[26.01.12 오전 방송 전체보기] 삼성전자&SK하이닉스가 이끄는 한국증시, 어디까지 올라갈 수 있나? / 트럼프, 이란 군사개입 카드 만지작…대규모 공습 현실 가능성은?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 03:19  |  6:04:16  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-sung — Global Market Strategist
Lee Jaeman — Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center
Kwon Soon-woo — Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV
Park Byeong-chang — Director, MP Partners
Ha Chang-wan — CEO
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Na Jeong-hwan — Analyst, NH Investment & Securities
Jeong Hee-seok — Private Banker, Hana Securities Centerfield W
Bae Jae-won — Private Banker, Incheon Branch
Lee Yoon-hee — PB
Kim Deok-il — Research Fellow, Middle East and Islam Center, Korea University

Summary

The January 12, 2026 market broadcast covered a strong US and Korean equity tape, with AI and memory semiconductors still leading but capital broadening into autos, shipbuilding, defense, nuclear, power equipment, and select consumer/retail names. Guests debated whether the semiconductor-led KOSPI rally can extend toward 5,500-5,600, how tariff and geopolitical risks should be traded, and where relative value remains within US and Korean equities. Later segments focused on AI supply-chain shortages, CPU/Intel, rare earths, Korean policy-driven KOSDAQ inflows, biotech catalysts, and defense/nuclear structural spending.

  • US and Korean markets hit or approached highs as AI and memory semiconductor strength continued.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix remained central to KOSPI gains, with analysts discussing earnings upgrades and valuation.
  • Capital rotated into autos, shipbuilding, defense, nuclear, power equipment, and some retail/consumer names.
  • Housing-linked US stocks benefited from Trump mortgage-rate policies and falling mortgage yields.
  • Analysts highlighted relative value in Alphabet, Micron, Intel, AMD, SanDisk, and Korean semiconductor laggards.
  • Geopolitical risk focused on Iran, Venezuela, Greenland, tariffs, and defense-spending implications.
  • Opening-bell and strategy segments debated AI supply-chain shortages, CPU/Intel, stablecoins, and rare earths.
  • Bio/pharma and KOSDAQ policy support were framed as buy-on-dip opportunities around the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference.
Ideas
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 18:18
US housing rebound lifts related stocks
Trump administration policies aimed at lowering mortgage rates, including MBS purchases, are reviving US housing-related equities such as Rocket Companies and Lennar.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 22:47
Venezuela rebuilding benefits oil producers
Venezuela's post-conflict energy rebuilding and US oil majors' involvement, especially Chevron's existing infrastructure, support oil producer shares.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 26:06
Defense and drone funds are flowing
Funds are flowing into defense and drone names on geopolitical risk and Trump policy, though drone stocks may see volatility from China-related sanctions policy.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 26:06
Defense and drone funds are flowing
Funds are flowing into defense and drone names on geopolitical risk and Trump policy, though drone stocks may see volatility from China-related sanctions policy.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 28:31
Critical minerals remain a strategic theme
G7-plus mineral talks and US efforts to secure and refine critical resources keep the investment case for resource-securing and refining companies intact.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 29:13
AI infrastructure investment remains terminal destination
AI remains the ultimate destination for capital, with OpenAI and SoftBank still funding large data-center and energy projects; the AI infrastructure buildout is not over.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 32:52
Trump stimulus supports US retail stocks
Trump stimulus, credit-card rate caps, and Walmart's AI-driven retail execution and Nasdaq 100 inclusion support large US retailers and consumer names.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 34:40
Wegovy access boosts Novo Nordisk
Wegovy becoming available through Amazon Pharmacy improves consumer access to obesity drugs, a positive for Novo Nordisk.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 48:26
Alphabet offers growth at cheaper valuation
Alphabet combines AI investment with a revenue-growth turnaround, very large net income, and a lower PER than Nvidia, making it an attractive large-tech relative value.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 52:02
Micron earnings growth beats Nvidia
Micron has higher earnings growth than Nvidia and trades at much lower PER and PBR, giving it relative value within AI-linked semiconductors.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 53:36
Cheaper US semis may outperform Nvidia
Intel, AMD, and SanDisk have higher expected earnings growth than Nvidia and cheaper valuation multiples, making them relative-value semiconductor ideas.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 54:34
Korean chip laggards offer relative value
Samsung Electronics, Daeduk Electronics, and Jusung Engineering have higher earnings growth than SK hynix and lower PER or PBR, making them relative value plays in Korean tech.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 58:48
Lower mortgage rates lift housing stocks
US housing-linked stocks Home Depot and Lennar benefit from falling mortgage rates, with the 30-year mortgage rate near 6.2% and housing activity reviving.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 60:42
