Buzzberg Cup Live
#1 Alpha Score 100.0

aleabitoreddit

Reddit DD Author / Independent Trader
@aleabitoreddit · tracked since Jul 2025
1
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Alpha Score 100.0
Calls
154
Win Rate
44.7%
return
+21.1%
Calls 154 6495 Posts tracked · 17.0/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 5
90d 26
Best Calls
SNDK Long +510.1%
SIVE Long +438.7%
MU Long +329.1%
Worst Calls
DFLI Long -88.0%
NFE Long -83.8%
GEMI Long -82.4%
Most Mentioned
NBIS ×376
SIVE ×227
AAOI ×166
Recent Calls
CCXI Long 2 weeks ago
CBRS Long 3 weeks ago
138080.KQ Long 3 weeks ago
Win Rate 45% Long 149 Short 5
Win Rate
7d 62%
30d 63%
90d 64%
Average Return +21.1% Long Return +21.5% Short Return +7.0%
Average Return
7d +5.6%
30d +10.7%
90d +29.7%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Sep 09
$95.72
+86.1%
Bullish basket pick: $NBIS. Explicit list of stocks he's bullish on.
Bullish basket pick: $NBIS. Explicit list of stocks he's bullish on.
NeoCloud
Long
Mar 16
$6.21
+438.7%
Long SIVE — 'my personal new ones were ... $SIVE as the next $LITE for CPO/Silicon photonics'.
Long SIVE — 'my personal new ones were ... $SIVE as the next $LITE for CPO/Silicon photonics'.
AI Photonics
Long
Dec 11
$36.32
+180.0%
Small-cap <$3B photonics player; scale-out 400G/800G connectivity for Trainium and Maia; AWS whale client + MSFT Maia; Made in America angle; structurally undervalued.
Small-cap <$3B photonics player; scale-out 400G/800G connectivity for Trainium and Maia; AWS whale client + MSFT Maia; Made in America angle; structurally undervalued.
AI Photonics
Long
Dec 26
$15.37
+195.1%
Long $AXTI — $600m company is the bottleneck of bottleneck for AI photonics buildout (InP substrates); downside risk from China supply chain but asymmetric upside.
Long $AXTI — $600m company is the bottleneck of bottleneck for AI photonics buildout (InP substrates); downside risk from China supply chain but asymmetric upside.
AI Photonics
Long
Sep 26
$11.47
+53.4%
Good buy on 17.54% drop; $3B/10y deal, 0% interest dilution at $16.06 (38% above market) — overreaction to BTC balance sheet exposure.
Good buy on 17.54% drop; $3B/10y deal, 0% interest dilution at $16.06 (38% above market) — overreaction to BTC balance sheet exposure.
Crypto Miners
Long
Jul 07
$48.42
-32.5%
Bought $HIMS at $45.26 on 5.6% drop — fire sale entry.
Bought $HIMS at $45.26 on 5.6% drop — fire sale entry.
GLP-1 / Obesity
Long
Sep 15
$37.14
-9.1%
IREN great but more speculative atm and needs dilution.
IREN great but more speculative atm and needs dilution.
NeoCloud
Long
Sep 09
$250.92
+58.5%
Bullish basket pick: $TSM. Explicit list of stocks he's bullish on.
Bullish basket pick: $TSM. Explicit list of stocks he's bullish on.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Dec 01
$317.93
+128.6%
Initiating new position — primary OCS beneficiary; core of Apollo OCS switches in TPU pods; less commoditization than standard transceivers.
Initiating new position — primary OCS beneficiary; core of Apollo OCS switches in TPU pods; less commoditization than standard transceivers.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 01
$50.19
+108.4%
The author expects Soitec to re-rate significantly higher due to its functional monopoly on photonics-soi substrates, a key component for Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology set to inflect in 2028.
The author expects Soitec to re-rate significantly higher due to its functional monopoly on photonics-soi substrates, a key component for Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology set to inflect in 2028.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jul 02
$62.42
-42.0%
Long $IBIT/BTC 2026-2027 LEAPs — low IV (44-55), USD inflation, growing global money supply, post-halving historical Jul/Aug rallies. Selling BTC CCs into weekly high IV = profit.
Long $IBIT/BTC 2026-2027 LEAPs — low IV (44-55), USD inflation, growing global money supply, post-halving historical Jul/Aug rallies. Selling BTC CCs into weekly high IV = profit.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 31
$48.60
+40.1%
Long $RKLB in 5-year moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns given current valuations. Space sector pick.
Long $RKLB in 5-year moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns given current valuations. Space sector pick.
Space
Long
Jan 09
$1.96
-12.8%
Long VLN — initiated position at $155M MC; AI semi for self-driving/robotics; markets messed up due to ticker collision data error and missed CES 2026 info; fair value $493.5M base case.
Long VLN — initiated position at $155M MC; AI semi for self-driving/robotics; markets messed up due to ticker collision data error and missed CES 2026 info; fair value $493.5M base case.
AI ASIC
Long
Oct 03
$207.20
-13.3%
Bought $RDDT at $200 psychological support after 29% drop; news that caused drop was immaterial (training data, not AI ads).
Bought $RDDT at $200 psychological support after 29% drop; news that caused drop was immaterial (training data, not AI ads).
Internet Platforms
Long
Sep 28
$743.75
-13.9%
Sells 5 $META $712.5 puts for $869 premium; META unlikely to drop 5%+ a week.
Sells 5 $META $712.5 puts for $869 premium; META unlikely to drop 5%+ a week.
Hyperscalers
Showing 15 of 154 calls · sorted by mentions

aleabitoreddit has 154 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 151 tickers since July 2025. Win rate 45% across 152 evaluated calls, average return +21.1%. Ranked #1 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: NBIS, SIVE, AAOI.