Will take decades for Venezuela to produce millions of oil barrels daily: Rapidan's McNally

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 09, 2026 at 20:29  |  3:44  |  CNBC
Speakers
Helima Croft — Head of Global Commodity Research, RBC Capital Markets
Brian Sullivan — Anchor, CNBC (Last Call / Power Lunch)
Bob McNally — President and Founder, Rapidan Energy Group

Summary

CNBC's Power Lunch discusses President Trump's meeting with oil executives and the outlook for Venezuela's oil production. Helima Croft of RBC Capital Markets and Bob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group explain that while service companies and Chevron could help Venezuela add a few hundred thousand barrels per day over the next 1-2 years, reaching million-barrel-per-day levels will take decades and tens of billions of dollars. McNally also says the peak oil demand narrative is collapsing, supporting a long-term need for more oil. The segment highlights near-term beneficiaries like service companies and Chevron, while cautioning that Venezuela's infrastructure and political challenges remain severe.

  • Trump met with oil executives to discuss Venezuela oil production.
  • Helima Croft expects service companies and Chevron to return/ramp in Venezuela.
  • Bob McNally sees near-term Venezuela additions of 300,000-500,000 barrels per day.
  • Million-barrel-per-day additions from Venezuela are years to decades away.
  • McNally says the peak oil demand narrative is collapsing.
  • SLB is highlighted as a direct beneficiary as Chevron's service provider.
  • Venezuela faces severe infrastructure, health, and security challenges.
  • The discussion implies limited near-term oil supply relief from Venezuela.
Ideas
Helima Croft Head of Global Commodity Research, RBC Capital Markets 0:41
Oil service firms likely return to Venezuela
Service companies are likely to return to Venezuela as U.S. sanctions, which were imposed by the executive branch, are eased. Their return can address bottlenecks, deferred maintenance, and power infrastructure, enabling a ramp-up of several hundred thousand barrels per day over 12-18 months.
Helima Croft Head of Global Commodity Research, RBC Capital Markets 0:49
Chevron likely ramps Venezuela activity
Chevron continues to operate in Venezuela, one of the few companies still there, and is likely to see a ramp-up in activity as sanctions ease and service companies return. This gives it direct leverage to a near-term Venezuelan production increase.
Brian Sullivan Anchor, CNBC (Last Call / Power Lunch) 1:41
SLB benefits from Venezuela ramp
SLB (Schlumberger) is a service provider for Chevron in Venezuela, so it would be seen as directly benefiting from any ramp-up in Venezuelan oil activity.
Bob McNally President and Founder, Rapidan Energy Group 3:16
Peak oil demand narrative collapsing
The peak oil demand narrative is collapsing as the world recognizes it will need a lot more oil in coming decades. This is a long-term bullish demand backdrop for oil, especially beyond 2030 when Venezuela's potential million-barrel additions could matter.
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This CNBC video, published January 09, 2026, features Helima Croft, Brian Sullivan, Bob McNally discussing OIH, CVX, SLB, WTI. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Helima Croft, Brian Sullivan, Bob McNally  · Tickers: OIH, CVX, SLB, WTI