Lower yields would boost consumer discretionary
If the US 10-year Treasury yield falls below 4%, US consumer discretionary sectors such as distributors and durables, including Walmart, Amazon, and Nike, tend to outperform.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 62:57
Lower yields boost Korean rate-sensitives
If US 10-year yields fall below 4% toward 3.5%, Korean rate-sensitive domestic sectors such as securities, autos, and healthcare/biotech tend to lead.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 65:39
Copper producers beat processors on pricing
Rising copper prices favor primary producers with pricing power like Freeport-McMoRan, while processors such as Aurubis face margin pressure from higher input costs.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 65:39
Copper producers beat processors on pricing
Rising copper prices favor primary producers with pricing power like Freeport-McMoRan, while processors such as Aurubis face margin pressure from higher input costs.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 69:54
Pricing power favors select US cyclicals
US cyclicals with strong price pass-through and improving operating margins should benefit from commodity inflation; examples include GE Aerospace, Chevron, Linde, GE Vernova, Eaton, Lockheed Martin, and Newmont.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 70:35
Pricing power favors Korean cyclicals
Korean cyclicals with high pricing power, including shipbuilders, defense, power equipment, and Poongsan, are attractive as commodity and input-cost pressures rise.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 73:30
Samsung and SK hynix earnings strong
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have strong earnings growth and together account for about 47% of KOSPI net profit; SK hynix's earnings release could further raise estimates.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 74:44
Alteogen may lead Korean biotech
Alteogen has very high earnings-growth estimates for this year; if delivered, it could be one of the top-returning Korean bio/pharma stocks, though estimate reliability is lower than for Samsung.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 78:36
Korean semiconductors have more upside
The Korean semiconductor sector may have about 61% further upside based on a 3-year earnings upcycle, record net income, and a still-low 14-15x PER versus global peers.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 82:52
KOSPI can reach 5,600
KOSPI could reach around 5,600 if semiconductors contribute roughly 23% upside from the 4,550 level, with the best chance in the first half.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 107:20
Semiconductor peak may rotate to defense
If Korean semiconductors are perceived to be peaking, funds may rotate into other strong sectors such as defense, power equipment, and nuclear-related names.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 120:35
SanDisk benefits from NAND shortage
SanDisk is rising on NAND/enterprise SSD shortages and reported plans to raise enterprise NAND prices sharply in March, with strong pricing power.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 128:29
KOSPI uptrend should be followed
KOSPI is in a strong upward trend and investors should follow the trend while it rises, rather than preparing for a pullback too early.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 138:08
Hanwha Ocean expands shipyard capacity
Hanwha's Philippine shipyard is reportedly full and the group may acquire nearby docks and introduce Korean shipyard robots, a positive capacity expansion signal for Hanwha Ocean.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 138:37
AI demand boosts optical communications
Goldman Sachs expects the global optical communications market to grow about 34% annually through 2028 due to AI server infrastructure demand, supporting the optical communications theme.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 139:17
Micron benefits from memory shortage
Micron's IR indicates strong AI memory demand from Nvidia Rubin/Blackwell and Broadcom TPUs, DRAM ASPs up about 60% year over year, and ongoing supply shortages; JP Morgan raised its target.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 143:48
Memory cycle peak timing needs watching
The timing of the memory cycle peak is key: if the shortage peaks in first half 2027, the market may pre-reflect it in first half 2026, so investors should watch memory prices and contract duration.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 147:39
Korean nuclear policy shift is positive
The Korean government may shift energy policy to emphasize nuclear and energy transition, and the market is watching how much nuclear share is included in the energy mix.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 148:42
Korean tax policies support equity inflows
Government plans for National Growth ISAs, productive-finance ISAs, youth ISAs, and expanded KOSDAQ venture-fund tax benefits are intended to bring capital into domestic equities and KOSDAQ.
Doosan Bobcat has North America growth
Doosan Bobcat is highlighted by reports for solid North American performance and M&A-driven long-term growth, with a target price of 71,000 won.
Nuclear and power demand rises
Meta's long-term nuclear contracts and AI data-center power demand are supporting nuclear and related construction/power names such as Doosan Enerbility, Hyundai Engineering & Construction, LS Electric, Hyosung Heavy Industries, and HD Hyundai Electric.
