Analyst Called Market Bottom, Now Up 38%; Reveals 2026 Outlook | Milton Berg

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  December 15, 2025 at 22:00  |  1:08:17  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Milton Berg — Founder, MB Advisors

Summary

Milton Berg, founder of MB Advisors, presents his proprietary market-timing model based on thousands of indicators and roughly 2,000 models. He explains that the model generated numerous buy signals from April 4 to August 13, 2025, and that the retail S&P 500 model remains long until an 8% decline. He is bearish on Bitcoin and has a recommended short in Strategy, while flagging long-term bubble/crash risk and short-term institutional caution after the November 20 bounce.

  • Milton Berg discusses his S&P 500 market-timing model and buy signals.
  • Model generated more than 50 buy signals from April 4 to August 13, 2025.
  • Retail model is long S&P 500 from April 4 and holds until an 8% decline.
  • Institutional stance is cautious after the November 20 low, viewing the bounce as oversold.
  • Long-term warning: overpricing and leverage could lead to a bubble pop or crash.
  • Bitcoin is seen as bearish due to no fundamentals and speculative excess; Strategy is a recommended short.
  • Fed easing and liquidity are viewed as generally positive for equities.
  • Japan/Nikkei is discussed as a historical example of trading a long bear market.
Ideas
Milton Berg Founder, MB Advisors 2:36
Russell 2000 small caps positive setup.
Small caps had lagged for two years but finally reached an all-time high, and he says the S&P 500 model could be used to trade the Russell 2000, though he did not model the Russell itself.
Milton Berg Founder, MB Advisors 5:14
Long S&P 500 on buy signals.
His proprietary model generated more than 50 buy signals from April 4 to August 13, 2025, with historical analogues since 1957 occurring at major bottoms; the retail S&P 500 model has been long since April 4 and he sees no evidence the bull move has ended, so he would hold until the S&P declines 8% or use a 5-8% stop if buying now.
Milton Berg Founder, MB Advisors 5:55
Bitcoin bearish; bull market may be over.
He has been a Bitcoin bear because it has no fundamental valuation and moves only on technicals and supply/demand; public speculative fever resembles a bubble, it peaked on an October 10 cycle date, and he thinks the Bitcoin bull market may have ended and it may not revisit highs for a while.
Milton Berg Founder, MB Advisors 6:00
Short Strategy on Bitcoin unwind.
He has a recommended short position in Strategy, a Bitcoin-linked equity, and it is working well, supported by his view that Bitcoin's bull market may have ended and speculative Bitcoin exposure is unwinding.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published December 15, 2025, features Milton Berg discussing IWM, SPY, BTC, STRATEGY. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Milton Berg  · Tickers: IWM, SPY, BTC, STRATEGY