#621 Alpha Score 66.0

u/jyl8

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Feb 2026
621
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Alpha Score 66.0
Calls
5
Win Rate
80.0%
return
+14.9%
Calls 5 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 80% Long 5 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 40%
90d 40%
Average Return +14.9% Long Return +14.9% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +4.4%
30d -0.3%
90d +1.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 13
$208.45
+15.8%
AI-resistant insurance brokerage, ~25% recovery upside
The author argues that placing and managing layers of global insurance and reinsurance is work AI agents will not easily replace, making AJG a more assessable AI-disruption play than software names. He notes these non-software companies are down around 20%, implying roughly 25% upside on recovery, with much less research effort needed. The main stated risk is the difficulty of being confident about AI's impact.
Insurance
Long
Feb 13
$93.72
+11.7%
AI-resistant brokerage custody, ~25% recovery upside
The author argues that custodying trillions of dollars and executing trillions of trades for millions of clients is a business AI startups are unlikely to disrupt, making SCHW a more confident bet than bombed-out software. He frames the opportunity as non-software names down about 20% with roughly 25% recovery upside, analyzable in a fraction of the time. The stated risk is uncertainty over AI's actual impact on these businesses.
Brokers
Long
Feb 13
$142.31
-2.1%
AI-resistant CRE services, ~25% recovery upside
The author argues that financing and negotiating a $50MM commercial real estate deal and then managing the property is work AI agents are unlikely to take over, making CBRE a more assessable AI-disruption play than software. He notes these non-software companies are down around 20%, offering roughly 25% upside on recovery, with far less research time required. The main risk he acknowledges is the difficulty of being confident about AI's real impact.
Real Estate Development
Showing 3 of 5 calls · sorted by mentions

u/jyl8 has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 5 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #621 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SCHW, CBRE, EXPD.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology