Ideas
KOSPI near-term risky on macro/liquidity.
The KOSPI near-term environment is risky because rates and geopolitical risk are simultaneously pressuring the market, deposit funds are shrinking, credit is elevated, trading value is weak, and heavy overhead supply sits above 7,500. Market mood is unlikely to improve until these variables are resolved.
Buy semiconductor dips; macro pressure temporary.
The semiconductor selloff is macro-driven by rates, geopolitical risk, and foreign/passive selling, not by deteriorating industry fundamentals. The semiconductor and AI cycle story has actually improved over the past three weeks and remains intact toward 2028, so investors should accumulate on dips, use swing trading only around a core position, and avoid reacting to daily declines.
US market historically strengthens after midterms.
The US market has historically never been weak after the midterm elections, including second-term midterms. With the November midterms approaching, the setup supports a more constructive US equity market afterward, so investors should be building positions over time.
Hanwha Aerospace needs 1.28-1.30m breakout.
The K-defense narrative is still working because of defense spending and geopolitical uncertainty, but defense stocks remain choppy as investors react to war/peace headlines. Hanwha Aerospace needs to break the 1.28-1.30 million won area to open upward toward 1.4 million won and beyond; current new-entry attractiveness is limited.
APR breakout would extend cosmetics strength.
Cosmetics are currently stronger than financials and defensives. Korean cosmetics export themes are supported by ODM/OEM strength and may benefit from US-Canada tariff conflict. APR is repeatedly testing resistance, and if it breaks out, new-high momentum could create follow-through, making it a hold/ride candidate with the breakout as a profit-taking reference.
Buy dollars on Korean won strength.
USD/KRW may first fall toward 1,350 according to consensus, but the speaker expects the exchange rate to rebound higher afterward. He suggests buying dollars when the won is strong and the exchange rate is favorable.
Favor yen; USD/JPY has more downside.
Dollar/yen still may have about 1-2% more downside. The yen is expected to strengthen again by next April as the BOJ moves toward tighter policy and the US rate environment converges. Investors can buy yen on weakness for Japan travel, and USD/JPY traders should leave room for more downside.
Favor yen; USD/JPY has more downside.
Dollar/yen still may have about 1-2% more downside. The yen is expected to strengthen again by next April as the BOJ moves toward tighter policy and the US rate environment converges. Investors can buy yen on weakness for Japan travel, and USD/JPY traders should leave room for more downside.
Secondary battery sector is firming.
The secondary battery sector is firming because government ESS bidding has doubled and US data center energy shortages support power-related demand. L&F, POSCO Future M, EcoPro BM, and Lotte Energy Materials are recovering from deep prior declines as the theme strengthens.
Samsung SDI holds 580k for 600k.
Samsung SDI is improving with the secondary battery bounce, but it has already risen from recent lows. It needs to hold about 580,000 won as support to open upside toward the mid-to-high 600,000 won range, roughly 10% higher. A break below 580,000 would invalidate the setup.
Wait for HPSP breakout or pullback.
HPSP has decent semiconductor-equipment fundamentals and is not a bad company, but after rallying from the low it is unattractive for immediate new entry. The better approach is to wait for either a clear breakout above 57,000-58,000 won or a pullback opportunity near 43,000 won.
This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 31, 2026,
features Ha Chang-wan
discussing EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SPY, 012450.KS, APR, USD/KRW, USD/JPY, JPY, 247540.KQ, 003670.KS, L&F, 020150.KS, 006400.KS, 403870.KQ.
11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Ha Chang-wan
· Tickers:
EWY,
005930.KS,
000660.KS,
SPY,
012450.KS,
APR,
USD/KRW,
USD/JPY,
JPY,
247540.KQ,
003670.KS,
L&F,
020150.KS,
006400.KS,
403870.KQ
