Main 10x Stock Portfolio — Second Week of May 2026 Update

Outlier Capital · Outlier Capital · May 17, 2026 at 12:45 · ⏱ 2 min read  | Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The author provides a weekly update on their Main 10x Stock Portfolio, detailing closed positions, current holdings, and recent trimming of LUNR and IQE to lock in profits. They emphasize a conviction-driven approach focused on asymmetric upside with fundamental downside protection, maintaining 11 positions across a mix of top performers and laggards.
  • 9 out of 11 current positions are positive on an unrealized basis, with SIVE, LUNR, IQE, LWLG, and USAR as top performers.
  • LUNR and IQE were trimmed by ~10% each to lock in gains of +69% and +96% respectively, but remain core holdings.
  • OUST was moved from the Small 100x Portfolio to the Main 10x Portfolio, while SERV was moved out.
  • The author is not planning to trade short-term volatility and sees the portfolio as a basket of high-conviction asymmetric setups.
Read time 2 min
Length 2,144 chars
Category finance
Ideas
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
The author includes USAR among top portfolio performers, indicating it is a current long holding in the conviction-driven basket.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
HPS is listed as a positive position in the author's portfolio, held as part of the conviction-driven basket.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
SMR is a current laggard but still held; the author maintains conviction in the portfolio despite short-term underperformance.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
The author holds LWLG, having sold 15% to take profits, but retains the bulk of the position as a core holding.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
The author holds SIVE as part of a conviction-driven portfolio, having sold only 15% of the position to lock in gains while retaining the majority.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
The author explicitly states IQE is a position; they trimmed 10% to lock in profits but still hold the majority, citing enormous upside potential.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
HIMS is the largest laggard but remains a position in the conviction-driven portfolio; the author is not trading around short-term volatility.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
The author moved OUST from the Small 100x Portfolio to the Main 10x Portfolio, and it is listed as a positive position.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
AMSC is a current positive position in the author's portfolio.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
FLNC is a current long holding in the portfolio, showing positive unrealized gains.
Outlier Capital Substack author, Outlier Capital
The author explicitly states LUNR is a position; they trimmed 10% to lock in gains while maintaining conviction in its upside potential.
More from Outlier Capital

This newsletter, published May 17, 2026, features Outlier Capital discussing USAR, HPS, SMR, LWLG, SIVE, IQE, HIMS, OUST, AMSC, FLNC, LUNR. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Outlier Capital  · Tickers: USAR, HPS, SMR, LWLG, SIVE, IQE, HIMS, OUST, AMSC, FLNC, LUNR