u/NicheMath

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
3
Win Rate
66.7%
return
+75.0%
Calls 3 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 67% Long 3 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 33%
Average Return +75.0% Long Return +75.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -6.4%
30d -18.1%
90d +9.3%
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Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 18
$4.34
+219.8%
Backblaze undervalued; AI storage growth and re-rating could drive 3-4x upside.
Author holds BLZE and argues it is undervalued at 1.6x sales with 20%+ revenue growth, ~90% retention, $50M cash, and approaching profitability. The key catalyst is a potential re-rating toward infrastructure software peers at ~6x sales, which the author says implies roughly 3–4x upside, helped by institutional buying if Backblaze crosses market-cap/price thresholds. The main stated risks are dilution from stock-based compensation, flat consumer backup revenue, intensifying competition from Cloudflare R2, decelerating growth, and a short-seller report alleging insider dumping and accounting irregularities that Backblaze denies.
NeoCloud
Long
Jan 21
$18.26
+16.6%
Cheap debt-free microcap with 2-3x upside
The author argues Acorn Energy, a $50M microcap providing monitoring devices and services to energy generators, is undervalued with a P/E of 7, P/S of 4, no debt, and a CEO owning 20%. The author uses the P/S ratio as downside protection, noting software companies typically sell for a P/S of 6 in private equity markets, implying at least 50% upside, with more potential given growth. The author states they own just over 0.1% of outstanding shares, about 7% of their portfolio, and sees 2-3x upside potential.
Grid Equipment
Long
Jan 05
$123.24
-11.5%
Author bought HOOD at $8 with cash-heavy balance sheet and growth
The author bought HOOD around $8 when public sentiment was destroyed after the GameStop scandal and many institutions avoided the stock. He argued the market priced it like a dying company despite ~$8B in cash and enterprise value near zero, while he saw a growing company buried under fear.
Brokers
Showing 3 of 3 calls · sorted by mentions

u/NicheMath has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: ACFN, HOOD, BLZE.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology