Semiconductor stocks fall together on 'AI speed control theory'; WTI breaks back above $100

[26.09.15 Morning Broadcast Full View] Semiconductor stocks fall together on 'AI speed control theory'... WTI breaks back above $100
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 15, 2026 at 03:18  |  6:15:21  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Tai — Market Briefing Host
Park Myung-seok — Curator
Han Sang-hee — Senior Research Commissioner, Hanwha Investment & Securities
Ryu Jo-hoon — Reporter
Park Byeong-chang — Director, MP Partners
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Yoon Jae-sung — Research Fellow
Jung Ho-chang — Manager, NH Investment & Securities
Ham Ji-won — Reporter, BlockMedia
Cho Dong-hyun — CEO, Undefined Labs

Summary

Multiple 3PRO TV segments discussed the market impact of AI speed-control concerns, high oil prices, and the 10-year Treasury yield touching 5%. Semiconductor hardware sold off while software, cybersecurity, and some beaten-down rate-sensitive sectors rallied. Speakers debated whether the Fed will hike, how memory demand remains strong, and how tokenized stocks and Clarity Act developments are driving crypto narratives.

  • AI speed-control debate hit semiconductor hardware and lifted software and security.
  • WTI crude rose above $100 on Middle East supply risks; the 10-year Treasury yield touched 5%.
  • The Fed meeting and inflation and oil risks dominated near-term market uncertainty.
  • Korean market showed no clear trend; KOSDAQ rate-sensitive and biotech sectors drew interest.
  • Memory and HBM demand were defended by multiple guests citing tight supply through 2028.
  • Refiners and US-protected solar were highlighted as energy-sector ideas.
  • Bitcoin and altcoins moved on Clarity Act and tokenized-stock narratives.
  • Crypto speakers outlined Uniswap, Aerodrome, Morpho, Aave, and Pendle as tokenized-stock beneficiaries.
Ideas
Tai Market Briefing Host 9:31
Avoid high-beta equities as rates rise
With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, WTI above $100, and Middle East risk feeding inflation, he reduced high-beta equity exposure on Friday because high-beta stocks are vulnerable to rising long-term yields and unresolved rate risk.
Tai Market Briefing Host 9:35
Long-term Treasuries risky as yields stay high
Long-term Treasury yields are structurally rising due to government debt, inflation, and fiscal borrowing; the long-end bond problem is serious and not resolvable in a day, so long-duration bonds remain risky even if short-term yields fall.
Cybersecurity rallied but valuations stretched
Cybersecurity stocks such as Palo Alto and CrowdStrike surged as AI safety and security became a narrative, but valuations are above 100x and profit-taking risk is high; they are a leading but crowded theme to monitor.
Software outperforms hardware on AI speed concerns
AI speed-control concerns hit hardware, but software and open-weight models gain relative advantage; Microsoft, Adobe, Salesforce, Palantir, and other software names rallied as frontier lab stumbles shift narrative toward software.
Quantum stocks benefit from Nvidia catalyst
Nvidia's launch of a quantum system testing layer sparked movement in quantum-related stocks; while speculative, it is a developing catalyst worth monitoring.
IREN benefits from compute supply shortage
IREN CEO argues demand exceeds supply for compute, memory, and HBM, while neocloud contract prices are rising and GPU prepayments help funding; JP Morgan raised its IREN target to $65.
Memory demand exceeds supply through cycle
The IREN CEO says demand is greater than supply and told critics to stop questioning memory and HBM; AI compute scarcity supports memory and HBM demand despite AI speed-control fears.
Coinbase upgraded on crypto regulatory clarity
Compass Point upgraded Coinbase and the stock jumped over 9% amid Clarity Act expectations and an improving crypto regulatory outlook.
Circle benefits from stablecoin regulatory clarity
He says he has long invested in Circle, one of the few individual stocks he owns and still profitable, tied to stablecoin regulation and Clarity Act prospects.
Han Sang-hee Senior Research Commissioner, Hanwha Investment & Securities 78:41
Buy memory semis around Micron earnings
Micron's Oct 1 and Samsung's Oct 8 earnings are key; Micron's next-year view should be strong, and memory demand worries from AI speed control are excessive. She suggests risk-managed buying around these events for memory-focused investors.
