Feb 4, 2026 Market Recap: Palantir Proved It With Earnings, But Is the Stock Market Afraid of Rates?

[26.02.04.시황] 팔란티어, 실적으로 증명했지만…주식 시장은 금리가 무섭다? [월가 뉴스레터]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 03, 2026 at 22:18  |  47:36  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-sung — Global Market Strategist
Yeo Doeun — Host

Summary

Feb 4, 2026 market recap with Park Myung-sung and Yeo Do-hoon. The discussion focused on rate-driven volatility, possible rotation from tech into staples and energy, strong but controversial Palantir earnings, AMD's guidance-driven selloff, and weak PayPal and Chipotle results. Other themes included gold and silver as safe havens, geopolitical oil risk, Bitcoin's rate vulnerability, critical minerals, space and SpaceX-xAI speculation, and logistics and shipping beneficiaries.

  • US equities were volatile as the 10-year Treasury yield and Fed uncertainty pressured tech.
  • The guest highlighted rotation into consumer staples and energy, with Walmart and PepsiCo as defensive examples.
  • Palantir earnings showed strong growth, while AMD guidance raised AI-chip peak concerns.
  • Gold and silver regained safe-haven attention amid debt, central-bank buying, and geopolitical risk.
  • Bitcoin and crypto-related equities remained under pressure, though some institutions were bottom-fishing.
  • Space, critical minerals, and logistics and shipping were framed as potential beneficiaries of strategic resource competition.
  • Weak PayPal and Chipotle results were seen as signs of a softer consumer in parts of the market.
Ideas
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 4:49
Rates are the key market risk.
The main driver of the equity selloff is rates: the 10-year Treasury yield kept touching 4.3% after Kevin Hassett's nomination, pressuring stocks, while the shutdown resolution pushed yields down and helped a late rebound. If yields stay high, equities remain vulnerable; if they fall, market pressure can ease.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 7:18
Software sector faces AI disruption risk.
The software sector is showing capitulation risk as AI tools such as OpenClaw and Google's Project Genie raise fears of disruption to software and game engines, pressuring related shares. This is a developing bearish setup to monitor rather than a clean directional short.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 10:12
Walmart is resilient AI-enabled defensive retail.
Walmart's entry into the $1 trillion market-cap club is notable because it is not a big-tech company; it has used AI to lift its value and remains resilient even with a soft economy, supporting the defensive retail trade.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 10:45
Diversify from tech into staples, energy.
The market is rotating rather than simply punishing tech: consumer staples and energy are rising on pullbacks, and investors with overly tech-concentrated portfolios should diversify into these non-tech sectors if rotation continues.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 11:51
KOSDAQ may attract momentum-driven liquidity.
In Korea, if the KOSPI corrects, investors may need to take more risk in small/mid-caps and KOSDAQ, where liquidity can concentrate around momentum and news rather than earnings; this is a developing area to watch.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 12:52
Gold and silver are safe-haven buys.
Gold and silver are regaining safe-haven status after speculative leverage was flushed out. Central banks and sovereign funds are accumulating them amid debt expansion, currency debasement, and Ray Dalio's warning of a capital war/pre-war resource competition, so the speaker expects them to remain holdings.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 13:32
Oil geopolitical risk premium worth watching.
Oil is being driven by geopolitical risk: the US shot down an Iranian drone, Iran's nuclear talks are uncertain, and crude rebounded 3%. The speaker sees a volatile geopolitical risk premium rather than a clean trend, so this is a monitorable setup.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 14:04
AI data center demand is inevitable.
AI investment must continue, and data center and power demand are inevitable. Memory and optical fiber are essential bottlenecks as copper lines are replaced by fiber for efficiency, while Siemens is investing in US manufacturing and AI-related equipment demand is rising; this supports the broader AI data center infrastructure supply chain.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 14:38
Chipotle traffic decline pressures shares.
