January 12 Pre-Market: New York Stocks Rise, Intel Surges 10%, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Jumps; US Supreme Court Tariff Ruling on the 14th; Global Demand to Replace 1,000 Warships

[1월12일 #장시작전] 뉴욕증시 상승, 인텔 10%폭등, 필반도체지수 급등 / 14일 미 대법 관세판결, 전 세계 군함 교체 수요 1000척
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 00:27  |  2:55:51  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Choi Chang-gyu — Director, NH Investment & Securities
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities

Summary

January 12 pre-market broadcast covered a stronger US session led by semiconductors, a delayed Supreme Court tariff ruling, and a December jobs report that pointed to a slowing but not recessionary US economy. Hwang Yu-hyeon focused on Fed expectations, bank earnings, nuclear and solar power, while Lee Ju-yeon covered medical robots, Korean nuclear and defense supply chains, memory shortages, and bio policy. Kim Hyeong-cheol and Min Jae-ki then detailed Korean market leadership in semiconductors, power equipment, defense, shipbuilding, bio, and specific stock ideas, with batteries remaining a laggard.

  • US jobs slowed but unemployment fell, supporting soft-landing hopes.
  • Supreme Court tariff ruling was delayed, with Jan 14 as the next possible date.
  • Semiconductor strength and memory shortages drove optimism in Korea and the US.
  • Big-tech nuclear power deals boosted nuclear and power infrastructure themes.
  • Defense, shipbuilding, and aerospace kept momentum from geopolitical risks.
  • Korean market was led by Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, power equipment, and governance trades.
  • Biotech policy support and JP Morgan Healthcare raised bio expectations.
  • Battery sector stayed weak amid earnings misses and contract cancellations.
Ideas
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 9:17
Watch AST SpaceMobile space-network thesis.
AST SpaceMobile is building direct-to-device satellite cellular networks through telecom partnerships with a 2026 service launch; if space and aerospace become a major trend, network service companies like AST deserve monitoring.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 11:06
Space ETFs offer component ideas.
Choi sees space and aerospace as a developing theme and suggests using US and Korean aerospace ETFs and their components for idea generation, including 1Q US Aerospace Tech, TIGER K Defense & Space, PLUS Aerospace & UAM, and TIMEFOLIO Global Space Tech & Defense.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 13:11
Silver miners offer leveraged silver exposure.
Silver's rally offers leveraged exposure through miners; First Majestic is the purest high-beta silver play, Hecla is more resilient if silver consolidates because of byproducts, and Silvercorp diversifies with gold, lead, and zinc.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:00
Freeport benefits from long copper cycle.
Copper is a key AI infrastructure, grid, and electrification metal; Freeport-McMoRan has large long-life mines and geographic diversification, so it benefits if the AI-driven copper trend lasts.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:41
Almonty gains on tungsten restart.
Tungsten demand is rising in aerospace, and Almonty's Sangdong tungsten mine restart and commercial production are the key catalysts.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:56
US Antimony is strategic minerals play.
Antimony is a strategic military, battery, and flame-retardant mineral, and US Antimony offers exposure through a US-based production base.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 21:57
AI revival may lift metaverse.
Choi argues that as AI advances from chatbots to physical AI, the metaverse may revive because improving displays, optics, tracking, UX, rendering, and networks address prior bottlenecks; the theme is worth watching.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 25:59
KOSDAQ event catalysts look positive.
Choi is positive on KOSDAQ because battery contract cancellation noise is offset by upcoming JP Morgan Healthcare and event-driven catalysts.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 32:34
Korean market downside is well supported.
US employment is slowing but not recessionary, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is strong, and Trump's liquidity signals plus futures premium, program buying, and Samsung Electronics buybacks support downside rigidity in Korean equities.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 55:42
Big tech power demand lifts nuclear.
Meta's 6.6GW nuclear power contracts with TerraPower, Oklo, and Vistra, plus big-tech power demand, benefit nuclear and SMR names.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 57:24
US bank earnings likely strong.