Ryu Jo-hoon Reporter 118:11
Hyundai EV growth depends on US recovery
Hyundai grew EV sales 27% despite lacking PHEVs; EREV launches next year could lift growth and share, but Chinese EV competition in Korea and the weak US EV market require better pricing and a US recovery.
Ryu Jo-hoon Reporter 120:09
Korean battery and ESS recovery next year
Global EV demand is rising, but Chinese battery makers are the beneficiaries this year; Korean battery makers' recovery should come next year, while ESS tied to AIDC and government projects is a promising investment point where the domestic three win orders.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 141:05
Citi sees tighter memory supply
Citigroup raised SK hynix and Samsung earnings estimates and maintains a bullish view because sustained AI learning drives HBM, server DRAM, and eSSD demand, keeping memory supply-demand tight through 2028; AI speed-control fears are noise.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 150:12
Wait for KOSPI breakout above 6,800
KOSPI is trapped in a box with no direction; he advises not to buy blindly on dips and to wait for a move above the 6,800-point moving average before using cash to buy.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 166:48
Humanoid robotics entering commercial production
Goldman Sachs report says humanoid robot market adoption will accelerate alongside autonomous driving as AI advances; robot development is moving from small prototypes to large-scale commercial production.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 177:40
Rate-sensitive KOSDAQ sectors rebound on Fed clarity
Korean pharma/biotech, robotics, battery, and semiconductor equipment have been beaten down by high rates; if Fed uncertainty resolves, these rate-sensitive KOSDAQ sectors could see a relief rebound.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 194:58
Korean cybersecurity may fall if market rebounds
Korean cybersecurity stocks have been a hedge that moves inversely to the market; if the broader market rebounds, they may see profit-taking, so be cautious.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 197:20
Memory shortage drives Samsung and SK hynix
Citigroup says sustained learning will drive memory demand; HBM bit demand is doubled versus prior estimates, Broadcom's HBM demand triples by 2028, supply grows slower than demand, HBM/DRAM shortage worsens through 2028, and prices rise, benefiting Samsung and SK hynix.
Yoon Jae-sung Research Fellow 234:47
Refiners benefit from Asian crude surplus
He maintains overweight on refiners because Asia will have surplus crude and more crude options, keeping refining margins strong; short-term oil spike creates margin and sourcing risk, but if war ends or oil stays $80-$90, refiners improve.
Yoon Jae-sung Research Fellow 248:41
Solar protected by US Section 232
US Section 232 protects solar polysilicon, wafer, cells, and modules, and specifically protects the US upstream semiconductor polysilicon supply; OCI Holdings and Hanwha Solutions benefit as non-Chinese suppliers. Short-term delay to Dec 4 implementation and anti-hoarding rules may cause earnings misses, so buy on correction.
Jung Ho-chang Manager, NH Investment & Securities 267:20
S&P 500 attractive before midterm election
S&P 500 valuation is at 18-19x, historically attractive and near prior crisis lows; midterm election year seasonality shows 12-month post-midterm returns positive in all 19 cases since 1950, with average returns 1.5x normal, so buy weakness in September-October and hold into year-end/next year.
Jung Ho-chang Manager, NH Investment & Securities 279:32
AI infrastructure spend creates fivefold value
Annual AI capex of $0.8-1.2T could generate around $5T of economic value by 2030 by replacing 20-25% of white-collar labor value; value is shared across user companies, cloud providers, AI service companies, and infrastructure/semiconductor companies, so follow the current bottleneck and value capture.
Ham Ji-won Reporter, BlockMedia 314:37
Bitcoin watches Clarity Act vote
Bitcoin rose to $79,500 on the strategic bitcoin reserve bill being scheduled in the House and Clarity Act optimism, then pulled back as Democrats still object to ethics provisions; the vote is a near-term catalyst with uncertain outcome.
