26.09.14 Morning Broadcast Full Episode: Amid Rising Rate-Hike Odds, Oil Prices and Rates Fall; New York Stocks Rebound After Five Days

[26.09.14 Morning Broadcast Full Episode] Amid Rising Odds of a 'Rate Hike,' Oil Prices and Rates Fall... New York Stocks 'Rebound' After 5 Days
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 14, 2026 at 03:18  |  6:05:21  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator
Yeo Doeun — Host
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Kwon Soon-woo — Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV
Park Byeong-chang — Director, MP Partners
Lee Ji-eun — Representative of EasyStock
Noh Geun-chang — Center Head, Hyundai Motor Securities Research Center
Lee Yeok-jin — Deputy
Park Sang-hyuk — Editor
Lee Yoon-soo — CEO

Summary

The broadcast centered on AI leaders' speed-control warnings, which hit semiconductor sentiment but were debated as either a short-term noise event or a real risk to AI capex. Markets also focused on CPI, rising Fed rate-hike odds, oil supply disruptions, and Korean sector rotation. Crypto discussion centered on FOMC, the CLARITY Act, Bitcoin ETF flows, and the debasement trade in gold and Bitcoin.

  • AI speed-control comments from major AI leaders pressured semiconductor shares and sparked debate over infrastructure spending.
  • CPI and FOMC expectations kept rate-hike odds near 90%, with attention on the dot plot and long-term Treasury yields.
  • Middle East supply disruptions supported oil, while US diesel and tanker rates hit records.
  • Korean memory names were rangebound; analysts differed on SK hynix leadership versus Samsung's HBM catch-up.
  • Sector rotation was discussed in power, ESS, defense, shipbuilding, cosmetics, and nuclear-related names.
  • Crypto traders watched the CLARITY Act, FOMC, Bitcoin ETF flows, and the structural debasement trade.
  • KRX extended after-hours trading to 8 p.m. for all stocks, adding a new market-structure variable.
Ideas
Oil likely rises on supply threats.
Oil is likely to rise again because Middle East supply risks are worsening: Houthi control near Bab el-Mandeb, Saudi East-West pipeline disruption, potential loss of 4% of global supply, record US diesel prices, record VLCC rates, and Chinese restocking all point to upside pressure.
AI speed warnings pressure semis short term.
Semiconductor equipment makers should enjoy a multi-year capex cycle because TSMC, Samsung, and SK hynix are investing heavily, China's equipment share has fallen, and tool supply is bottlenecked, giving leading equipment suppliers strong backlog visibility.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 53:44
AI speed control is noise, not structural.
AI speed-control worries should not be directly equated with a slowdown in AI infrastructure investment; safety efforts may require more investment, and investors should watch hyperscaler capex and data-center earnings rather than panic over the headlines.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 72:37
SK hynix fundamentals now match Micron.
Korea's memory semiconductor share may fall from 70% toward 40-50% because of US and Chinese onshoring and security policy, not because Korean competitiveness has broken; therefore Samsung Electronics and SK hynix should remain a strong long-term oligopoly.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 96:56
Korean memory share loss is not competitiveness.
Korea's memory semiconductor share may fall from 70% toward 40-50% because of US and Chinese onshoring and security policy, not because Korean competitiveness has broken; therefore Samsung Electronics and SK hynix should remain a strong long-term oligopoly.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 100:05
Hyundai Motor hurts less than US automakers.
If the US opens its market to Chinese cars built in America, Hyundai Motor will take damage, but US automakers are likely to suffer more because US cars are losing competitiveness on price and performance.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 100:05
Hyundai Motor hurts less than US automakers.
Hyundai Motor's autonomous-driving roadmap is credible because its much larger sales volume versus Tesla can accelerate data collection, sensor standardization, and labeling, supporting a 2028 Level 2+/Level 3 and 2029 Atlas AI rollout.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 155:03
HD Hyundai engine expansion benefits AI power.
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries' 1 trillion won engine and SMR investment will raise capacity from 3GW to over 7GW, exceeding Wartsila, and its persistent 30% P/E discount to Wartsila should narrow, lifting market cap by more than the investment amount.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 184:02
Korean cosmetics rebound on K-beauty export growth.
Korean cosmetics are rebounding as K-beauty gains traction through social media, especially in Latin America with 160% two-year growth, with good export data and oversold valuations supporting names such as Cosmecca Korea, Silicon2, AmorePacific, and APR.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 196:37
Hanwha Aerospace benefits from rising defense demand.
Defense is attractive because geopolitical risk is increasing weapon demand, and Hanwha Aerospace is supported by Croatia orders and a potential 120-day moving average breakout that could resume its uptrend.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 198:18
Shipbuilding offers long-term US investment upside.
Shipbuilding offers long-term upside from the US investment project and the expected September 18 MAS announcement, so investors with a long time horizon can include small exposure even if the cycle is slow.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 200:41
