Buzzberg Cup Live
#288 Alpha Score 69.6

crux_capital_

@crux_capital_ · tracked since Feb 2026
288
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 69.6
Calls
40
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+2.1%
Calls 40 3031 Posts tracked · 22.4/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 12
90d 30
Best Calls
CRDO long +95.3%
SMTC long +55.2%
AAOI long +42.1%
Worst Calls
BZAI long -52.7%
INOD long -32.9%
BKSY long -26.1%
Most Mentioned
COHR ×38
AAOI ×37
GLW ×35
Recent Calls
SIVE long 3 days ago
QCOM long 1 week ago
BSY long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 50% Long 40 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 54%
30d 63%
90d 100%
Average Return +2.1% Long Return +2.1% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +1.9%
30d +10.7%
90d +53.4%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 27
$258.93
+25.4%
Long $COHR — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $COHR — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$84.23
+42.1%
Long $AAOI — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $AAOI — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$150.38
+26.8%
Long $GLW — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $GLW — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$700.91
+14.7%
Long $LITE — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $LITE — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$348.70
+32.5%
Long $CIEN — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $CIEN — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 08
$9.34
+33.2%
Long $NOK — speaker says re-rate is happening in real time, signaling bullish stance on re-rating thesis playing out.
Long $NOK — speaker says re-rate is happening in real time, signaling bullish stance on re-rating thesis playing out.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 17
$87.50
+55.2%
Long $SMTC — speaker is invested in Semtech; company reported record $1.05B FY rev, 58% data center growth.
Long $SMTC — speaker is invested in Semtech; company reported record $1.05B FY rev, 58% data center growth.
AI ASIC
Long
May 12
$79.19
-2.6%
Long $AMBA — one of speaker's newest positions; thesis is AI moving into the physical world (cameras, drones, robots, vehicles, warehouses) with AMBA selling the chip layer.
Long $AMBA — one of speaker's newest positions; thesis is AI moving into the physical world (cameras, drones, robots, vehicles, warehouses) with AMBA selling the chip layer.
AI ASIC
Long
Apr 13
$132.65
+95.3%
Long $CRDO — speaker liked CRDO at $95 and would be interested in adding in the 80s; conditional but accompanied by 'I liked it' first-person ownership signal.
Long $CRDO — speaker liked CRDO at $95 and would be interested in adding in the 80s; conditional but accompanied by 'I liked it' first-person ownership signal.
AI Photonics
Long
Jun 15
$46.71
-6.7%
Buy OUST as author discloses it as a large current/building portfolio position within a Physical AI supercycle framework, specifically targeting the Perception layer of the AI stack.
Buy OUST as author discloses it as a large current/building portfolio position within a Physical AI supercycle framework, specifically targeting the Perception layer of the AI stack.
AI Photonics
Long
Jun 13
$101.28
-32.9%
Buy INOD as a Physical AI infrastructure play; author holds a current position backed by Q1 results showing 54% YoY revenue growth, 24% QoQ acceleration, 28% adj. EBITDA margin, raised 2026 guide to ~40%+ growth, and a new Big Tech customer contributing ~$51M from zero last year.
Buy INOD as a Physical AI infrastructure play; author holds a current position backed by Q1 results showing 54% YoY revenue growth, 24% QoQ acceleration, 28% adj. EBITDA margin, raised 2026 guide to ~40%+ growth, and a new Big Tech customer contributing ~$51M from zero last year.
AI Software
Long
May 14
$664.00
-23.6%
Long $VLX (Volex on LSE) — speaker believes this is a solid re-rate candidate.
Long $VLX (Volex on LSE) — speaker believes this is a solid re-rate candidate.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 28
$68.71
-16.5%
Long $AXTI — part of speaker's optics portfolio weighting.
Long $AXTI — part of speaker's optics portfolio weighting.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 20
$16.67
+5.6%
Long $ALMU — speaker explicitly states portfolio has exposure to ALMU as part of photonics stack play.
Long $ALMU — speaker explicitly states portfolio has exposure to ALMU as part of photonics stack play.
AI Photonics
Long
Jul 08
$39.36
+20.1%
Buy SIVE as easing InP substrate supply constraints benefit downstream optical component manufacturers, improving capacity ramp visibility and demand fulfillment conditions.
Buy SIVE as easing InP substrate supply constraints benefit downstream optical component manufacturers, improving capacity ramp visibility and demand fulfillment conditions.
AI Photonics
Showing 15 of 40 picks · sorted by mentions

crux_capital_ has 40 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 40 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 50% across 40 evaluated calls, average return +2.1%. Ranked #288 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: COHR, AAOI, GLW.