Hyundai Motor Group is physical AI
Hyundai Motor Group should be viewed as a physical-AI and robotics play: CES, Metaplant application centers, Boston Dynamics Atlas, and Nvidia robot-platform links add momentum to an attractively valued automaker group.
Petrochemical restructuring upside is limited
Petrochemical stocks are at a price-attractive bottom and NCC restructuring could help, but if demand does not structurally recover, the trade may be late and limited.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 227:14
Samsung Electronics earnings support valuation
Samsung Electronics' first-quarter consensus is around 30 trillion won operating profit and 2026 consensus around 140 trillion won; current prices partly reflect that, so further upside depends on 2027 estimates.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 230:35
SanDisk demands prepayment on shortage
SanDisk's demand for full cash prepayment and long-term supply contracts indicates severe NAND shortage and pricing power, reinforcing the memory shortage thesis.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 232:14
US liquidity supports equity market
Trump's credit-card rate cap and MBS purchase plans act as fiscal/liquidity stimulus that can support US equities even if the Fed does not cut rates soon.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 238:51
Stablecoin infrastructure may be next
Stablecoin transaction volumes are surging and infrastructure is being built with Visa and Circle, suggesting the stablecoin/crypto infrastructure theme may become more important later.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 249:51
KOSPI target remains 5,500
The KOSPI uptrend can continue toward 5,500, with tariff-court volatility as a potential buying opportunity rather than a reason to abandon the market.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 278:50
Samsung and SK hynix stay strong
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix should continue to benefit from the unusual combination of a semiconductor upcycle and rate cuts, with strong momentum.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 282:37
KOSDAQ benefits from policy inflows
KOSDAQ could rise toward 1,100 as government funds, venture investment, National Growth Fund support, and governance reform reduce the KOSDAQ discount.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 286:27
Korean chip equipment materials benefit
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials companies should benefit as DRAM spot prices rise and memory makers expand capex, including names like Hanmi Semiconductor.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 288:50
Korean biotech leaders may outperform
Korean biotech market-cap leaders can be a useful leveraged strategy if KOSDAQ improves, especially around the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference and policy support.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 290:44
Korean shipbuilding and defense stay strong
Korean shipbuilding and defense remain policy-momentum winners tied to US-China tensions and Trump administration alignment, and should stay in portfolios.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 291:43
Nuclear and power remain attractive
Nuclear and power equipment should be treated separately from shipbuilding/defense and remain core AI-infrastructure holdings.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 292:02
Securities and holdings benefit from policy
Policy momentum from commercial-law revision and governance reform supports Korean securities firms and holding companies.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 292:43
Physical AI benefits Hyundai and batteries
Physical-AI momentum should be expressed through Hyundai Motor Group and battery names such as LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI.
Na Jeong-hwan Analyst, NH Investment & Securities 295:51
Kia may rebound when AI cools
Kia's fundamentals are solid in hybrids and EVs but the stock is overlooked because AI is dominating flows; it may rebound when AI heat cools.
Bae Jae-won Private Banker, Incheon Branch 305:36
Nuclear power demand from AI rises
AI data-center power shortages, highlighted by Meta's large nuclear-power contracts, support nuclear and power-generation names.
Bae Jae-won Private Banker, Incheon Branch 311:52
Korean shipbuilding benefits from US-China conflict
Korean shipbuilders benefit from the US-China conflict and Western efforts to contain China, which improves Korea's relative position in global shipbuilding.
Bae Jae-won Private Banker, Incheon Branch 313:20
Korean memory semis stay strong
Korean memory semiconductor earnings estimates keep rising, with 2026 operating profit forecasts at 180-240 trillion won and long-term supply contracts including prepayment options; Samsung Electronics and SK hynix should stay strong at least through the first half.
Bae Jae-won Private Banker, Incheon Branch 319:49
Korean defense exports remain structural
Korean defense is a multi-year structural theme: exports to Poland, Peru, Estonia, and the Philippines are growing, and Trump's proposed 2027 US defense budget increase supports global defense spending.
Jeong Hee-seok Private Banker, Hana Securities Centerfield W 321:22
Intel may benefit from CPU shortage
Intel may be regaining attention as a CPU shortage develops in AI data centers, with 18A products improving and US government support; however foundry execution versus TSMC remains the key risk.
Jeong Hee-seok Private Banker, Hana Securities Centerfield W 322:32
AI supply-chain shortages create opportunities
The best AI investment approach is to find parts that are scarce; after memory and optical components like Lumentum and Coherent, CPUs may be the next bottleneck.
