#1513 Alpha Score 17.2

u/Bionic_craig

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Jun 2026
1513
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Alpha Score 17.2
Calls
5
Win Rate
40.0%
return
-7.9%
Calls 5 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 40% Long 5 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 20%
30d 20%
90d 20%
Average Return -7.9% Long Return -7.9% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -3.9%
30d -10.4%
90d -9.5%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 10
$174.74
-6.5%
Moderate long AVAV on contract and insider buys
The author argues AVAV is likely to outperform SPY after a $1B contract awarded June 8, citing insider buys including Cisneros, COO Robert Smith, and CAO Brian Shackley. The backtest shows +4.5% T+30 alpha but only 53% hit rate and +1.1% T+90 alpha with 54% hit rate, rated moderate. The weak hit rates are the stated caveat.
Defense
Long
Jun 10
$57.31
-19.5%
Long PSN on $1.3B contract despite no insider buys
The author holds PSN and argues it is likely to outperform SPY after a $1.3B contract awarded June 8, despite no presidential or congressional buys. The backtest of 471 events shows +2.1% T+30 alpha with 64% hit rate and +7.1% T+90 alpha with 83% hit rate, rated moderate. No specific risk is stated.
Defense
Long
Jun 10
$184.43
-20.8%
Moderate long BWXT on contract and insider buys
The author argues BWXT is likely to outperform SPY after a $5.8B contract awarded June 8, citing congressional buys by Khanna, Delaney and McClain between March and April. The backtest shows +3.4% T+30 alpha with 69% hit rate and +4.9% T+90 alpha but only a 12% T+90 hit rate, which is the stated caveat. No other risk is stated.
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Showing 3 of 5 calls · sorted by mentions

u/Bionic_craig has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 5 tickers since June 2026. Ranked #1513 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AVAV, LDOS, BWXT.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology