KobeissiLetter 5.0 332 ideas
After 1 day
52%winrate
+0.5% avg
139W / 129L · 268/313 ideas
After 1 week
61%winrate
+1.7% avg
160W / 102L · 262/317 ideas
After 1 month
57%winrate
+1.2% avg
113W / 84L · 197/317 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
ETF
188 ideas
+2.3%
Commodity
59 ideas
-1.5%
Stock
54 ideas
+4.1%
currency
10 ideas
-1.2%
Crypto
9 ideas
-8.8%
index
6 ideas
+21.4%
sector
5 ideas
private
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO
47 ideas
67% W
+9.9%
SPY
32 ideas
39% W
-0.8%
SILVER
27 ideas
8% W
-11.7%
TLT
20 ideas
60% W
+0.4%
GOLD
14 ideas
92% W
+7.8%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG
+58.4%
A major military conflict involving Iran, a key oil producer, creates significant risk of supply disruptions that would ...
Feb 28
BTC SHORT
+28.1%
1. THE FACT: Bitcoin fell nearly -$4,000 as $500 million worth of levered longs were liquidated in 60 minutes.
2. THE BR...
Jan 19
WTI LONG
+27.7%
BREAKING: Brent crude oil prices surge above $90/barrel for the first time in 2 years as President Trump says "there wil...
Mar 06
Worst calls
USO SHORT
-62.8%
Progress in US-Iran talks regarding sanctions relief could lead to an increase in global oil supply, putting downward pr...
Feb 26
AGQ LONG
-50.3%
1. THE FACT: Retail investors have bought the largest physical-backed silver ETF, $SLV, for 169 consecutive days, the lo...
Jan 16
SOL LONG
-35.3%
1. THE FACT: Ondo Finance launched 200+ tokenized stocks, ETFs, bonds, and commodities on Solana, including Nvidia, Amaz...
Jan 21
Short long-duration Treasuries (TLT) because structurally high and rising federal debt servicing costs will pressure bond prices, as the Treasury must issue more debt to fund deficits, potentially keeping long-term yields elevated.
TLT
HIGH
Apr 16, 00:39
Short homebuilders as existing home sales are experiencing significant declines and recent spikes in mortgage rates will likely exacerbate housing market weakness.
XHB
HIGH
Apr 15, 01:10
Go long AI leaders like Nvidia (NVDA) as capital previously withdrawn due to geopolitical risk rapidly rotates back into the sector, which has maintained its fundamental strength during the volatility.
NVDA
MED
Apr 14, 18:04
Initiate a long position in broad equity indices (SPY) due to a massive, ongoing short squeeze in ETF shorts, forcing covering and providing sustained upside momentum as sidelined capital returns to the market.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 14, 18:04
Maintain long equity exposure as accelerating AI adoption and trillions in sidelined capital provide massive structural support, overpowering headwinds from inflation rising toward 4%.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 14, 14:50
An unprecedented blockade of the Strait of Hormuz fundamentally disrupts global energy supply chains, creating an immediate and severe upside catalyst for crude oil prices.
USO
MED
Apr 13, 11:36
Buy oil as prices are projected to surge over 20% to $115 per barrel driven by the collapse of US-Iran negotiations and a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz.
USO
HIGH
Apr 12, 14:23
Unprecedented US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz threatens to severely disrupt global energy supply chains, driving crude oil prices significantly higher.
USO
MED
Apr 12, 13:41
Go long oil as the sudden collapse of peace talks and the departure of the US delegation without a deal acts as a major catalyst for higher energy prices.
USO
HIGH
Apr 12, 03:30
Short the Nasdaq 100 as the index previously rallied 5% on peace deal expectations that have now completely collapsed, setting up a sharp reversal.
QQQ
HIGH
Apr 12, 03:30
Geopolitical tension and a threat of disruption to oil transit through a critical chokepoint could drive oil prices higher in the near term.
USO
MED
Apr 09, 21:19
The rapid, historic improvement in Nasdaq 100 market breadth is a statistically bullish signal for the index over the coming year.
QQQ
HIGH
Apr 09, 17:49
Expect upward pressure on oil prices due to a sharp, ongoing reduction in daily tanker traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz, constraining supply.
USO
MED
Apr 08, 18:58
Escalating military conflict with Iran targeting oil infrastructure will disrupt supply and push oil prices higher.
USO
HIGH
Apr 07, 12:00
Short private credit ETFs/funds as the CEO of a major bank expresses a forward-looking, bearish view on the asset class, implying deteriorating credit quality and larger-than-anticipated write-downs.
BDC
HIGH
Apr 06, 10:44