Doosan Enerbility is top nuclear beneficiary.
Doosan Enerbility is the top nuclear pick because it benefits whether the US or Korean nuclear design technology is used in US nuclear sales, and nuclear is the most elastic part of the power theme with potential for more than 50% one-year performance.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 205:11
Hyundai Mobis near-term setup is broken.
Hyundai Mobis has broken major technical support and lost its actuator-robot momentum to smaller names like Robotis and Samil, so near-term risk-reward is poor and holders should consider trimming until Hyundai Motor shares revive.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 208:53
LG Display offers poor risk-reward now.
LG Display remains unattractive because its chart is badly broken, OLED and China competitive burdens persist, and it failed to join the recent LG-group robot rally, creating poor opportunity cost for holders.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 212:24
SKC glass substrate timeline remains uncertain.
SKC's glass-substrate commercialization has been delayed so long that the market doubts the timeline; elasticity is likely low, so recent buyers should take profits on bounces while high-cost long-term holders may hold.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 215:19
AI infrastructure power and ESS attractive.
AI infrastructure-related ESS, power, and data-center themes may offer opportunities as the semiconductor trade slows, so investors should watch these linked areas rather than focus only on memory chips.
Lee Ji-eun Representative of EasyStock 215:19
AI infrastructure power and ESS attractive.
ESS is the available near-term energy solution for data centers, and Samsung SDI is the pure-play leader; ESS orders and earnings should become visible in 2027, with CATL already showing the ESS-led decoupling from EV batteries.
Noh Geun-chang Center Head, Hyundai Motor Securities Research Center 218:43
AI speed-control fears are just noise.
AI speed-control commentary is a short-term sentiment shock, not a structural break; stronger security and safety controls require higher semiconductor performance across logic and memory, so AI semiconductor demand should remain intact.
Noh Geun-chang Center Head, Hyundai Motor Securities Research Center 233:41
Data center power demand will triple.
US data-center power capacity must grow from about 40GW to 120GW by 2030, and Microsoft and other hyperscalers are planning multi-fold expansions, creating a long runway for data-center power infrastructure.
Noh Geun-chang Center Head, Hyundai Motor Securities Research Center 234:24
Hyperscaler cash flow fears are overdone.
Hyperscaler free-cash-flow fears are overdone because operating cash flow is improving, AI demand remains strong, and data-center returns should recover over two to three years; Oracle's OCF already shows the model can fund capex.
AI infrastructure Q-cycle broadens beyond memory.
As the AI infrastructure cycle moves from planning to real 2027 spending, power and energy may become the next bottleneck, so investors should diversify toward construction, energy, and semiconductor equipment rather than concentrate only in memory.
Samsung SDI leads ESS battery demand.
ESS is the available near-term energy solution for data centers, and Samsung SDI is the pure-play leader; ESS orders and earnings should become visible in 2027, with CATL already showing the ESS-led decoupling from EV batteries.
Bitcoin awaits FOMC and CLARITY Act.
Bitcoin is highly sensitive to this week's FOMC dot plot and oil/rate moves: four hikes would be hard for Bitcoin to withstand, while two hikes plus passage of the CLARITY Act could be positive, so it is a macro-event watch.
Risk altcoin is a speculative trap.
The Risk altcoin's 912% spike and 51% crash show a speculative, low-float market where insiders and futures positioning likely dominate; retail investors should avoid it.
Long-term Treasuries remain structurally bearish.
Long-term Treasuries remain structurally bearish because the US fiscal path and Social Security funding gap force more issuance, while higher rates increase debt-service costs; long-end yields should rise regardless of the Fed's near-term choice.
Gold and Bitcoin benefit from debasement.
The debasement trade remains intact because long-term Treasury yields are structurally rising from fiscal deficits, Social Security depletion, and debt-service pressure, which should benefit gold and Bitcoin.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published September 14, 2026, features Park Myung-seok, Yeo Doeun, Kim Jang-yeol, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Lee Ji-eun, Noh Geun-chang, Lee Yeok-jin, Park Sang-hyuk, Lee Yoon-soo discussing WTI, SMH, AIQ, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, XLY, 005380.KS, 329180.KS, Cosmecca Korea, Silicon2, APR, 090430.KS, Korean defense sector, 012450.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, 034020.KS, Hyundai Mobis, 034220.KS, 011790.KS, POWER, ESS, AI Semiconductors, XLK, SKYY, MSFT, GOOG, ORCL, XLE, ITB, 006400.KS, BTC, RISK, TLT, GLD. 26 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-seok, Yeo Doeun, Kim Jang-yeol, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Lee Ji-eun, Noh Geun-chang, Lee Yeok-jin, Park Sang-hyuk, Lee Yoon-soo  · Tickers: WTI, SMH, AIQ, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, XLY, 005380.KS, 329180.KS, Cosmecca Korea, Silicon2, APR, 090430.KS, Korean defense sector, 012450.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, 034020.KS, Hyundai Mobis, 034220.KS, 011790.KS, POWER, ESS, AI Semiconductors, XLK, SKYY, MSFT, GOOG, ORCL, XLE, ITB, 006400.KS, BTC, RISK, TLT, GLD