US bank earnings season should be strong because of M&A, decent economic growth, and favorable regulation; banks lead S&P 500 earnings and can set market tone.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 62:22
Watch solar on Musk interest.
Musk remains interested in solar and batteries; the solar sector is quiet but worth watching, with Korean exposure through OCI Holdings and Hanwha Solutions.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:32
Medical robot expectations rise.
Musk's claim that robots will surpass surgeons within three years boosts medical AI and medical robot expectations; JP Morgan Healthcare could catalyze Koh Young, CUREXO, Neurophet, and Rocket Healthcare.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:32
Medical robot expectations rise.
Musk's claim that robots will surpass surgeons within three years boosts medical AI and medical robot expectations; JP Morgan Healthcare could catalyze Koh Young, CUREXO, Neurophet, and Rocket Healthcare.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 68:23
Korean nuclear power orders expanding.
Meta's 6.6GW nuclear contracts, India NTPC's nuclear site search, Korean SMR licensing, and the 12th electricity plan support Korean nuclear equipment, construction, and power infrastructure orders.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 71:43
Doosan is direct nuclear beneficiary.
Meta's large nuclear project with TerraPower and global nuclear demand make Doosan Enerbility the most direct Korean beneficiary through equipment supply.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 75:00
Geopolitics supports Korean defense.
Trump's pressure on Iran and Cuba and persistent geopolitical tension support Korean defense, with momentum extending into shipbuilding and aerospace; named plays include Hanwha Aerospace, Hyundai Rotem, LIG Nex1, and Korea Aerospace.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 84:00
Memory shortage favors suppliers.
SanDisk demanding 100% cash prepayment for long-term NAND supply signals severe memory shortage and supplier power; DRAM prices may rise 50-60% in Q1, supporting memory and equipment names.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 87:54
Korean bio policy shortens approvals.
Korea's government plans to make bio a strategic industry, shorten approval from 400 to 240 days, expand Phase 3 support, and allow biosimilar Phase 3 waivers, benefiting Celltrion and Samsung Biologics ahead of JP Morgan Healthcare.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 92:13
Korean semiconductor earnings gap forces buying.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix represent about 35% of KOSPI market cap and over 40% of expected earnings; foreign earnings forecasts are far above Korean consensus, so even gap narrowing should force institutions to buy and drive KOSPI new highs.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 95:23
Holdings offer alternative semiconductor exposure.
For managers already overweight Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, SK Square and Samsung C&T are alternative ways to play the same semiconductor and ownership-value theme.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 95:43
Korean aerospace names lead momentum.
Autonomous driving and aerospace are market leadership themes; Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Systems, Korea Aerospace, and Satrec Initiative are intuitive Korean aerospace and defense plays.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 99:06
Korean semi equipment names strengthen.
Small and mid-cap Korean semiconductor materials and equipment names such as Jeju Semiconductor and EO Technics are moving to new highs alongside memory strength.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 100:27
Poongsan combines copper and defense.
Copper prices recovered and defense demand is strong; Poongsan combines copper and defense ammunition exposure and is expected to post record 2026 earnings after a correction.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:24
Samsung Heavy leads LNG shipbuilding.
Samsung Heavy Industries is the strongest Korean shipbuilder on LNG-related momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:39
Buy defense/shipbuilding leverage on dips.
Defense, shipbuilding, and power have earnings support; Kim prefers using sector leverage ETFs on relative pullbacks when semiconductor concentration causes those sectors to lag.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 103:31
Korean power equipment breaking out.
Power equipment has been consolidating and is starting to break out; Hyosung Heavy Industries has positive reports and LS Electric could rally on power shortage themes.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 106:58
D&D obesity drug deal expected.
D&D Pharmatech's oral obesity drug candidate is widely expected to be licensed or sold, making it a key Korean obesity-therapy momentum name.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 108:09
Hanmi obesity data may lift shares.