Chipotle beat revenue estimates but traffic fell for the fourth straight quarter, meaning sales growth came from higher prices rather than more customers. The stock is falling on that weak traffic and affordability concern.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 22:16
Bitcoin is a rate-sensitive battleground.
Bitcoin is the most vulnerable asset to high rates and has broken down to its lowest since November 2024. Prediction markets see a possible drop to $59,000 and Strategy capitulation as the bottom, but some institutions are bottom-fishing, so it is a battleground setup to watch.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 31:10
Palantir growth remains strong despite valuation.
Palantir's earnings showed strong fundamental momentum: revenue growth is clear, Rule of 40 reached 127, commercial revenue is expanding, and RPO is surging as customers line up beyond capacity. The speaker says revenue growth is likely to continue and the stock showed relative strength despite ongoing valuation debate.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 34:38
AMD guidance raises AI-chip peak fears.
AMD beat Q4 estimates and showed strong data-center growth, but its Q1 revenue guidance of $9.8 billion is below Q4's $10.3 billion, implying a sequential decline. That raised concerns about slowing growth and a possible peak in AI chips, sending the stock down more than 7% after hours.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 36:41
PayPal weakness signals soft US consumer.
PayPal's weak revenue, soft guidance, and declining transactions suggest the US consumer may be weaker than thought and that substitute platforms are taking share, making the stock unattractive after its plunge.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 37:04
PepsiCo is a defensive catch-up staple.
PepsiCo is a defensive consumer staple and an alternative in uncertain markets. It had lagged, is pursuing active shareholder returns, and is catching up as investors rotate away from expensive tech.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 37:36
Crypto-related equities remain under pressure.
Galaxy Digital, a crypto-related company that pivoted from mining toward data centers, is not making money from that pivot. In a weak crypto environment, crypto-related equities like Galaxy Digital are likely to keep falling.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 39:08
Space theme could start, IPO risk.
The SpaceX-xAI merger, plans for space data centers, and the Artemis 2 launch next month may mark the start of a space-related rally. However, SpaceX's monopoly and a potential June IPO could absorb capital and cool listed space stocks; if the IPO is strong, the sector premium may continue.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 40:45
Nvidia selloff is mostly noise.
Negative headlines that OpenAI is seeking alternatives to Nvidia and that the US may be behind China in AI are noise. Both Sam Altman and Jensen Huang have denied problems, and the underlying AI demand remains intact, so the selloff is not justified by fundamentals.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 42:41
AI test demand boosts Teradyne.
Teradyne is benefiting from exploding demand for AI semiconductor test equipment, which drove a sharp earnings-related stock surge even in a difficult market.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 42:55
Critical minerals rally on stockpile plan.
A $12 billion US critical minerals stockpile plan is fueling rare earth and mineral stocks, with USA Rare Earth up more than 16%; Europe may join the effort, and copper-related names such as Freeport-McMoRan and Albemarle are also rising. Strategic resource competition supports the theme.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 43:25
Logistics, shipping benefit from resource race.
FedEx does not reflect the true value of its freight business. If the market moves toward a pre-war/resource-competition scenario, companies that move goods—FedEx, shipping, and shipbuilding—should continue to attract interest.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published February 03, 2026, features Park Myung-sung discussing US10Y, IGV, WMT, XLP, XLE, KOSDAQ, GLD, SILVER, WTI, AI Data Center Infrastructure, CMG, BTC, PLTR, AMD, PYPL, PEP, GLXY, SPACE, NVDA, TER, REMX, COPPER, FDX, SHIPPING, Shipbuilding. 20 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-sung  · Tickers: US10Y, IGV, WMT, XLP, XLE, KOSDAQ, GLD, SILVER, WTI, AI Data Center Infrastructure, CMG, BTC, PLTR, AMD, PYPL, PEP, GLXY, SPACE, NVDA, TER, REMX, COPPER, FDX, SHIPPING, Shipbuilding