China Urges Banks to Curb US Treasuries Exposure | The China Show 02/10/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 10, 2026 at 06:33  |  1:31:48  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Aidan Yao — Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute
WINNIE SUE — Asia Markets Reporter
Sangmi Cha — Bloomberg
Monica Hsiao — Founder and CEO, Triada Capital
Iris — FX and Rates Reporter, Bloomberg
Edward Chan — Portfolio Manager, Mirae Asset Global Investments
Kristalina Georgieva — Managing Director, International Monetary Fund
Min Lowe — China Correspondent, Bloomberg
Peter Ekstrom — Global Tech Executive Editor, Bloomberg
David Ingles — Anchor, Bloomberg
Annabel Droulers — Anchor, Bloomberg TV

Summary

The China Show opens with Asia-Pacific equities at record highs, a softer dollar, and China's guidance to banks to curb US Treasury exposure. Guests discuss AI capex financing, China's equity-market bifurcation, credit-market risks, JGB tail risk, and Taiwan and Korea semiconductor strength. Portfolio managers favor selective AI exposure, Asian equities, short-dated high-yield credit, and China bonds, while flagging leveraged loans, SoftBank bonds, and China property.

  • Asia-Pacific stocks rally as risk appetite returns; the dollar weakens and the yuan strengthens.
  • China regulators urge banks to limit US Treasury exposure, though the direct bank impact is seen as small.
  • Alphabet raises $20 billion in oversubscribed bonds, easing some concerns about funding AI capex.
  • FTSE Russell postpones Indonesia's index review, keeping index-classification risk in focus.
  • Aidan Yao favors Asia, emerging markets, Japan, India, Vietnam, China equities and a US curve steepener; he is cautious on Magnificent 7 concentration and China property.
  • Monica Hsiao prefers gold and non-US sovereigns over US Treasuries, short-dated high-yield carry and EM credit; she is cautious on long duration, leveraged loans and SoftBank bonds, and watches JGBs.
  • Edward Chan is overweight TSMC, positive on the AI semiconductor supply chain and sees China as essential to humanoid robotics adoption.
  • Iris reports China's 10-year yield below 1.8% on abundant liquidity, while Kristalina Georgieva says a softer dollar helps emerging markets but the dollar's reserve role remains strong.
Ideas
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 18:19
Curve steepener is focal allocation trade
Aidan expects the front end of the US Treasury curve to remain anchored by Fed rate-cut pricing while the long end stays pressured by fiscal concerns and Fed uncertainty, making a curve steepener one of his focal asset-allocation trades this year.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 18:37
AI is not a bubble, long runway
Aidan says Asia's best-performing sectors across mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea and Japan are all AI-related, and Asia plays a key role in the global AI ecosystem, offering diversification for investors worried about Magnificent 7 valuations.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 19:34
Mag 7 frothy, diversify instead
The narrow, expensive AI investment case centered on the Magnificent 7 shows signs of froth, so Aidan recommends a more selective and diversified approach rather than concentrating in those seven stocks.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 20:01
Balance China and US tech
Aidan says portfolios have been too lopsided toward the US, while China and the US are competing neck-and-neck in AI and the contest is too close to call, so he recommends clients build a more balanced approach between China and US tech.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 20:24
AI ecosystem broadens beyond Mag 7
Aidan thinks the AI revolution will broaden beyond the Magnificent 7; with infrastructure and supply chain reasonably priced, he points to upstream utilities and energy and downstream applications as ways to fish across the ecosystem.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 27:45
Asia and EM are favored
Aidan likes Asia and emerging markets, saying Asia is a large part of EM and should benefit from global diversification away from USD-denominated assets and structural weakness in the US dollar.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 28:39
Reforms support shareholder returns
Aidan sees a global reform story: Korea and Japan have benefited, Singapore performed on corporate reform, and China's regulatory changes aim to increase shareholder returns, supporting high-dividend stocks.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 29:26
India and Vietnam liked long term
Longer term, Aidan likes India and Vietnam amid changing economic and geopolitical waters.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 30:03
China equities powered by new China
Aidan says China equities are powered by new China themes including AI, technology, innovative drugs and new consumption, with underweight global positioning, abundant household deposits and forceful policy support; however, earnings need to catch up to justify further rally.
Aidan Yao Senior Investment Strategist, Amundi Investment Institute 30:35
China property still drags economy
Aidan says old China real estate remains a drag on the economy; without a clear bottom in property prices, household balance sheets and confidence will hold back spending.
WINNIE SUE Asia Markets Reporter 32:42
China tech momentum is fading
Winnie says China tech is losing momentum because of global tech volatility, a lack of domestic catalysts such as new AI models or stimulus, and earnings that have not yet come through; onshore tech is down about 6% since its January peak.
WINNIE SUE Asia Markets Reporter 33:40