Hanmi Pharm has domestic obesity-treatment momentum, an attractive multi-year monthly chart, and upcoming data that could drive it to new highs.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 108:56
Protena AI protein story is speculative.
Protena uses AI for protein analysis, has reported speculative interest after a roughly tenfold share move, but the business is complex and less understood.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 109:32
ORUM momentum driven by licensing hopes.
ORUM Therapeutics has the strongest bio momentum on technology export and licensing expectations, with a steady rise.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 110:04
Mirae Asset earnings and SpaceX stake.
Mirae Asset Securities is expected to surprise in Q4 earnings from brokerage strength and valuation gains on investment assets including SpaceX, with additional stablecoin-related momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 111:31
Battery sector remains difficult.
LG Energy Solution's earnings miss and uncertain turnaround keep the battery sector difficult; supply rotates to stronger sectors, so only prior-high breakouts are tactical.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 113:41
Copper strength lifts wire stocks.
Copper strength lifts electric wire stocks, and Daehan Electric Wire is positioned for a prior-high breakout that could attract momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 114:01
Subsea cable momentum worth watching.
Subsea cable momentum from European cable attacks and Vietnam projects makes LS Marine Solution worth watching after a long rest.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 115:30
Substrate leaders benefit from semiconductor cycle.
The semiconductor substrate cycle is strong; DaeDuck Electronics has a target price above prior highs, Korea Circuit is resilient, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics is the preferred large-cap substrate leader.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 116:39
LG Innotek auto electronics re-rating.
LG Innotek is at a bottoming range and breaking trend as CES shows growing auto electronics and autonomous-driving exposure; it could target new highs.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 120:01
Hyundai governance trade favors Glovis.
Hyundai Glovis is surging on Chung Eui-sun's stake and expectations of a value-enhancing merger with Hyundai Mobis to resolve governance; Hyundai Steel is a lower-priced follow-on if the theme spreads.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 120:01
Hyundai governance trade favors Glovis.
Hyundai Glovis is surging on Chung Eui-sun's stake and expectations of a value-enhancing merger with Hyundai Mobis to resolve governance; Hyundai Steel is a lower-priced follow-on if the theme spreads.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 138:08
Intel supported by US government.
Intel hit a new high after Trump met its CEO and the US government reiterated shareholder support.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 140:53
BHI leverages Bloom Energy strength.
Bloom Energy's rise makes BHI, a Korean listed related power-equipment name, a leveraged play; after touching highs and resting, it could resume if Bloom continues higher.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 141:34
Fluence strength supports Hanjung NCS.
Fluence Energy's 9.5% move highlights energy storage; Hanjung NCS has the largest Korean revenue exposure and may bottom after pulling back to its 120-day line.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 141:34
Fluence strength supports Hanjung NCS.
Fluence Energy's 9.5% move highlights energy storage; Hanjung NCS has the largest Korean revenue exposure and may bottom after pulling back to its 120-day line.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 142:24
Drone defense subsector leads.
Within defense, drones are a new leading subsector; Kratos Defense hit new highs and LBC Systems rose like a rocket, showing drone momentum.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 143:41
Semiconductor ETF trend remains intact.
Semiconductor ETF AUM and investor interest are rising with the rally; the chart is in a holding zone, making new entry difficult but trend still intact.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 145:02
Warship replacement demand aids shipbuilders.
Global demand to replace about 1,000 warships and the US naval gap versus China should increase Korea's shipbuilding role; the sector has no earnings burden through 2026-27 and is defensive during earnings season.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 148:08
Robot ETF momentum remains strong.
The Korean robot ETF is soaring with strong market interest, but Min does not own it because of valuation; momentum remains a watch item.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 148:53
Bio ETFs near breakout before JPM.
Korean bio active ETFs are near prior highs before JP Morgan Healthcare; pullbacks should be buying opportunities if the bio rotation continues.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 151:45
Kia earnings rebound is underappreciated.
Kia is relatively neglected in the robot momentum trade but has expected 2026 earnings rebound and target price upgrades.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:16
SeAH Besteel gains on special steel.