Ham Ji-won Reporter, BlockMedia 329:54
Small DeFi projects face legal risk
The final Clarity Act amendment removed criminal safe harbor for developers, so small DeFi projects may face legal risk and are less attractive beneficiaries of the bill.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 347:36
Uniswap benefits from tokenized stock trading
Uniswap is the main DEX benefiting from Robinhood chain tokenized-stock trading and Circle's Arc launch; 30-day volume hit $57B, about 70% of Robinhood chain volume, driving UNI token burns.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 348:31
Zcash institutional access via ETF
Zcash ETF listing gives institutions access to a privacy token that had been restricted, boosting the privacy-coin narrative; related privacy project Zama also rallied.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 349:52
AI crypto tokens gain on OpenAI momentum
OpenAI's powerful new model renewed interest in open-source AI and revenue-generating AI crypto tokens; Bittensor rose on open-source AI and Venice rose on revenue-based buybacks.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 356:07
Coinbase benefits from tokenized stock push
Coinbase is positioned to become a platform for both crypto and tokenized stock trading; if it pushes tokenized stocks onto Base, it benefits and drives the Base ecosystem.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 356:35
Aerodrome benefits from Base chain growth
If Coinbase pushes tokenized stocks onto Base, Aerodrome is the largest DEX on Base and should be an early beneficiary as Base chain activity grows.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 357:31
Morpho and Aave benefit from collateral lending
Tokenized stocks as collateral for stablecoin borrowing is an emerging market; Coinbase has invested in and integrated with Morpho, while Aave is the largest Ethereum lending protocol, so both could benefit as the market opens.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 358:33
Pendle benefits from tokenized stock derivatives
As tokenized stocks develop derivatives, Pendle is uniquely positioned to split and trade dividend yield from stock price, creating discounted yield products.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 370:34
Prefer crypto tokens with buyback mechanisms
Buybacks are becoming a baseline requirement for crypto tokens; projects with revenue-based token buybacks will be more resilient, while tokens without buyback mechanisms are less attractive.
Cho Dong-hyun CEO, Undefined Labs 370:34
Prefer crypto tokens with buyback mechanisms
Buybacks are becoming a baseline requirement for crypto tokens; projects with revenue-based token buybacks will be more resilient, while tokens without buyback mechanisms are less attractive.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published September 15, 2026, features Tai, Park Myung-seok, Han Sang-hee, Ryu Jo-hoon, Park Byeong-chang, Lee Ju-hyeon, Yoon Jae-sung, Jung Ho-chang, Ham Ji-won, Cho Dong-hyun discussing SPHB, TLT, CIBR, PANW, CRWD, IGV, MSFT, ADBE, CRM, QTUM, IREN, Memory/HBM, COIN, CRCL, MU, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 005380.KS, Chinese battery makers, KWEB, ^KS11, Humanoid robotics, Korean battery, XBI, Korean semiconductor equipment, Korean Robotics, Korean cybersecurity stocks, HBM, 096770.KS, 010950.KS, Korean refiners, 456040.KS, 009830.KS, TAN, ^GSPC, AIQ, SMH, Power infrastructure, SKYY, AI-SECTOR, COPPER, Optical communications, BTC, DeFi tokens, UNI, ZEC, TAO, VVV, AERO, MORPHO, AAVE, PENDLE, Crypto tokens with buybacks, Crypto tokens without buybacks. 33 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Tai, Park Myung-seok, Han Sang-hee, Ryu Jo-hoon, Park Byeong-chang, Lee Ju-hyeon, Yoon Jae-sung, Jung Ho-chang, Ham Ji-won, Cho Dong-hyun  · Tickers: SPHB, TLT, CIBR, PANW, CRWD, IGV, MSFT, ADBE, CRM, QTUM, IREN, Memory/HBM, COIN, CRCL, MU, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 005380.KS, Chinese battery makers, KWEB, ^KS11, Humanoid robotics, Korean battery, XBI, Korean semiconductor equipment, Korean Robotics, Korean cybersecurity stocks, HBM, 096770.KS, 010950.KS, Korean refiners, 456040.KS, 009830.KS, TAN, ^GSPC, AIQ, SMH, Power infrastructure, SKYY, AI-SECTOR, COPPER, Optical communications, BTC, DeFi tokens, UNI, ZEC, TAO, VVV, AERO, MORPHO, AAVE, PENDLE, Crypto tokens with buybacks, Crypto tokens without buybacks