#326
Alpha Score 54.5
contrariancurse
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 20
$298.97
+3.1%
Long AAPL: FCF defensiveness in high-rate environment, plus new hardware and management change, positions it for outperformance.
Long AAPL: FCF defensiveness in high-rate environment, plus new hardware and management change, positions it for outperformance.
Consumer
Short
May 26
$83.69
-0.0%
Higher rates compress valuations for rate-sensitive consumer staples; speaker explicitly flags XLP as bearish in a higher-for-longer rate environment regardless of broader market direction.
Higher rates compress valuations for rate-sensitive consumer staples; speaker explicitly flags XLP as bearish in a higher-for-longer rate environment regardless of broader market direction.
Consumer
Short
May 26
$148.67
+0.0%
Higher rates remain a structural headwind for defensive healthcare and staples sectors; even in a broadly bullish tape, rate pressure makes XLV a relative underperformer with bearish near-term bias.
Higher rates remain a structural headwind for defensive healthcare and staples sectors; even in a broadly bullish tape, rate pressure makes XLV a relative underperformer with bearish near-term bias.
Healthcare
Long
May 26
$876.47
+3.8%
Buy MU as long‑only manager squeeze and single‑digit valuation create upside asymmetry despite $1T market cap.
Buy MU as long‑only manager squeeze and single‑digit valuation create upside asymmetry despite $1T market cap.
AI/Semi
Long
May 25
$21.10
+17.2%
Long SoftBank based on the belief that Masayoshi Son’s unconventional approach and apparent invincibility ("too retarded to fail") will drive continued upside, with the position already showing positive returns.
Long SoftBank based on the belief that Masayoshi Son’s unconventional approach and apparent invincibility ("too retarded to fail") will drive continued upside, with the position already showing positive returns.
Other
Long
May 21
$379.76
+6.3%
Buy ETN as the pullback is overdone given a strong second-half acceleration and undemanding 24x multiple on below-consensus 2027 earnings, making the risk/reward attractive.
Buy ETN as the pullback is overdone given a strong second-half acceleration and undemanding 24x multiple on below-consensus 2027 earnings, making the risk/reward attractive.
Other
Long
May 20
$259.32
+2.1%
Long AMZN: Neutral AI infrastructure provider with unmatched scale and cost advantages that will be difficult to beat on availability and cost.
Long AMZN: Neutral AI infrastructure provider with unmatched scale and cost advantages that will be difficult to beat on availability and cost.
Consumer
Long
May 20
$385.07
-0.3%
Long GOOG: TPU advantage provides attractive cost and second-source compute, making it a leader in AI compute alongside scale.
Long GOOG: TPU advantage provides attractive cost and second-source compute, making it a leader in AI compute alongside scale.
AI/Semi
Long
May 20
$602.60
+1.2%
Long META (relative): Despite being among the worst AI stocks, it is preferred over MSFT; a low-conviction relative trade.
Long META (relative): Despite being among the worst AI stocks, it is preferred over MSFT; a low-conviction relative trade.
AI/Semi
Long
May 19
$252.25
+20.3%
Bloom Energy (BE) is positioned to benefit from the need for localized micro data centers and dedicated small-scale generation, solving terrestrial DC bottlenecks.
Bloom Energy (BE) is positioned to benefit from the need for localized micro data centers and dedicated small-scale generation, solving terrestrial DC bottlenecks.
Energy
Long
May 19
$24.40
-10.0%
Long FIG on thesis that network effects and a shift to taste-driven contributions will dominate as the technical layer commoditizes, enabling broader collaboration loops.
Long FIG on thesis that network effects and a shift to taste-driven contributions will dominate as the technical layer commoditizes, enabling broader collaboration loops.
AI/Semi
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