LiveSquawk 5.0 166 ideas

After 1 day
50%winrate
+0.4% avg
62W / 62L · 124/154 ideas
After 1 week
51%winrate
+0.9% avg
62W / 59L · 121/155 ideas
After 1 month
47%winrate
+2.6% avg
42W / 48L · 90/155 ideas
42 winning  /  48 losing  ·  90 positions (30d)
Net: +2.6%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
USO LONG $124.57 Apr 12
USO LONG $127.45 Apr 09
USD LONG $50.65 Apr 06
JPY LONG $33.09 Apr 06
USO LONG $130.71 Mar 31
GBPUSD SHORT Mar 30
USO LONG $124.20 Mar 30
TLT LONG $85.64 Mar 29
TLT LONG $87.02 Mar 20
ITA LONG $226.03 Mar 20
EWC SHORT $54.10 Mar 20
EUR LONG Mar 20
USO LONG $117.11 Mar 20
USO SHORT $119.05 Mar 19
TLT LONG $87.61 Mar 19
EUR SHORT Mar 19
USD LONG $51.57 Mar 19
EUR LONG Mar 19
TLT SHORT $87.47 Mar 19
SPY SHORT $656.85 Mar 19
TLT LONG $87.37 Mar 19
BABA LONG $128.38 Mar 19
JPY LONG $32.66 Mar 19
USD LONG $52.00 Mar 19
CHF SHORT Mar 18
TLT SHORT $87.81 Mar 18
USD SHORT $54.45 Mar 18
JPY SHORT $32.98 Mar 18
ITA LONG $232.90 Mar 17
USO SHORT $118.54 Mar 17
By sector
ETF
75 ideas +1.1%
Stock
40 ideas +3.5%
currency
38 ideas -2.8%
Commodity
10 ideas +17.3%
sector
3 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO 29 ideas
53% W +8.2%
USD 12 ideas
38% W -3.9%
EUR 10 ideas
TLT 10 ideas
25% W -1.6%
ITA 8 ideas
0% W -7.9%
Best and worst calls
The announced US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz severely disrupts global oil supply routes, acting as an immediate upside catalyst for crude.
USO MED Apr 12, 14:43
"Trump Announces U.S. Blockade of Strait of Hormuz"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 12, 2026 at 14:43
The quoted German Chancellor links the Middle East situation and Germany's required response to the potential for higher oil prices, providing a fundamental geopolitical catalyst for a long oil view.
USO MED Apr 09, 13:47
"Oil Prices Could Rise Further From February Levels"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 09, 2026 at 13:47
The structural flow of Japanese retail capital into US equities (especially AI stocks) creates persistent selling pressure on JPY, supporting a long USD/JPY position.
USD JPY HIGH Apr 06, 16:00
"The US runs a monster current account deficit and needs constant inflows just to break even on funding. A significant part of that has been coming from Japanese retail pouring savings into American stocks, particularly AI. That flow has kept the yen weak."
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 06, 2026 at 16:00
U.S. policy rhetoric encouraging allies to source oil from the U.S. instead of relying on the Strait of Hormuz could increase demand and support prices for U.S. crude.
USO HIGH Mar 31, 11:15
"Countries Should Buy Oil From US"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 31, 2026 at 11:15
Short GBPUSD if the Bank of England signals hawkish policy, as the author contends such signals will weaken the currency, while a dovish hold would be supportive.
GBPUSD HIGH Mar 30, 11:00
"The trade is a reverse psychology: hawkish BOE signals are bearish for sterling, and a dovish hold is what actually supports it."
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 30, 2026 at 11:00
A military escalation against Iran risks destabilizing the region and disrupting oil supply flows, which would drive crude prices higher.
USO MED Mar 30, 00:15
"Trump Weighs Military Operation To Extract Iran’s Uranium – WSJ"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 30, 2026 at 00:15
Go long bonds (TLT) as major institutional analysis suggests the market is mispricing economic slowdown risk, which should lead to lower yields and higher bond prices.
TLT MED Mar 29, 20:16
"JPM, Pimco Say Bond Market Is Underestimating Slowdown Risk - BBG"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 29, 2026 at 20:16
The tweet provides no specific financial data or news regarding Meta Platforms, leaving the market impact entirely ambiguous and undefined.
META Mar 27, 13:02
March 27, 2026 at 13:02
The tweet provides no specific information or context regarding Apple's performance, leaving the market impact entirely ambiguous and undefined.
AAPL Mar 23, 16:21
March 23, 2026 at 16:21
Fed Governor Waller is establishing a clear dovish reaction function, explicitly stating he would support rate cuts conditional on a weakening labor market.
TLT HIGH Mar 20, 12:47
"Would Advocate Cuts Again Later In Year If Labor Weak"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 12:47
The expectation of a specific, limited military deployment to counter drone threats suggests increased near-term spending on defense systems and services, benefiting the defense sector.
ITA MED Mar 20, 11:00
"The expectation is not a full invasion, but deploying troops into the region to establish a presence capable of dealing with drone threats."
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 11:00
Short New Zealand equities following a sovereign outlook downgrade by Fitch, which signals deteriorating economic conditions likely driven by energy import risks.
EWC HIGH Mar 20, 09:32
"Fitch Revises Outlook On New Zealand To Negative; Affirms At 'AA+'"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 09:32
The trade is long the Euro based on Deutsche Bank's revised, hawkish forecast for two ECB rate hikes this year, contrary to previous expectations of no change.
EUR MED Mar 20, 07:05
"Deutsche Bank Expects ECB To Hike Rates By 25 Bps Each In June And September Vs Prior Forecast Of Keeping Rates Unchanged In 2026"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 07:05
A major oil producer is signaling a potential price spike to a specific level ($180) under a defined condition (energy shock persistence), suggesting significant upside for oil.
USO MED Mar 20, 01:01
"Saudi Arabia Sees A Spike To $180 Oil If Energy Shock Persists Past April – WSJ"
𝕏 @LiveSquawk ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 01:01
LiveSquawk | 166 trade ideas tracked | USO, USD, EUR, TLT, ITA | Twitter | Buzzberg