#828 Alpha Score 35.1

Chris Vermeulen

Chief Market Strategist, TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechTraders · tracked since Jan 2026
828
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Alpha Score 35.1
Calls
30
Win Rate
56.7%
return
+0.1%
Calls 30 212 Posts tracked · 0.9/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 3
90d 3
Best Calls
SMH Long +25.1%
SLV Short +21.8%
MSFT Long +20.2%
Worst Calls
USO Short -33.3%
SLV Long -29.2%
QQQ Short -21.2%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×7
SILVER ×7
QQQ ×6
Recent Calls
TIP Short 2 days ago
US30Y Long 1 week ago
XLK Long 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 57% Long 18 Short 12
Win Rate
7d 39%
30d 48%
90d 56%
Average Return +0.1% Long Return +5.9% Short Return -8.6%
Average Return
7d -0.7%
30d -0.3%
90d +1.5%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 17
$682.85
+12.0%
"The S&P 500... is still in an uptrend. We are actually long the S&P 500 here still... The moving averages are still layered properly." Despite his bearish macro outlook, Vermeulen follows price, not predictions. The S&P 500 is above its 150-day moving average, meaning the "tide is rising." He will remain long until the trend technically reverses, even if other sectors are failing. LONG (Trend Following). The NASDAQ is dragging the market down; if SPY breaks below the 150-day MA, the trade flips to short/cash immediately.
"The S&P 500... is still in an uptrend. We are actually long the S&P 500 here still... The moving averages are still layered properly." Despite his bearish macro outlook, Vermeulen follows price, not predictions. The S&P 500 is above its 150-day moving average, meaning the "tide is rising." He will remain long until the trend technically reverses, even if other sectors are failing. LONG (Trend Following). The NASDAQ is dragging the market down; if SPY breaks below the 150-day MA, the trade flips to short/cash immediately.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 30
$667.16
+6.3%
Equities are the best asset now.
Money flows and sentiment are bullish for equities. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ are in uptrends, approaching key targets. Equities are the only asset class standing out, and we follow the trend. We are long via QQQ and a band strategy.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 10
$439.90
+25.1%
Buy SMH as semiconductors break to all-time highs driven by insatiable AI infrastructure demand; author frames semis as the essential picks-and-shovels play where demand shows no signs of slowing regardless of which AI players win.
Buy SMH as semiconductors break to all-time highs driven by insatiable AI infrastructure demand; author frames semis as the essential picks-and-shovels play where demand shows no signs of slowing regardless of which AI players win.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 03
$78726.40
+2.1%
Bearish on BTC as price breaks through key support levels with downside target at $50,000, suggesting further technical deterioration from current levels.
Bearish on BTC as price breaks through key support levels with downside target at $50,000, suggesting further technical deterioration from current levels.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 27
$124.20
+13.6%
Buy oil exposure as geopolitical supply disruption risk (potential Strait of Hormuz closure) combined with a bull flag technical setup supports a move toward $140/bbl; energy stocks cited as the lone market leaders.
Buy oil exposure as geopolitical supply disruption risk (potential Strait of Hormuz closure) combined with a bull flag technical setup supports a move toward $140/bbl; energy stocks cited as the lone market leaders.
Commodities
Long
Feb 17
$26.91
+4.7%
"When we see stage 4 declines hit, usually the dollar index outperforms... In 2022... the US dollar rallied about 17%." In a global deflationary event or financial reset, capital flees to the safety of the US Dollar. As equities and foreign currencies collapse, the USD strengthens (the "Milkshake Theory" dynamic). LONG (Defensive Play). The Fed cuts rates aggressively earlier than expected, weakening the dollar.
"When we see stage 4 declines hit, usually the dollar index outperforms... In 2022... the US dollar rallied about 17%." In a global deflationary event or financial reset, capital flees to the safety of the US Dollar. As equities and foreign currencies collapse, the USD strengthens (the "Milkshake Theory" dynamic). LONG (Defensive Play). The Fed cuts rates aggressively earlier than expected, weakening the dollar.
FX & Currencies
Short
Feb 01
$75.44
+21.8%
Silver also requires a sentiment reset and shakeout of late buyers before resuming any uptrend; near-term pullback expected despite supportive long-term conditions.
Silver also requires a sentiment reset and shakeout of late buyers before resuming any uptrend; near-term pullback expected despite supportive long-term conditions.
Commodities
Long
Feb 08
$455.46
-11.7%
Gold retains a constructive technical structure even after an emotional 2025 with sharp pullbacks, with a potential path toward $6,000 — diverging bullishly from silver's relative weakness.
Gold retains a constructive technical structure even after an emotional 2025 with sharp pullbacks, with a potential path toward $6,000 — diverging bullishly from silver's relative weakness.
Commodities
Short
Feb 01
$444.95
+9.6%
Avoid chasing gold here — despite a real bullish long-term backdrop, a sentiment-driven pullback is needed to shake out late buyers before the next sustainable leg higher can develop.
Avoid chasing gold here — despite a real bullish long-term backdrop, a sentiment-driven pullback is needed to shake out late buyers before the next sustainable leg higher can develop.
Commodities
Long
Jan 14
$83.25
-29.2%
Buy silver as a multi-year consolidation breakout historically precedes powerful upside expansions; technical projections target $106/oz, implying substantial further upside from current levels.
Buy silver as a multi-year consolidation breakout historically precedes powerful upside expansions; technical projections target $106/oz, implying substantial further upside from current levels.
Commodities
Short
Aug 20
$82.36
+0.5%
Bonds weak, long-term yields creeping higher.
Long-term Treasury yields are breaking out of a large monthly pattern, and the 30-year yield chart is pointing to an 8% move. Chris expects rates to keep creeping higher and bonds to weaken. He says he would steer clear of bonds or bet on falling bond prices, specifically mentioning TLT, as high rates also threaten borrowing tied to AI data centers.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 04
$81.87
+7.8%
Author discloses an active long position in QLD, with the AI/semiconductor-led tech momentum and ongoing "running correction" dynamic cited as the core driver.
Author discloses an active long position in QLD, with the AI/semiconductor-led tech momentum and ongoing "running correction" dynamic cited as the core driver.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 04
$62.69
+11.6%
Author discloses an active long position in SSO, citing relentless money flow into equities and a "running correction" in tech as the driving force sustaining the uptrend.
Author discloses an active long position in SSO, citing relentless money flow into equities and a "running correction" in tech as the driving force sustaining the uptrend.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 01
$58.85
+10.6%
Bullish on energy stocks.
Energy stocks (XOP, XLE) are in an uptrend with huge volume and a supportive oil price. He is long XOP and sees further upside.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 30
$178.26
+8.2%
Energy stocks will hold up or move higher.
Energy stocks benefit from high oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty. We are still long XOP (energy ETF), having already hit a target. Oil is likely to stay elevated, supporting energy companies.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 15 of 30 calls · sorted by mentions

Chris Vermeulen has 30 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 22 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 57% across 30 evaluated calls, average return +0.1%. Ranked #828 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, SILVER, QQQ.