#602 Alpha Score 53.4

Ray Dalio

Founder, Bridgewater Associates
@raydalio · tracked since Dec 2025
602
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Alpha Score 53.4
Calls
6
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+1.0%
Calls 6 460 Posts tracked · 1.7/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
MU Long +26.9%
NVDA Long +4.5%
TSM Long +2.6%
Worst Calls
AVGO Long -12.8%
GOLD Long -11.0%
AMZN Long -4.0%
Most Mentioned
GOLD ×7
TSM ×1
MU ×1
Recent Calls
USD Short 3 months ago
MU Long 3 months ago
NVDA Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 50% Long 6 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 83%
30d 50%
90d 33%
Average Return +1.0% Long Return +1.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +11.9%
30d +5.0%
90d +0.1%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jan 22
$451.79
-11.0%
1. THE FACT: Ray Dalio clarifies that the monetary order breaking down means fiat currencies and debt are not being held by central banks as a storehold of wealth in the same way as in the recent past, driven by the Big Cycle. 2. THE BRIDGE: If central banks are reducing their holdings of fiat currencies and debt as a store of wealth, it signals a systemic shift away from these traditional assets. This loss of confidence at the institutional level would likely lead to a broader search for alternative stores of value, such as gold or other hard assets, to hedge against currency devaluation and systemic risk. 3. THE VERDICT: Central banks' changing approach to fiat currencies and debt as a store of wealth indicates a fundamental shift that favors alternative, more stable assets.
1. THE FACT: Ray Dalio clarifies that the monetary order breaking down means fiat currencies and debt are not being held by central banks as a storehold of wealth in the same way as in the recent past, driven by the Big Cycle. 2. THE BRIDGE: If central banks are reducing their holdings of fiat currencies and debt as a store of wealth, it signals a systemic shift away from these traditional assets. This loss of confidence at the institutional level would likely lead to a broader search for alternative stores of value, such as gold or other hard assets, to hedge against currency devaluation and systemic risk. 3. THE VERDICT: Central banks' changing approach to fiat currencies and debt as a store of wealth indicates a fundamental shift that favors alternative, more stable assets.
Commodities
Long
May 24
$266.32
-4.0%
Dalio buys AI winners, sells losers
Dalio is selling stocks hurt by AI (e.g., Salesforce, Adobe, Booking, Mastercard) and buying AI beneficiaries: Amazon (cloud), TSMC (semiconductor manufacturing), Broadcom (chips), Nvidia (chips). AI is expected to drive 20-30% growth for these companies over 5-10 years.
Hyperscalers
Long
May 24
$414.14
-12.8%
Dalio buys AI winners, sells losers
Dalio is selling stocks hurt by AI (e.g., Salesforce, Adobe, Booking, Mastercard) and buying AI beneficiaries: Amazon (cloud), TSMC (semiconductor manufacturing), Broadcom (chips), Nvidia (chips). AI is expected to drive 20-30% growth for these companies over 5-10 years.
AI ASIC
Long
May 24
$751.00
+26.9%
Micron cheap on DRAM supercycle
Micron benefits from a DRAM supply bottleneck and surging AI demand expected to persist through 2027-2028. It is the cheapest AI beneficiary at 13x forward earnings, versus 20-30x for peers.
AI Memory
Long
May 24
$215.33
+4.5%
Dalio buys AI winners, sells losers
Dalio is selling stocks hurt by AI (e.g., Salesforce, Adobe, Booking, Mastercard) and buying AI beneficiaries: Amazon (cloud), TSMC (semiconductor manufacturing), Broadcom (chips), Nvidia (chips). AI is expected to drive 20-30% growth for these companies over 5-10 years.
AI Compute
Long
May 24
$404.52
+2.6%
Dalio buys AI winners, sells losers
Dalio is selling stocks hurt by AI (e.g., Salesforce, Adobe, Booking, Mastercard) and buying AI beneficiaries: Amazon (cloud), TSMC (semiconductor manufacturing), Broadcom (chips), Nvidia (chips). AI is expected to drive 20-30% growth for these companies over 5-10 years.
Foundry Equipment
Showing 6 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

Ray Dalio has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since December 2025. Ranked #602 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GOLD, TSM, MU.