China consumer names attract rotation
Winnie says allocation is shifting toward China consumer names such as retail, restaurants and airlines on expectations for more spending.
Sangmi Cha Bloomberg 35:07
Korea discount persists despite rally
Sangmi says the Korea discount persists despite a $1.7 trillion rally because family-run chaebol structures and inheritance-tax incentives historically encouraged low valuations; reforms are needed, though book values and earnings growth have improved.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 50:58
Gold over US Treasuries for reserves
Monica says China's guidance to banks to curb US Treasury exposure is part of a broader reserve-diversification trend; as central banks consider sanctions and expropriation risks, it is fitting to consider gold or other sovereign bonds over US Treasuries.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 50:58
Gold over US Treasuries for reserves
Monica says China's guidance to banks to curb US Treasury exposure is part of a broader reserve-diversification trend; as central banks consider sanctions and expropriation risks, it is fitting to consider gold or other sovereign bonds over US Treasuries.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 52:05
JGBs are key tail-risk watch
Monica sees JGBs as a top tail-risk and contagion theme for the year: spikes in JGBs correlate with risk-off across assets including Bitcoin and can pull credit spreads, while carry-trade unwind and domestic real-rate reallocation remain risks to watch.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 56:51
SoftBank bonds underperform on supply
Monica says SoftBank has underperformed across its curve and struggled to recover even on risk-on days because it has issued so much debt.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 57:33
AI leveraged loans are struggling
Monica says AI-related debt is a larger problem in leveraged loans, where about 16% of the universe is AI-related, mostly single-B and highly levered; that market is widening and struggling to find footing.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 58:38
Short high yield over duration
Monica remains cautious on longer-dated duration but is happy to take carry in shorter-dated high yield, seeing healthy credit liquidity and rebounding spreads after bouts of widening.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 58:55
Trade investment-grade credit range
In investment grade, Monica is happy to trade the range, saying spreads are tight but relatively tame and widenings have rebounded alongside general sentiment.
Monica Hsiao Founder and CEO, Triada Capital 59:17
Weaker dollar helps EM credit
Monica says dollar bearishness helps emerging markets and is not a bad thing for EM credit, while ample liquidity keeps credit markets functioning.
Iris FX and Rates Reporter, Bloomberg 67:25
China 10-year bonds supported by easing
Iris says cheap funding, PBOC liquidity injections and expected post-holiday easing have helped China's bond market, with the 10-year yield falling below 1.8% to its lowest since November; traders are discussing more bond buying and possible bond and equity gains this year.
Edward Chan Portfolio Manager, Mirae Asset Global Investments 78:31
Overweight TSMC on capacity crunch
Edward is overweight TSMC and says he is not worried about earnings or revenue growth because customers are fighting for capacity; the semiconductor supply chain is capacity constrained across memory and logic while suppliers are cautious about overbuilding, a healthier setup.
Edward Chan Portfolio Manager, Mirae Asset Global Investments 78:41
AI semiconductor supply chain is tight
Edward says AI demand has created a semiconductor capacity crunch: memory demand was a shock, capex keeps surprising to the upside, and server memory is squeezing consumer and PC supply, with AI even bringing inflation before productivity.
Edward Chan Portfolio Manager, Mirae Asset Global Investments 80:58
China robotics essential for humanoids
Edward says humanoid robotics is early stage and wide open; China's manufacturing capability is needed to bring costs down for mass adoption, and if the vision of millions of units globally materializes, China's supply chain is essential.
Kristalina Georgieva Managing Director, International Monetary Fund 87:51
Weaker dollar good for emerging markets
Kristalina says the dollar's recent decline should not be overread and its reserve role remains entrenched, but a somewhat weaker dollar is good for many emerging markets because dollar borrowers pay less.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 10, 2026, features Aidan Yao, WINNIE SUE, Sangmi Cha, Monica Hsiao, Iris, Edward Chan, Kristalina Georgieva discussing US Treasury Curve Steepener, AI-SECTOR, MAGS, KWEB, US Tech, UTILITIES, XLE, AI applications, AAXJ, EEM, EWY, EWJ, Singapore equities, China high dividend stocks, INDA, VNM, FXI, China property, CHIQ, China restaurants, China airlines, Korean equities, GLD, IGOV, TLT, Japanese government bonds, SoftBank bonds, Leveraged Loans, SHYG, LQD, EMB, China 10-year government bonds, TSM, SMH, China humanoid robot supply chain. 26 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Aidan Yao, WINNIE SUE, Sangmi Cha, Monica Hsiao, Iris, Edward Chan, Kristalina Georgieva  · Tickers: US Treasury Curve Steepener, AI-SECTOR, MAGS, KWEB, US Tech, UTILITIES, XLE, AI applications, AAXJ, EEM, EWY, EWJ, Singapore equities, China high dividend stocks, INDA, VNM, FXI, China property, CHIQ, China restaurants, China airlines, Korean equities, GLD, IGOV, TLT, Japanese government bonds, SoftBank bonds, Leveraged Loans, SHYG, LQD, EMB, China 10-year government bonds, TSM, SMH, China humanoid robot supply chain