Brett Rentmeester: 2026 Is a Make-or-Break Year for Markets—The AI Arms Race & Fourth Turning Moment

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 13, 2026 at 21:45  |  30:48  |  Wealthion
Speakers
Brett Rentmeester — Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management

Summary

Brett Rentmeester of Windrock Wealth Management argues that 2026 is a make-or-break year as record debt, geopolitical resource competition, and the AI arms race stress the existing fiat and bond system. He advises a barbell of innovation exposure and systemic hedges: favor technology/AI, defense/space, energy, robotics, crypto, gold, and silver, while avoiding long-term bonds and watching 10-year yields for signs of an unwind.

  • Brett frames 2026 as a fourth-turning crisis period with failing institutions and record debt.
  • The AI race is seen as a nation-state competition for global dominance and resources.
  • He favors innovation themes including technology/AI, defense/space/drones/satellites, natural gas/nuclear/solar, robotics, and critical metals.
  • Long-term Treasury bonds are viewed as poor portfolio diversifiers; short-term Treasuries are preferred for cash.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield is the key barometer for a potential bond-market unwind.
  • Crypto and precious metals are presented as long-term hedges, with silver also benefiting from industrial demand and supply tightness.
  • The overall portfolio message is one foot in the current system and one foot out via hedges and cash.
Ideas
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 16:28
AI race supports tech despite bubble risk
Brett remains positive on technology and AI because the AI race is now a nation-state competition for global dominance, and government involvement means the bubble can continue even though valuations are stretched. He still warns investors to buy at the right price and pair innovation exposure with hedges and cash rather than chasing the last winner.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 17:28
Defense converges with space and drones
Defense is changing and its lines are blurring with space, drones, and satellites because modern defense increasingly includes those domains. Brett highlights this convergence as one of the major innovation areas reshaping society and therefore worth investor exposure.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 17:43
Energy demand favors gas, nuclear, solar
The AI/resource boom will require much more energy, so Brett favors natural gas in the near term because it is abundant in the US, with a longer-term shift toward nuclear and eventually solar, including potentially space-based solar. This is part of the innovation exposure he wants investors to own.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 18:18
Robotics and humanoid robots are coming
Robotics and AI-enabled humanoid robots are another part of the coming sci-fi innovation wave, with robots increasingly visible at events like CES. Brett includes robotics among the major innovation areas investors should own for exposure to technological change.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 20:59
Long-term bonds no longer portfolio diversifier
Brett does not think longer-term bonds play a good role in portfolios anymore because debt levels are extreme, including roughly $40T official and $100T+ unofficial obligations and $9T maturing/rolling this year. Investors are not being adequately rewarded to lock up money for 5-10 years hoping governments fix their finances; a major upside breakout in 10-year yields would signal an unwind.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 21:05
Short-term Treasuries are safe cash parking
In a high-debt environment, Brett advocates short-term Treasuries as a safe place to park cash, providing liquidity and avoiding the duration risk of long-term bonds while investors wait for clarity.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 21:30
Watch 10-year yield for unwind signal
Brett sees the 10-year Treasury yield as the key barometer of confidence in the system. If it breaks out significantly to the upside, that would signal an unwind and make him much more concerned; until then, the market is still telling policymakers that rates can be contained.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 26:55
Gold is cleanest reset hedge
Gold remains a core asset and one of the cleanest hedges against a reset or meltdown of the bond/fiat system because it is nobody else's obligation or promise to pay and is recognized throughout history as collateral. He recommends dollar-cost averaging and owning physical metal rather than paper exposure.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 27:25
Silver hedge plus industrial supply squeeze
Silver is also a core monetary hedge, but Brett sees an additional differentiated edge: it is a critical industrial metal for new technologies, including potential Samsung solid-state batteries that could require large amounts of silver. China's export restrictions on critical metals and a large paper market over a limited physical supply may be causing institutions to scramble for physical silver, though he cautions new investors to dollar-cost average after the sharp move.
Brett Rentmeester Founder & Managing Director, Windrock Wealth Management 29:03
AI race drives critical metals demand
The AI race is also a resource race, and Brett sees the resource play as a major theme that blurs with AI, robotics, and space. China has restricted exports of critical metals, rare earths, and even silver, reinforcing supply concerns and the need for more metals and resources as AI, robotics, and space demand grows.
Up Next

This Wealthion video, published January 13, 2026, features Brett Rentmeester discussing XLK, AI-SECTOR, SPACE, ITA, UNG, NUCLEAR, SOLAR, ROBO, Humanoid robots, TLT, SHY, US10Y, GLD, SILVER, Critical Metals, REMX. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Brett Rentmeester  · Tickers: XLK, AI-SECTOR, SPACE, ITA, UNG, NUCLEAR, SOLAR, ROBO, Humanoid robots, TLT, SHY, US10Y, GLD, SILVER, Critical Metals, REMX