HUN Huntsman Corporation : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

Cramer lists these chemical companies as the "Chem Seven," says they are "easier to own" than NVDA right now, but concludes, "I DON'T WANT THE CHEM SEVEN EITHER THOUGH." These companies are levered to a prolonged Middle East conflict and high petrochemical demand. Their appeal is entirely conditional on the war continuing. Avoid because the thesis has a short "shelf life" (could be two weeks) and is purely event-driven, making it a speculative and unreliable trade. A swift end to hostilities would immediately invalidate the investment rationale.

Reading a thesis on "American chemical companies." Competitors in Europe/Asia rely on oil-based feedstock (naphtha). US companies use natural gas. As oil prices skyrocket due to war, foreign competitors' costs explode. US companies, accessing cheap domestic natural gas, gain a massive structural cost advantage ("Feedstock Arbitrage"). Long US Chemicals is a sophisticated second-order play on rising oil prices. Global recession crushing demand for chemicals regardless of input costs.