#685
Alpha Score 9.0
Milton Berg
Founder, MB Advisors
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 23
$277.34
+3.5%
The Russell 2000 is a 25% position for institutions. A rare signal triggered: Russell up 8 out of 9 days with its greatest 10-day gain in 5 years, combined with S&P 500 at a new 30-day high. Historical precedents project a median gain of 32.8% over the next year, with minimal drawdowns. Small-cap strength confirms broad market participation.
Macro
Long
Apr 23
$654.42
+13.0%
The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) has rallied 17.55% from its March low with four impulsive gaps, a cycle date low, and a new all-time high. The double top from October/January proved to be a minor correction within a continuing bull market. Institutions hold a 40% overweight position in NDX.
Macro
Long
Apr 23
$711.22
+6.2%
The S&P 500 is in a strong bullish uptrend supported by multiple rare technical indicators: four upside gaps off the March low, an unprecedented 1-year high just 12 days after a 9% decline, and historical signals that project to 8,400-8,800 within a year. The correction ended in March and the bull market that began in April 2025 is resuming. Institutions are leveraged long and retail accounts have been 100% long since April 10th.
Macro
Long
Apr 23
$441.82
+38.5%
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) is leading the market higher with a 38.82% gain since March lows, five upside gaps, and an impulsive breakout gap. The momentum is very strong and the sector is a core long for institutional portfolios. The move is early in a long-term uptrend.
AI/Semi
Long
Feb 11
$95.61
-0.9%
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Macro
Long
Feb 11
$164.32
-22.6%
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Consumer
Long
Feb 11
$500.02
-4.6%
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Fintech
Long
Feb 11
$276.85
-3.5%
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Energy
Long
Feb 11
$21.41
-36.2%
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Energy
Long
Feb 11
$77.76
-1.1%
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Other
Long
Feb 11
$68.25
-2.3%
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Fintech
Long
Feb 11
$0.26
-19.2%
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Berg is long Seagate (STX) due to a technical breakout on a gap, Phinia (PHIN) as a recent add, Constellation Energy (CEG) as an AI-energy play, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) as a cash proxy. Even in a potential market top, specific stocks with low P/Es or strong technical momentum (gap breakouts) can outperform. Berkshire is held as a defensive "cash alternative" that holds up better in downturns. Long idiosyncratic US equities with strong technical setups. Broad market beta drag if the S&P 500 crashes significantly.
Crypto
Long
Feb 11
$57.94
-18.3%
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Berg’s "Long Life" portfolio is holding specific international positions: Argentina (ARGT), Trip.com (TCOM), Alibaba (BABA), Shinhan Financial (SHG), and Korea Electric Power (KEP). While bearish on US Beta, Berg identifies technical breakouts in foreign markets that are undervalued or uncorrelated to the US tech bubble. Korea and China are showing "new high" breakouts while US software lags. Long specific international value/growth plays. Global recession or US dollar strength hurting emerging markets.
Consumer
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