#1265 Alpha Score 7.5

Wayne Sanders

Senior Defense Research Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
· tracked since Mar 2026
1265
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Alpha Score 7.5
Calls
10
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-11.2%
Calls 10 12 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 2
30d 5
90d 5
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
NOC Long -32.6%
LMT Long -22.6%
ITA Long -13.2%
Most Mentioned
RTX ×8
LMT ×7
NOC ×2
Recent Calls
HON Long 6 days ago
LHX Long 6 days ago
LDO.MI Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 0% Long 10 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 12%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -11.2% Long Return -11.2% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -2.4%
30d -8.2%
90d -17.3%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 02
$212.16
-6.7%
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
Defense
Long
Mar 02
$676.70
-22.6%
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
Defense
Long
Sep 06
$209.80
-3.7%
Missile interceptor demand surge benefits defense suppliers
The US has depleted sophisticated missile interceptors such as PAC-3, SM-3 and SM-6, and the DoD is now pushing RTX and Lockheed Martin to sharply increase production. RTX and Lockheed Martin are seeing tripling and quadrupling demand to rebuild inventories, with PAC-3 output planned to ramp from 650 interceptors per year to 2,000 by 2030. L3Harris supplies propulsion and Honeywell supplies guidance and control, making them direct beneficiaries of the interceptor production surge.
Aerospace
Long
Sep 06
$257.00
-4.3%
Missile interceptor demand surge benefits defense suppliers
The US has depleted sophisticated missile interceptors such as PAC-3, SM-3 and SM-6, and the DoD is now pushing RTX and Lockheed Martin to sharply increase production. RTX and Lockheed Martin are seeing tripling and quadrupling demand to rebuild inventories, with PAC-3 output planned to ramp from 650 interceptors per year to 2,000 by 2030. L3Harris supplies propulsion and Honeywell supplies guidance and control, making them direct beneficiaries of the interceptor production surge.
Defense
Long
Mar 02
$250.58
-13.2%
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 02
$768.02
-32.6%
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
Defense
Long
Aug 24
$114.42
-10.2%
AI defense partnerships drive BAE and Leonardo.
European defense has a coordination problem rather than a spending problem; as AI, drones, cyber, and electronic warfare merge, US tech firms such as Palantir and Scale AI partnering with European champions BAE and Leonardo should see a lot of movement.
Defense
Long
Aug 24
$55.74
-10.3%
AI defense partnerships drive BAE and Leonardo.
European defense has a coordination problem rather than a spending problem; as AI, drones, cyber, and electronic warfare merge, US tech firms such as Palantir and Scale AI partnering with European champions BAE and Leonardo should see a lot of movement.
Defense
Long
Aug 24
$178.71
-6.4%
AI defense partnerships drive BAE and Leonardo.
European defense has a coordination problem rather than a spending problem; as AI, drones, cyber, and electronic warfare merge, US tech firms such as Palantir and Scale AI partnering with European champions BAE and Leonardo should see a lot of movement.
AI Software
Long
Mar 02
$364.78
-2.2%
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
The US and Israel are engaging in heavy kinetic strikes. Wasser notes "precious few air defense missiles in the region" are being used up against Iranian drones/missiles. Sanders mentions the use of Patriot and THAAD systems. Grant states the US will "unwind every piece of military hardware in Iran" and mentions B-2 bomber strikes. High-intensity conflict depletes munitions rapidly. RTX (Patriot missiles) and LMT (THAAD/F-35) will see immediate replenishment demand. The destruction of Iranian air defenses and the need for stealth (NOC's B-2/B-21) reinforces the long-term capex cycle for defense primes. LONG. The "expenditure rate" of munitions is higher than current stockpiles, guaranteeing future contracts. A quick diplomatic resolution or a War Powers Resolution limiting funding/scope (though deemed unlikely to pass a veto).
Defense
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

Wayne Sanders has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #1265 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: RTX, LMT, NOC.