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Bloomberg This Weekend | America’s AI Lead Shrink, New Tariff Threat To Canada

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 18, 2026 at 17:23  |  2:25:27  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Michael Shepherd — Tech/Defense Reporter
Meghan O'Sullivan — Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
Jamieson Greer — US Trade Representative
Alexis Christoforous — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

The episode covers a Chinese AI startup's breakthrough that rattles semiconductor stocks and reignites concerns over US AI leadership. It also examines the escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz, Trump's new tariff threat against Canada over wildfire smoke, extreme weather's impact on the grid and economy, trade policy developments with the USTR, and political implications ahead of the midterms.

  • Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model shocks markets, raising doubts about US AI capex justification and triggering a chip selloff.
  • Interviews assess whether the AI trade can sustain itself and contrast short-term panic with long-term demand strength through 2030.
  • US and Iran exchange strikes for the seventh day, with Strait of Hormuz traffic severely reduced and oil market buffers depleted.
  • Oil market expert warns that reduced buffers increase vulnerability to a disruptive price spike.
  • President Trump blames Canada for wildfire smoke and threatens to add pollution costs to tariffs on Canadian imports.
  • Extreme weather across the US strains utilities and grids, with heat, floods, and poor air quality affecting millions.
  • USTR Jamieson Greer details upcoming Section 301 tariff actions and highlights pharmaceutical reshoring by Eli Lilly and Novartis.
  • Senator Chris Murphy criticizes the Iran war as a foreign policy disaster, raising domestic political and budget concerns.
Ideas
Michael Shepherd Tech/Defense Reporter 5:48
Chinese AI breakthroughs threaten US AI capex.
Despite near-term concerns around Chinese competition, major AI hardware players like TSMC, SK Hynix, and NVIDIA are playing the long game, with executives reaffirming that AI chip and hardware demand remains exceptionally strong and is expected to persist through 2030. Additionally, the declassification of the UAE as an export destination opens a new market for American AI technology, supporting sustained growth.
Michael Shepherd Tech/Defense Reporter 15:34
AI chip demand strong through 2030.
Despite near-term concerns around Chinese competition, major AI hardware players like TSMC, SK Hynix, and NVIDIA are playing the long game, with executives reaffirming that AI chip and hardware demand remains exceptionally strong and is expected to persist through 2030. Additionally, the declassification of the UAE as an export destination opens a new market for American AI technology, supporting sustained growth.
Jamieson Greer US Trade Representative 26:18
US pharma reshoring benefits Lilly and Novartis.
Efforts to restore critical pharmaceutical production in America are a bright spot, with major companies like Eli Lilly and Novartis already committing to reshoring and pouring concrete on new facilities in the U.S., supported by policy pushes and commitments from 17 pharma firms.
Meghan O'Sullivan Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs 87:08
Oil market far more vulnerable now.
While the global oil system proved more resilient than expected during the initial Strait of Hormuz disruption, the buffers that helped absorb the shock (redundant infrastructure, strategic reserves, and Chinese demand management) have been significantly eroded. As a result, the market is now much more vulnerable, and a similarly prolonged disruption would likely cause a more severe oil price spike than the one seen earlier this year.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 18, 2026, features Michael Shepherd, Jamieson Greer, Meghan O'Sullivan discussing NVDA, 000660.KS, TSM, LLY, NVS, WTI. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Michael Shepherd, Jamieson Greer, Meghan O'Sullivan  · Tickers: NVDA, 000660.KS, TSM, LLY, NVS, WTI