SeAH Besteel Holdings is a special steel play on aerospace and defense growth, with target price raised.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:35
DI Corp benefits from HBM4 test.
DI Corp is a semiconductor test play with HBM4 wafer test quality certification, expected first-quarter revenue growth, and record sales.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 153:27
Samyang Foods rebound on export value.
Samyang Foods fell about 30% from highs but rebounded with institutional buying and strong exports; high US food inflation makes ramen's value proposition attractive.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 155:06
Hyundai Motor robot re-rating.
Boston Dynamics mass-production confirmation is re-rating Hyundai Motor as a robot leader, with target price raised to 470,000 won.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 157:05
Hyundai Mobis robot governance play.
Hyundai Mobis benefits from its Boston Dynamics stake and may be used as a funding vehicle for governance reform, with target price raised.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 12, 2026, features Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi discussing ASTS, TIGER K Defense & Space ETF, PLUS Aerospace & UAM ETF, TIMEfolio Global Space Tech & Defense ETF, 1Q US Aerospace Tech ETF, SILVER, HL, SVM, FCX, ALM, UAMY, METAVERSE, KOSDAQ, EWY, OKLO, SMR, CEG, VST, LEU, JPM, C, WFC, BAC, MS, GS, BLK, STT, 010060.KS, 009830.KS, 098460.KQ, 060280.KQ, Neurophet, 376900.KQ, 015760.KS, 000720.KS, Taewoong, Woojin, Korean power infrastructure, 034020.KS, Hyundai Rotem, 079550.KS, 047810.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, MU, SNDK, 068270.KS, 207940.KS, 402340.KS, 028260.KS, 272210.KS, 099320.KQ, 080220.KQ, 030200.KS, 103140.KS, 010140.KS, Korean defense leverage ETF, Korean shipbuilding leverage ETF, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 347850.KQ, 128940.KS, Protena, Orum Therapeutics, 006800.KS, 373220.KS, KARS, 001440.KS, LS Marine Solution, 008060.KS, 024110, 036530.KS, 011070.KS, 086280.KS, 004020.KS, INTC, BHI, FLNC, 107640.KQ, KTOS, 091160.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean robot ETF, KODEX Samsung Bio Active ETF, TIMEFOLIO Bio Active ETF, 000270.KS, 001430.KS, 003160.KS, 003230.KS, 005380.KS, 012330.KS. 54 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: ASTS, TIGER K Defense & Space ETF, PLUS Aerospace & UAM ETF, TIMEfolio Global Space Tech & Defense ETF, 1Q US Aerospace Tech ETF, SILVER, HL, SVM, FCX, ALM, UAMY, METAVERSE, KOSDAQ, EWY, OKLO, SMR, CEG, VST, LEU, JPM, C, WFC, BAC, MS, GS, BLK, STT, 010060.KS, 009830.KS, 098460.KQ, 060280.KQ, Neurophet, 376900.KQ, 015760.KS, 000720.KS, Taewoong, Woojin, Korean power infrastructure, 034020.KS, Hyundai Rotem, 079550.KS, 047810.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, MU, SNDK, 068270.KS, 207940.KS, 402340.KS, 028260.KS, 272210.KS, 099320.KQ, 080220.KQ, 030200.KS, 103140.KS, 010140.KS, Korean defense leverage ETF, Korean shipbuilding leverage ETF, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 347850.KQ, 128940.KS, Protena, Orum Therapeutics, 006800.KS, 373220.KS, KARS, 001440.KS, LS Marine Solution, 008060.KS, 024110, 036530.KS, 011070.KS, 086280.KS, 004020.KS, INTC, BHI, FLNC, 107640.KQ, KTOS, 091160.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean robot ETF, KODEX Samsung Bio Active ETF, TIMEFOLIO Bio Active ETF, 000270.KS, 001430.KS, 003160.KS, 003230.KS, 005380.KS, 012330.KS