#35 Alpha Score 97.0

zephyr_z9

@zephyr_z9 · tracked since Feb 2026
35
BUZZBERG The leaderboard is ranked by Alpha Score, which weighs a speaker's average return, their number of calls, and reputation — a credibility rating of the source that can only raise a score, never lower it. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 97.0
Calls
16
Win Rate
81.2%
return
+23.1%
Calls 16 2959 Posts tracked · 16.4/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
AMD Long +137.9%
4062.T Long +132.8%
MRAAY Long +104.2%
Worst Calls
SIVE Short -256.3%
ARM Short -96.8%
3105.TWO Long -5.1%
Most Mentioned
000660.KS ×3
005930.KS ×3
ARM ×1
Recent Calls
NTBO Long 3 months ago
UMICF Long 3 months ago
IBDNF Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 81% Long 14 Short 2
Win Rate
7d 69%
30d 69%
90d 87%
Average Return +23.1% Long Return +51.6% Short Return -176.5%
Average Return
7d +5.8%
30d +14.4%
90d +15.2%
Loading charts...
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 20
$950000.00
+49.7%
Hynix 100% upside on HBM demand
Buy SK Hynix alongside Samsung; author sees 100% upside for both HBM suppliers as Nvidia's Rubin GPU line potentially bifurcates into higher-spec and standard variants, driving premium HBM demand and pricing power.
AI Memory
Long
Feb 20
$190000.00
+21.6%
Samsung HBM premium pricing drives re-rating
Buy Samsung as author expects a significant re-rating driven by premium pricing ($1,000–$1,200/stack) for Samsung's 13 Gbps HBM, potentially selected for a higher-TDP Nvidia Rubin GPU variant requiring higher-spec memory.
AI Memory
Long
Apr 11
$20.59
+25.5%
ABF substrate supply constraint favors Ibiden, Unimicron
Buy ABF substrate suppliers Ibiden and Unimicron; Morgan Stanley identifies ABF substrate supply as a major gating factor for TSMC chip demand at least through 2027, making these constrained suppliers structural beneficiaries of AI-driven demand.
PCB/Substrates
Long
Apr 08
$318.21
+11.5%
Anthropic/SpaceX IPOs bullish for Google
Buy GOOGL ahead of anticipated SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs, which the speaker expects to be materially positive for Google — likely via Google's existing Anthropic investment unlocking value at IPO.
Hyperscalers
Short
Apr 07
$143.86
-96.8%
ARM mobile decline offsets server CPU ramp
Short ARM as mobile shipment volumes decline 20-30%, creating a structural revenue headwind that requires an unlikely offsetting ramp in server CPU sales; the author argues ARM is not insulated from the consumer electronics downturn despite its AI/data center narrative.
AI ASIC
Long
Apr 05
$564.00
+69.3%
Unimicron: low consumer exposure, best ABF pick
Buy Unimicron as a preferred ABF substrate play due to lower consumer exposure relative to peers, insulating revenue growth from consumer-cycle headwinds amid a projected supply-demand gap in ABF substrates.
PCB/Substrates
Long
Apr 05
$8209.00
+132.8%
Ibiden: low consumer exposure, best ABF pick
Buy Ibiden as a preferred ABF substrate play due to lower consumer exposure relative to peers, insulating revenue growth from consumer-cycle headwinds amid a projected 26-46% supply-demand gap in ABF substrates through 2027-2028.
PCB/Substrates
Short
Mar 27
$11.34
-256.3%
SIVE laser power gap too large for CPO
Avoid/short SIVE — its CW DFB chip outputs only 65mW versus the 300-400mW required for CPO, forcing a workaround via DFB arrays with Ayar Labs, while Lumentum already demonstrated 800mW at OFC 2026; the power gap signals structural competitive disadvantage in CPO.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 27
$385.50
-5.1%
Win Semi GaAs demand surging on 1.6T ramp
Buy Win Semi (3105.TWO) as a semi-monopoly photonics foundry; author endorses the long thesis with specific data showing 2x-3x GaAs IC driver demand growth for 1.6T optical modules and an active DFB chip roadmap scaling from 100mW to 400mW, supporting accelerating revenue in AI optical and LEO supply chains.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Mar 25
$186.00
+36.3%
Author long Tower Semi, held long-term
Author discloses an existing long position in Tower Semiconductor (TSEM), held for an extended period, indicating sustained conviction in the name.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Mar 23
$203.10
+137.9%
AMD inference chips outperform NVIDIA B200
Buy AMD as its MI355x inference chips have reportedly surpassed NVIDIA's B200 in performance, making them a compelling choice for AI workloads and potentially driving demand/stocking behavior.
AI Compute
Long
Mar 19
$12.35
+37.2%
Nynomic cheap; Aixtron cycle drives upside
Buy Nynomic (M7U) as a cheap, mispriced supply-chain beneficiary of Aixtron's projected 2027-28 machine sales cycle; speaker sees significant upside if Aixtron volumes materialize.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 23
$670.50
+33.5%
Buy Lumentum, better public market opportunity
Buy Lumentum as the author explicitly recommends it as a better public-market opportunity, though no specific catalyst or detailed reasoning is provided beyond the directional call.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 17
$532.00
+18.9%
CATL margin beat coming via depreciation cycle
Buy CATL as accelerated equipment depreciation is set to roll off, driving an unexpected near-term margin expansion; small competitors overstating capacity further reinforces CATL's structural advantage in the EV battery market.
Batteries & Storage
Long
Feb 17
$11.39
+104.2%
AI demand surge gives MLCC makers pricing power
Buy passive component makers led by Murata (MRAAY) as AI-driven data center demand pushes MLCC orders to ~2x supply capacity, giving manufacturers pricing power and multi-year earnings tailwinds per management's own 3–5 year outlook.
Power Semis
Showing 15 of 16 calls · sorted by mentions

zephyr_z9 has 16 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 16 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 81% across 16 evaluated calls, average return +23.1%. Ranked #35 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: 000660.KS, 005930.KS, ARM.