Mert Mumtaz 5.0 13 ideas

CEO, Helius
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Per mention Per thesis
ⓘ First mention per (ticker, direction)
Layout Default A B C D
Total Picks
12
Avg Return
—
Avg Long
—
Avg Short
—
Best
—
—
Worst
—
—
Winrate (avg)
52%
Long / Short
10 / 2
Themes
CRYPTO
8
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AI/SEMI
2
—
NATSEC
1
—
ENERGY
1
—
Positions 12 Best & Worst 5 Themes 4 Timeline
Theme: Stance:
Ticker Mentions Stance Conv Entry P&L YTD Theme Thesis (click to expand) Mentioned Src
ETH ×1 LONG MED $2256.28 Crypto The author believes encryption is a fundamental, non-negotiable component for a functional internet and will therefore become a core part of the crypto asset class, implying a bullish outlook for cryptocurrencies. Apr 11 TWITTER
BNB ×1 LONG — $651.25 Crypto The market perceives the recent regulatory or legal developments as a total victory for BNB, likely driving positive sentiment and potential price appreciation for the asset. Mar 18 TWITTER
NVDA ×1 SHORT MED $183.34 AI/Semi The author is explicitly stating they are selling their entire position in NVDA at current levels, implying a belief that the stock has peaked or is poised for a decline. Mar 05 TWITTER
BTC ×2 SHORT MED $66973.26 Crypto The author presents a long-term bearish thesis on Bitcoin, arguing its inherent transparency is a compounding structural flaw that will become a greater headwind as the network grows. Mar 03 TWITTER
ITA ×2 LONG MED $243.72 NatSec Wealthy Gulf states, unable to field large armies, will likely use their sovereign wealth funds to invest heavily in autonomous weapons and defense startups to meet their national security needs. Mar 01 TWITTER
USO ×2 LONG MED $81.95 Energy The author predicts Iran's IRGC will escalate conflict in the short-term before its inevitable defeat, creating regional instability that should drive oil prices higher. Feb 28 TWITTER
NEAR ×2 LONG MED $1.09 Crypto The author is bullish on NEAR, viewing it as undervalued given its frequent feature releases, scalability, focus on key growth verticals (AI, privacy), and committed leadership. Feb 27 TWITTER
GOOGL ×1 LONG MED $310.90 AI/Semi Google's more measured public relations strategy for AI positions it to better navigate future regulatory and public opinion risks relative to its peers. Feb 24 TWITTER
XMR ×2 LONG MED $327.39 Crypto Privacy coins are poised to attract individual investors due to a structural advantage, as institutional friction is high, making it a retail-driven theme. Feb 17 TWITTER
BTC ×10 LONG MED $69020.10 Crypto The author expresses high conviction that Bitcoin will break out and reach new all-time highs within the next month. Feb 13 TWITTER
SOL ×16 LONG MED $79.61 Crypto A series of significant, imminent product releases (privacy, predictions, perps) are expected to act as a positive catalyst for the asset. Feb 11 TWITTER
ZEC ×24 LONG HIGH $229.48 Crypto The author is extremely bullish on Zcash, citing a chart that suggests renewed conviction from core believers, combined with a fundamental thesis that true digital money requires privacy. Feb 10 TWITTER
CRYPTO
8
—
AI/SEMI
2
—
NATSEC
1
—
ENERGY
1
—
The author believes encryption is a fundamental, non-negotiable component for a functional internet and will therefore become a core part of the crypto asset class, implying a bullish outlook for cryptocurrencies.
ETH HIGH Apr 11, 17:10
"the momentum is picking up - encrypt the money"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 11, 2026 at 17:10
𝕏 @mert
The market perceives the recent regulatory or legal developments as a total victory for BNB, likely driving positive sentiment and potential price appreciation for the asset.
BNB Mar 18, 22:59
𝕏 @mert Source ↗
March 18, 2026 at 22:59
𝕏 @mert
The author expects a sustained increase in market volatility across all assets, driven by an accelerated news cycle and a tighter feedback loop between news and capital flows.
