FL FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views

Fluence Energy cut its full-year revenue forecast due to production issues at its Houston facility, sending shares down 15% on the day and more than 60% year to date, making the stock unattractive.

The author argues Fluence Energy is dysfunctional and incompetent, having cut revenue guidance for the second time in two months despite huge demand for a product customers desperately want. The causal mechanism is poor management and inability to build factories, compounded by what the author calls moronic owners at Siemens. The stock is already down about 75% in three months, and the author implies further downside or at least avoidance given repeated guidance failures. Main risk is that the stock is already deeply beaten down and could rebound on any operational improvement.

Premarket movers include all Magnificent Seven stocks trading higher along with gains in Ciena, Generac, Qiagen and Vicor, while Fluence Energy plunges on a revenue forecast cut and Lennar and Pegasystems slip on weak results and a downgrade.

The author reflects on prior losses in Fluence and Power Solutions International, warning that deteriorating gross and net margins signal a company losing pricing power and that investors should avoid bottom-fishing declining businesses.

Author flags $FLNC's ~20% FY2026 guidance cut (revenue to ~$2.4B, ~$200M EBITDA loss) tied to Houston manufacturing delays, dismissing management as incompetent. No position or reasoned downside mechanism stated.

The author sarcastically questions whether low-quality stocks are rallying indiscriminately, listing tickers without any directional position or trade thesis.

Author bought more FLNC but keeps a short leash, indicating a cautious tactical position without a clear forward-looking directional call.

Speaker says pipeline is a made-up metric, citing a hard lesson learned with Fluence Energy $FLNC. No explicit directional position stated.

Expectations for US ESS expansion due to data center power shortages and Hyundai's battery focus are driving Samsung SDI, though it faces heavy technical resistance between 563,000 and 580,000 KRW.

The author sarcastically suggests FLNC belongs in the conversation about volatile stocks, but no directional position or forecast is stated.

Raymond James upgrades AMD to Strong Buy with a raised price target, while multiple other analysts issue upgrades and downgrades across various stocks including DT, SMMT, BFH, FLNC, FOUR, MRNA, CAPR, RLI, NTR, KLAR, PAY, DQ, FIVE, and FIS.

Author recaps his 2025 call track record with a +57.85% return, notes recent drawdowns, and says he is ready to add to positions and make new calls, implying continued bullishness on his winners.

The author asks a clarifying question about why the parent is bullish on FLNC without expressing their own directional view.

Buy FLNC; author explicitly endorses bullish thesis citing 32.8% FY2026E revenue growth, $5.6B backlog against ~$3B annual revenue, and master supply agreements with two major hyperscalers implying significant upside from ~$13.

Author explains a post-earnings dip-buying strategy citing VPG and FLNC as past examples, but frames it as a general approach rather than a current position or forward call.

Watch FLNC, GEV, VST, and NRG as PJM's reliability backstop creates an event-driven procurement window for batteries, peakers, uprates, and hybrid capacity; near-term awards and equipment orders are catalysts.

Author sold their FLNC position at $13.97 after an earnings miss, taking a small loss and moving on to research the next trade.

Author highlights FLNC's sharp intraday reversal from -10% to flat as evidence against a risk-off environment, but frames it as price action observation rather than a directional position.

The author mocks FLNC's green move and celebrates an inverse FINX strategy, but no explicit position or forward call is stated.

Author flags potential squeeze dynamics in FLNC following its inclusion in his satirical "Bagnificient 7," no committed directional view given.

FLNC reported a significant earnings miss — revenue -20% vs. estimates, EPS -$0.24, gross margin compressed to 5.9% from 15.4%, and FY guidance cut due to production/construction delays; offset by all-time-high backlog and first hyperscaler order win.

Author questions whether Kevin Xu is back with a link to FLNC, but no explicit position or forward call is stated.

"Avoid buying FLNC: management is F-tier and has a long history of bombing earnings, a risk that outweighs the legitimate positive catalysts from power and energy storage demand."

Buy FLNC as a post-selloff M&A target — Siemens exit creates a strategic opening, $2B market cap vs $6B backlog is deeply discounted, and the hyperscaler contract plus Nvidia battery tech partnership make it attractive to a buyer with manufacturing capability.

Watch FLNC/GEV/ENR; PJM backstop procurement likely favors batteries, uprates, and peakers over new combined-cycle, creating a structural tailwind for energy storage and fast-start equipment suppliers. No ownership stated, so watch rather than long.

FLNC missed revenue by ~$161M and cut FY26 guidance due to production delays; shares fell 9.2%, though record $6.4B backlog and ~$850M data-center business through July provide partial offset.

Author notes FLNC is volatile and difficult to trade, expressing frustration without a directional position or forecast.

Warns against all-in positioning into FLNC earnings; no directional call or fundamental analysis.

Cites prior losses due to margin deterioration as a lesson to avoid companies losing pricing power.

Notes speculative stock getting crushed following its earnings report.