Basis, MOTU, EquityB, CuspAI, Pepone, Apacus, and Micro One.
  • AI agent adoption is accelerating sharply, with OpenAI agent users rising from 200k to 20M in months.
Ideas
Jason Calacanis Angel Investor / Founder, LAUNCH 11:24
Solar now cheaper than coal.
Jason argues that capitalism and innovation have made solar and batteries so cheap that solar is now less expensive than retrofitting or building coal, Texas is the largest US solar provider, and local energy builders choose the most profitable next supply, so solar likely wins in most cases unless a data center can sit directly on a natural gas field.
Hussein Kanji Partner, Hoxton Ventures 35:26
Meta settlement financially manageable.
Meta's $17.1B child safety settlement is small relative to its market cap and roughly 10% of free cash flow; the stock rose more than the fine amount on the settlement, so the financial and regulatory overhang is manageable even if the social harms are real.
Dave McClure Venture Capitalist 45:48
Fintech and e-commerce still attractive.
Even though most VC attention is on AI, Dave argues fintech and e-commerce are still large, growing, and not overfunded, especially outside the US and in emerging markets, making them attractive areas despite being out of favor in the US venture world.
Hussein Kanji Partner, Hoxton Ventures 46:54
Stripe-OpenRouter ties payments to AI.
Hussein sees Stripe's acquisition of OpenRouter as strategic because Stripe routes payments while OpenRouter routes AI inference, giving Stripe visibility into where AI spend happens and coupling payments with the AI infrastructure layer, even though the price reflects a big bet.
Hussein Kanji Partner, Hoxton Ventures 54:15
Robotics and physical AI still open.
VC has shifted from anti-hardware to pro-hardware, and Hussein argues language-related AI is largely settled while robotics and physical AI remain up for grabs with real defensibility because hardware is hard; he is a big believer and has already invested in a stealth robotics frontier model with a more efficient training technique.
Dave McClure Venture Capitalist 75:59
Elon's xAI infrastructure pivot created value.
Dave credits Elon Musk for a massive pivot at xAI; the company was originally valuable mostly for infrastructure and capex, but that infrastructure is now being rented to Anthropic and Google, and the addition of Cursor created an 'Elon web services' line that may become the majority of revenue.
Dave McClure Venture Capitalist 83:39
OpenAI agent growth inflecting sharply.
Dave highlights OpenAI's accelerating agent adoption: active agent users grew from 200k in January to 20M by late August, about a 4x increase in two months, while the CFO said OpenAI would IPO in 2027 or sooner if growth keeps inflecting, and OpenAI revenue growth is reaccelerating.
Sheel Mohnot Partner, Better Tomorrow Ventures 85:33
AI accounting automation Basis growing fast.
Sheel highlights Basis as an AI accounting company that automates junior accountant work, analogous to Harvey or Lora in law; the company has shown amazing growth because accounting firms are actually using the product, and he led the seed before Khosla and Excel led later rounds.
Dave McClure Venture Capitalist 86:54
Brazilian MOTU profitable, growing fast.
Dave says MOTU, a motorcycle manufacturing and small business lending company for delivery drivers in São Paulo, is one of his best LatAm investments: it is profitable, doing over $300M revenue, growing 60-70% per year, and still very reasonably priced.
Dave McClure Venture Capitalist 87:41
EquityB unlocks employee option liquidity.
Dave recently invested in EquityB because it provides employee stock option forward contracts, letting locked-up employees finance, exercise, and hold shares and obtain liquidity before their shares are actually available, which is useful for employees leaving companies.
Hussein Kanji Partner, Hoxton Ventures 88:22
CuspAI material science marked up fast.
Hussein says CuspAI, an AI for material science company, received Hoxton's inception $10M check and is now worth $2.6B after Kleiner marked it up within two years, making it nearly a fund returner.
Jason Calacanis Angel Investor / Founder, LAUNCH 89:28
Sovereign AI Apacus has waitlist demand.
Jason incubated Apacus 18 months ago for on-prem and sovereign AI; it puts one server into banking and healthcare facilities so they can build their own large language models without handing data to frontier providers or risking leakage, and the product has a waitlist, a sign of strong demand.
Up Next

This This Week in Startups video, published August 26, 2026, features Jason Calacanis, Hussein Kanji, Dave McClure, Sheel Mohnot discussing SOLAR, META, FINTECH, E-COMMERCE, EEM, STRIPE, ROBO, XAI, OPENAI, Basis, MOTU, EquityB, CuspAI, Apacus. 12 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jason Calacanis, Hussein Kanji, Dave McClure, Sheel Mohnot  · Tickers: SOLAR, META, FINTECH, E-COMMERCE, EEM, STRIPE, ROBO, XAI, OPENAI, Basis, MOTU, EquityB, CuspAI, Apacus