#479 Alpha Score 58.3

Nick Givanovic

Retired HF manager, 2 Gray Beards co-host
@nickgiva1 · tracked since Jan 2026
479
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Alpha Score 58.3
Calls
14
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+2.9%
Calls 14 1605 Posts tracked · 7.2/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 6
Best Calls
MSTR Short +40.4%
SPY Long +14.0%
STRC Long +10.6%
Worst Calls
SPY Short -15.7%
BTC Long -7.2%
ITA Short -5.8%
Most Mentioned
BTC ×16
BTC ×6
TLT ×3
Recent Calls
AAPL Long 1 month ago
DXY Long 1 month ago
GLD Short 1 month ago
Win Rate 50% Long 8 Short 6
Win Rate
7d 64%
30d 54%
90d 62%
Average Return +2.9% Long Return +2.7% Short Return +3.3%
Average Return
7d +0.3%
30d +2.5%
90d +5.9%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 06
$68296.20
-7.2%
Mildly bullish BTC at current levels for a near-term bounce; no specific catalyst given beyond current price positioning.
Mildly bullish BTC at current levels for a near-term bounce; no specific catalyst given beyond current price positioning.
Crypto Assets
Short
Jan 09
$159.27
+40.4%
Short MSTR because the stock's value is almost entirely contingent on BTC appreciation; a multi-year sideways BTC scenario — already partially underway — would collapse MSTR's NAV premium and leave common equity worth near zero.
Short MSTR because the stock's value is almost entirely contingent on BTC appreciation; a multi-year sideways BTC scenario — already partially underway — would collapse MSTR's NAV premium and leave common equity worth near zero.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Jun 17
$86.24
+4.9%
Long the 5-30 yield curve flattener (short long-end duration via TLT) as hawkish Fed rhetoric anchors short rates while compressing the long end premium; author doubled on the Fed statement.
Long the 5-30 yield curve flattener (short long-end duration via TLT) as hawkish Fed rhetoric anchors short rates while compressing the long end premium; author doubled on the Fed statement.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jun 17
$28.20
+0.0%
Long USD as Fed chair's hawkish commitment ("will not continue on my watch") signals tighter-for-longer policy, boosting dollar demand; author doubled position on the statement.
Long USD as Fed chair's hawkish commitment ("will not continue on my watch") signals tighter-for-longer policy, boosting dollar demand; author doubled position on the statement.
FX & Currencies
Short
Mar 12
$667.74
-15.7%
Author holds active SPX put spreads — a defined-risk bearish position on equities — currently profitable, implying ongoing downside conviction in the S&P 500.
Author holds active SPX put spreads — a defined-risk bearish position on equities — currently profitable, implying ongoing downside conviction in the S&P 500.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 05
$93.30
+2.9%
Buy STRF as the pair-trade long leg against STRC short; market will differentiate secured (STRF) from unsecured credit, making STRF the relative beneficiary once STRC's IR peaks.
Buy STRF as the pair-trade long leg against STRC short; market will differentiate secured (STRF) from unsecured credit, making STRF the relative beneficiary once STRC's IR peaks.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jul 20
$86.15
+10.6%
Buy STRC (MicroStrategy preferred) over MSTR short-term; Saylor's strategy requires getting STRC toward par via cash reserves before resuming large BTC accumulation, making the preferred a better risk-adjusted vehicle near-term.
Buy STRC (MicroStrategy preferred) over MSTR short-term; Saylor's strategy requires getting STRC toward par via cash reserves before resuming large BTC accumulation, making the preferred a better risk-adjusted vehicle near-term.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jun 25
$285.96
+5.5%
Buy AAPL on weakness — speaker argues the company's competitive moat insulates it from price hike headwinds long-term, making the current negative price move a temporary overreaction.
Buy AAPL on weakness — speaker argues the company's competitive moat insulates it from price hike headwinds long-term, making the current negative price move a temporary overreaction.
AI Hardware
Short
Jun 17
$388.56
-3.8%
Short gold as a hawkish Fed statement — chair explicitly committing to end a 6-year inflation miss — drives real rates higher and USD strength, pressuring gold prices.
Short gold as a hawkish Fed statement — chair explicitly committing to end a 6-year inflation miss — drives real rates higher and USD strength, pressuring gold prices.
Commodities
Long
May 28
$289.30
+1.5%
Buy XAR (aerospace & defense ETF) — author discloses a long position entered at the open low, identifying XAR as the concentrated vehicle for defense exposure following a post-peace-news selloff that appears to have found its low.
Buy XAR (aerospace & defense ETF) — author discloses a long position entered at the open low, identifying XAR as the concentrated vehicle for defense exposure following a post-peace-news selloff that appears to have found its low.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 12
$86.95
-5.7%
Buy long-duration Treasuries (T-bond futures / TLT) below the 104'00 handle; author entered a position and views current levels as deeply cheap, with 43-day optionality to spread against 5yr or 30yr futures as an added structural benefit.
Buy long-duration Treasuries (T-bond futures / TLT) below the 104'00 handle; author entered a position and views current levels as deeply cheap, with 43-day optionality to spread against 5yr or 30yr futures as an added structural benefit.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 03
$677.14
+14.0%
Buy SPX/SPY near the 6755 level as a short-term bounce trade; speaker cites elevated VIX as the regime context, favoring a 1-hour timeframe tactical long from that support zone.
Buy SPX/SPY near the 6755 level as a short-term bounce trade; speaker cites elevated VIX as the regime context, favoring a 1-hour timeframe tactical long from that support zone.
Equity Indexes
Short
Feb 17
$237.83
-5.8%
Short upside in ITA above $240 through Friday expiry — author holds a large covered-call position pinning the stock near $240 at Friday's close, creating a hard ceiling via gamma/delta dynamics at that strike.
Short upside in ITA above $240 through Friday expiry — author holds a large covered-call position pinning the stock near $240 at Friday's close, creating a hard ceiling via gamma/delta dynamics at that strike.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 05
$94.80
-0.5%
Sell STRC as uncapped interest rate on the instrument means the more investors pay to maintain par, the more the price deteriorates; speaker expects IR to peak and trigger a repricing of unsecured credit risk.
Sell STRC as uncapped interest rate on the instrument means the more investors pay to maintain par, the more the price deteriorates; speaker expects IR to peak and trigger a repricing of unsecured credit risk.
Crypto Treasuries
Showing 14 of 14 calls · sorted by mentions

Nick Givanovic has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 11 tickers since January 2026. Ranked #479 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, TLT.