Ideas
Coinbase long-term positive next six months
He is leaning into Coinbase and views it as a make-or-break long-term investment that should play out positively over the next six months.
TSMC demand strong but ROI uncertain
TSMC's 35% profit jump, sold-out 2026 capacity, and record $56 billion capex show strong AI chip demand and intact gross margins, but the CEO's nervousness about spending correctly and uncertain return on investment make it a monitoring setup rather than a clean directional call.
ASML benefits from TSMC capex monopoly
ASML has a full monopoly in lithography machines, so TSMC's heavy spending should benefit it; its market cap hit $500 billion for the first time, and BofA argues semiconductor capital equipment names are not as crowded as they seem because they have not fully priced strong foundry and logic demand.
Semi cap not crowded, demand strong
TSMC's record capex and strong foundry and logic demand support semiconductor capital equipment names, while BofA says the group is not as crowded as it appears because it has been driven by the memory shortage narrative rather than foundry and logic strength.
ASML wins lion's share of capex
As an ASML shareholder, he expects TSMC's $56 billion capex to send the lion's share to ASML, its biggest customer; Nvidia's expansion into mobile and autonomous driving requires retooling and upgrading lithography machines for smaller nanometer chips, which bodes well for ASML regardless of where orders come from.
Nvidia breakout above 196 to record
Nvidia is back above the anchored VWAP from its closing high; if it clears 193.5 and then 196 resistance, it could head toward a new record high and attract solid flows, and its 25x forward multiple is below its five-year average of 28x, making it an exciting name to watch.
Nvidia range-bound, money rotates elsewhere
Nvidia has been stuck in a range, with a zero-sum trading game between software and semiconductors; even though its valuation has come down and is cheaper than many chip names, investors have stayed on the sidelines and moved into other parts of the chip world, leaving questions about how much upside remains.
Avoid software; flows are leaving
Software has been hit hard to start the year and flows are moving out of the group; while there are some names like Synopsys coming alive, he is not very excited about software overall.
IWM breaking out in long-term uptrend
Small caps are breaking out, with money on the sidelines looking at areas that have consolidated well; he sees a big long-term uptrend where the trend is your friend and expects this consolidation to break out.
Nvidia Rubin guidance is make-or-break
As an Nvidia shareholder, he sees second-half guidance tied to Rubin as make-or-break; the upgrade from 8 to 72 chips on a cluster would be a massive improvement for hyperscalers still buying Nvidia chips, but the read will not come until the second half of the year.
This CNBC video, published January 15, 2026,
features Jimmy, Kristina Partsinevelos, Jim Malcolm, Bill
discussing COIN, TSM, ASML, SOXX, NVDA, IGV, IWM.
10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Jimmy,
Kristina Partsinevelos,
Jim Malcolm,
Bill
· Tickers:
COIN,
TSM,
ASML,
SOXX,
NVDA,
IGV,
IWM
