Market Screams Warning: Chaos Approaches As Final Rally Dies | Chris Vermeulen

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 24, 2025 at 23:42  |  43:36  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Chris Vermeulen — Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders

Summary

Chris Vermeulen, Chief Market Strategist at The Technical Traders, tells David Lin that markets are frothy and showing extreme FOMO, but that the primary trend remains up. He favors gold and precious metals over stocks, sees limited S&P 500 upside with small-cap and tech resistance, and expects a near-term pullback. He also prefers US dollars over Canadian dollars and advises steering clear of Bitcoin temporarily.

  • Chris Vermeulen says extreme FOMO and low VIX warn of a near-term equity pullback.
  • He remains long stocks but sees limited S&P 500 upside to about 680 on SPY.
  • Gold is his preferred play with targets around $4,100 and possible extension to $4,500.
  • Silver and gold miners have upside but carry more volatility and parabolic reversal risk.
  • Small caps, micro caps, and equal-weight S&P 500 are hitting resistance.
  • Bitcoin has lost its luster; he advises steering clear temporarily.
  • He favors holding US dollars and expects the Canadian dollar to weaken.
  • He uses an ETF rotation strategy across stocks, bonds, currencies, and cash.
Ideas
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 0:00
Gold bull market, targets $4,100 plus.
Gold remains in a long-term bull market above its 150-day moving average, with bull-flag and Fibonacci setups targeting about $4,100 and potentially $4,500 or higher. He sees physical gold as the key safe-haven play, expects money to rotate from stocks into gold during the first big equity selloff, and says not to fight the clearly rising trend, while acknowledging a parabolic blow-off could end abruptly.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 0:10
Bitcoin loses luster; steer clear now.
Bitcoin has lost its luster and is no longer acting like digital gold; it has been falling while gold and stocks rise, with Ethereum taking some money flow and investors rotating back into gold, silver, and miners. He says the chart is ugly and advises steering clear of Bitcoin temporarily.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 0:17
Low VIX signals equity pullback risk.
The VIX is trading very low, indicating little fear and broad complacency. He treats low VIX as a warning that it is time to be cautious on risk assets, supporting the case for a near-term equity pullback.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 4:33
Stocks trend up; SPY target 680.
The stock-market trend is still up and he remains long equities, but he expects a pause or pullback before another leg higher. His S&P 500/SPY upside target is around 680, only about 3% above current levels, and he says large-cap tech will need to do the heavy lifting because breadth is weakening.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 10:44
Gold miners upside, but parabolic risk.
He sees continued upside in precious-metal miners, especially large-cap gold miners/GDX, but warns the move has become parabolic and crowded. Financing and M&A activity are only starting to pick up despite the rally, so he would stay with the trend while being prepared for a sharp reversal and protecting profits.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 29:55
Dollar strengthens; Canadian dollar weakens.
The US dollar is trading at very low, hated levels, but it tends to rally during chaos and uncertainty because the US remains a powerhouse. He expects a stronger US dollar, especially versus the Canadian dollar, and says investors should hold US dollars.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 29:55
Dollar strengthens; Canadian dollar weakens.
The US dollar is trading at very low, hated levels, but it tends to rally during chaos and uncertainty because the US remains a powerhouse. He expects a stronger US dollar, especially versus the Canadian dollar, and says investors should hold US dollars.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 31:13
Small caps at resistance, pullback warning.
Small caps (IWM) are testing all-time highs and potentially forming a triple top, micro caps (IWC) are running into 2021 resistance, and equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) is stalling. With everyone bullish and piling into these areas, he sees a warning sign because past visits to these levels led to sharp sell-offs.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 34:08
Silver upside, but gold is preferred.
Silver has roughly the same upside potential as gold in his charts, but it is more volatile and lower-probability, and has only modestly outperformed gold this year. He still sees upside in the precious metals space for silver, but prefers gold for position sizing and smoother risk.
Chris Vermeulen Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders 35:08
QQQ and MAGS pullback risk.
QQQ has hit the 100% Fibonacci measured move and resistance after the FOMO extreme, and the MAGS ETF is still in an uptrend but showing short-term weakness that may lead to a pullback. Large-cap tech may need to drag the market higher, but it is not showing the strongest short-term signal.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published September 24, 2025, features Chris Vermeulen discussing GLD, BTC, VIX, SPY, GDX, USD, CAD, IWC, RSP, IWM, SILVER, MAGS, QQQ. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Chris Vermeulen  · Tickers: GLD, BTC, VIX, SPY, GDX, USD, CAD, IWC, RSP, IWM, SILVER, MAGS, QQQ