AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

The US lost 92k jobs, and unemployment rose to 4.4%. Roland notes the bond market is only pricing in one rate cut, which is "wild" given six negative bond reports. Rieder notes real rates are attractive and income is back. A negative payroll print of this magnitude typically forces the Fed to cut rates to support the labor market. While inflation (oil) is a concern, the economic deterioration (job losses) will eventually force a flight to safety in bonds, and current yields (>4%) offer a "cushion" of income while waiting for capital appreciation. LONG duration and aggregate bonds for income and capital appreciation potential on Fed pivot. Stagflation—if oil pushes inflation higher, the Fed may be unable to cut rates despite job losses, causing yields to rise (prices to fall).