VIX MED Mar 10, 20:01
"since news affect the markets more than ever before, expect an endless barrage of fake news and volatility"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 10, 2026 at 20:01
𝕏 @mert
The author is explicitly stating they are selling their entire position in NVDA at current levels, implying a belief that the stock has peaked or is poised for a decline.
NVDA MED Mar 05, 01:10
"selling all my NVDA shares* here"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 05, 2026 at 01:10
𝕏 @mert
The author presents a long-term bearish thesis on Bitcoin, arguing its inherent transparency is a compounding structural flaw that will become a greater headwind as the network grows.
BTC MED Mar 03, 16:43
"[...] the lack of privacy is a serious issue that only becomes harder to mitigate over time"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 03, 2026 at 16:43
𝕏 @mert
Wealthy Gulf states, unable to field large armies, will likely use their sovereign wealth funds to invest heavily in autonomous weapons and defense startups to meet their national security needs.
ITA HIGH Mar 01, 16:03
"the rich gulf states will almost certainly start incentivizing defense startups."
𝕏 @mert ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 01, 2026 at 16:03
𝕏 @mert
The author predicts Iran's IRGC will escalate conflict in the short-term before its inevitable defeat, creating regional instability that should drive oil prices higher.
USO MED Feb 28, 22:24
"[either] way, the IRGC has almost certainly lost but won't go down without causing more pain"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ short-term Source ↗
February 28, 2026 at 22:24
𝕏 @mert
The author is bullish on NEAR, viewing it as undervalued given its frequent feature releases, scalability, focus on key growth verticals (AI, privacy), and committed leadership.
NEAR HIGH Feb 27, 15:32
"near still feels like the most underrated team in crypto to me"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 27, 2026 at 15:32
𝕏 @mert
Google's more measured public relations strategy for AI positions it to better navigate future regulatory and public opinion risks relative to its peers.
GOOGL MED Feb 24, 10:58
"instead, you should frame it how google does it"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ long-term Source ↗
February 24, 2026 at 10:58
𝕏 @mert
Privacy coins are poised to attract individual investors due to a structural advantage, as institutional friction is high, making it a retail-driven theme.
XMR MED Feb 17, 17:12
"this is why I think privacy coins must be the thing that individuals flock to"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ long-term Source ↗
February 17, 2026 at 17:12
𝕏 @mert
The author expresses high conviction that Bitcoin will break out and reach new all-time highs within the next month.
BTC HIGH Feb 13, 16:14
"ATHs next month"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 13, 2026 at 16:14
𝕏 @mert
A series of significant, imminent product releases (privacy, predictions, perps) are expected to act as a positive catalyst for the asset.
SOL HIGH Feb 11, 18:29
"3 big releases for Solana in the next 2 weeks followed by another 3 the next month"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ short-term Source ↗
February 11, 2026 at 18:29
𝕏 @mert
The author is extremely bullish on Zcash, citing a chart that suggests renewed conviction from core believers, combined with a fundamental thesis that true digital money requires privacy.
ZEC HIGH Feb 10, 20:15
"this is the most bullish chart in crypto"
𝕏 @mert ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 10, 2026 at 20:15
𝕏 @mert
Positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
ETH LONG $2256.28 Apr 11
BNB LONG $651.25 Mar 18
NVDA SHORT $183.34 Mar 05
BTC SHORT $66973.26 Mar 03
ITA LONG $243.72 Mar 01
USO LONG $81.95 Feb 28
NEAR LONG $1.09 Feb 27
GOOGL LONG $310.90 Feb 24
XMR LONG $327.39 Feb 17
BTC LONG $69020.10 Feb 13
SOL LONG $79.61 Feb 11
ZEC LONG $229.48 Feb 10
Mert Mumtaz (CEO, Helius) | 13 trade ideas tracked | SOL, ZEC, BTC, ETH, NEAR | Twitter | Buzzberg