Jeong Hee-seok Private Banker, Hana Securities Centerfield W 336:40
Rare earth equities are less attractive
Rare-earth equities are less attractive because the shortage is more structural and not yet reflected in near-term earnings, increasing volatility; he personally does not approach rare-earth companies.
Jeong Hee-seok Private Banker, Hana Securities Centerfield W 343:11
Eli Lilly leads obesity treatment volume
Eli Lilly is his preferred large US biotech because the obesity-treatment market is entering a volume-growth phase and Lilly should be a key beneficiary.
Jeong Hee-seok Private Banker, Hana Securities Centerfield W 344:20
IQVIA indicates biotech R&D recovery
IQVIA Holdings, the top global clinical-trial CRO, is showing a recovery in pharma and biotech R&D spending, which also supports the outlook for Korean biotech.
Samyang Foods benefits from price hikes
Samyang Foods remains fundamentally attractive because price increases can lift earnings and demand for its products is still strong despite the recent share-price correction.
Korean biotech is a buy on dip
Korean biotech is a buy-on-dip opportunity: JPMorgan Healthcare Conference catalysts, KOSDAQ activation policy, and event-driven selloffs create entry points for quality bio names.
HYBE attractive on BTS tour
HYBE is attractive because BTS world-tour schedule disclosure is a near-term catalyst, and the stock has already been consolidating; weakness can be an opportunity.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published January 12, 2026, features Park Myung-sung, Lee Jaeman, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Ha Chang-wan, Kim Jang-yeol, Na Jeong-hwan, Bae Jae-won, Jeong Hee-seok, Lee Yoon-hee discussing RKT, LEN, CVX, COP, XOM, NOC, ONDS, REMX, AIQ, WMT, AMZN, TGT, NVO, GOOGL, MU, INTC, AMD, SNDK, Daeduk Electronics, 036930.KQ, 005930.KS, HD, NKE, Korean securities, Korean autos, Korean healthcare/biotech, FCX, NDA.F, GE, LIN, GEV, ETN, LMT, NEM, 329180.KS, 012450.KS, 042660.KS, Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, 267260.KS, 010140.KS, 103140.KS, 000660.KS, 196170.KQ, Korean semiconductor sector, ^KS11, Korean Defense, Power equipment, Korean nuclear, Optical communications, Korean memory semiconductors, ^KQ11, Korean equities, Doosan Bobcat, 034020.KS, Hyundai Engineering & Construction, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 005380.KS, 012330.KS, 307950.KS, 086280.KS, 011170.KS, 003830.KS, 011780.KS, ^GSPC, Stablecoin infrastructure, V, CRCL, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, 042700.KS, Korean biotech leaders, Korean Shipbuilding, Korean holding companies, Hyundai Motor Group, 373220.KS, 006400.KS, 000270.KS, AI-SECTOR, LITE, COHR, LLY, IQV, 003230.KS, Korean Biotech, HLB, ABL Bio, 141080.KQ, 352820.KS. 62 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-sung, Lee Jaeman, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Ha Chang-wan, Kim Jang-yeol, Na Jeong-hwan, Bae Jae-won, Jeong Hee-seok, Lee Yoon-hee  · Tickers: RKT, LEN, CVX, COP, XOM, NOC, ONDS, REMX, AIQ, WMT, AMZN, TGT, NVO, GOOGL, MU, INTC, AMD, SNDK, Daeduk Electronics, 036930.KQ, 005930.KS, HD, NKE, Korean securities, Korean autos, Korean healthcare/biotech, FCX, NDA.F, GE, LIN, GEV, ETN, LMT, NEM, 329180.KS, 012450.KS, 042660.KS, Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, 267260.KS, 010140.KS, 103140.KS, 000660.KS, 196170.KQ, Korean semiconductor sector, ^KS11, Korean Defense, Power equipment, Korean nuclear, Optical communications, Korean memory semiconductors, ^KQ11, Korean equities, Doosan Bobcat, 034020.KS, Hyundai Engineering & Construction, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 005380.KS, 012330.KS, 307950.KS, 086280.KS, 011170.KS, 003830.KS, 011780.KS, ^GSPC, Stablecoin infrastructure, V, CRCL, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, 042700.KS, Korean biotech leaders, Korean Shipbuilding, Korean holding companies, Hyundai Motor Group, 373220.KS, 006400.KS, 000270.KS, AI-SECTOR, LITE, COHR, LLY, IQV, 003230.KS, Korean Biotech, HLB, ABL Bio, 141080.KQ, 352820.KS